Crop model improvement reduces the uncertainty of the response to temperature of multi-model ensembles

详细信息    查看全文

• 作者：Andrea Maiorano^a ; ^{maiorano.andrea@gmail.com} ; Pierre Martre^a ; ^{pierre.martre@supagro.inra.fr} ; Senthold Asseng^b ; Frank Ewert^c ; ¹ ; Christoph M&uuml ; ller^d ; Reimund P. Rö ; tter^e ; ² ; Alex C. Ruane^f ; Mikhail A. Semenov^g ; Daniel Wallach^h ; Enli Wangⁱ ; Phillip D. Alderman^j ; ⁵ ; ⁶ ; Belay T. Kassie^b ; Christian Biernath^k ; Bruno Basso^l ; Davide Cammarano^b ; ³ ; Andrew J. Challinor^m ; ⁿ ; Jordi Doltra^o ; Benjamin Dumont^l ; Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei^c ; ^y ; Sebastian Gayler^p ; Kurt Christian Kersebaum^q ; Bruce A. Kimball^r ; Ann-Kristin Koehler^m ; Bing Liu^s ; Garry J. O&rsquo ; Leary^t ; Jø ; rgen E. Olesen^u ; Michael J. Ottman^v ; Eckart Priesack^k ; Matthew Reynolds^j ; Pierre Stratonovitch^g ; Thilo Streck^w ; Peter J. Thorburn^x ; Katharina Waha^d ; ⁴ ; Gerard W. Wall^r ; Jeffrey W. White^r ; Zhigan Zhaoⁱ ; ^z ; Yan Zhu^s
• 关键词：Impact uncertainty ; High temperature ; Model improvement ; Multi-model ensemble ; Wheat crop model
• 刊名：Field Crops Research
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：15 February 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：202
• 期：Complete
• 页码：5-20
• 全文大小：1663 K
• 卷排序：202

文摘

15 wheat crop models were improved for the simulation of the impact of heat stress. Crop model improvements increased accuracy of simulations. Improvements reduced multi-model ensemble yield impact uncertainty. Required number of models for multi-model ensemble impact assessment was reduced.