A Horizon Scan of Global Conservation Issues for 2016

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• 作者：William J. Sutherland¹ ; ^{w.sutherland@zoo.cam.ac.uk" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author} ; Steven Broad² ; Jacqueline Caine³ ; Mick Clout⁴ ; Lynn V. Dicks¹ ; Helen Doran⁵ ; Abigail C. Entwistle⁶ ; Erica Fleishman⁷ ; David W. Gibbons⁸ ; Brandon Keim⁹ ; Becky LeAnstey¹⁰ ; Fiona A. Lickorish¹¹ ; Paul Markillie¹² ; Kathryn A. Monk¹³ ; Diana Mortimer¹⁴ ; Nancy Ockendon¹ ; James W. Pearce-Higgins¹⁵ ; Lloyd S. Peck¹⁶ ; Jules Pretty¹⁷ ; Johan Rockströ ; m¹⁸ ; Mark D. Spalding¹⁹ ; Femke H. Tonneijck²⁰ ; Bonnie C. Wintle²¹ ; Katherine E. Wright²²
• 关键词：foresight ; futures ; horizon scanning ; environmental threat ; environmental opportunity ; biological diversity
• 刊名：Trends in Ecology & Evolution
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：January 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：31
• 期：1
• 页码：44-53
• 全文大小：1342 K

文摘

This paper presents the results of our seventh annual horizon scan, in which we aimed to identify issues that could have substantial effects on global biological diversity in the future, but are not currently widely well known or understood within the conservation community. Fifteen issues were identified by a team that included researchers, practitioners, professional horizon scanners, and journalists. The topics include use of managed bees as transporters of biological control agents, artificial superintelligence, electric pulse trawling, testosterone in the aquatic environment, building artificial oceanic islands, and the incorporation of ecological civilization principles into government policies in China.