Range increment or range detriment? Predicting potential changes in distribution caused by climate change for the endemic high-Andean lizard Phymaturus palluma

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• 作者：Nadia Vicenzi^a ; ^{navicenzi@gmail.com} ; Valeria Corbal&aacute ; n^a ; ^{corbalan@mendoza-conicet.gob.ar} ; Donald Miles^b ; ^{milesd@ohio.edu} ; Barry Sinervo^c ; ^{lizardrps@gmail.com} ; Nora Ibargü ; engoytí ; a^d ; ^{noraibarg@gmail.com}
• 关键词：Andes ; Phymaturus ; Thermoregulatory efficiency ; Range shift ; Conservation
• 刊名：Biological Conservation
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：February 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：206
• 期：Complete
• 页码：151-160
• 全文大小：813 K
• 卷排序：206

文摘

We assess and predict the vulnerability to climate change of an endemic lizard of the Central Andes highlands. We used an eco-physiological model to predict for Phymaturus palluma a present and future distribution range. Our model predicts reduction in the current range and new potential distribution areas. The likelihood of a range expansion to these new sites is marginal. Thus, range shifts are unlikely to prevent extinction. Conservation strategies should be focused in the protection of current range that remain suitable in future projections.