Exploratory morphodynamic hindcast of the evolution of the abandoned Yellow River delta, 1578-1855 CE

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• 作者：Min Su^a ; ^b ; ^c ; Peng Yao^a ; ^b ; ^c ; ^{yaop3@mail.sysu.edu.cn} ; Zheng Bing Wang^b ; ^d ; ^e ; Chang Kuan Zhang^e ; Marcel J.F. Stive^b
• 关键词：Abandoned Yellow River delta ; Morphodynamics ; Process-based modeling ; Uncertainty ; Historical maps
• 刊名：Marine Geology
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：1 January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：383
• 期：Complete
• 页码：99-119
• 全文大小：4870 K
• 卷排序：383

文摘

We study the evolution of the Abandoned Yellow River Delta (AYD) through a process-based morphodynamic-modelling approach. Quantify the influence of uncertainty in model setting and initial state on the morphological evolution. Simulations reproduce the AYD in good agreement with historical maps and the results of geological studies. The model improves the understanding of the mechanisms underlying the evolution of the AYD. The model provides relatively reliable suggestions on the spatial distribution of the AYD.