A total of 642 patients with an SVR after peginterferon/ribavirin therapy were enrolled with a median follow-up period of 53.0 months (range: 6–133 months).
Thirty-three of the 642 (5.1%) patients developed HCC over 2324.8 person-years of follow-up. Cox regression analysis revealed that the strongest predictive factor of HCC occurrence was liver cirrhosis (HR 4.98, 95% CI 2.32–10.71, p <0.001), followed by age (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02–1.11, p = 0.005) and 纬GT levels (HR 1.008, 95% CI 1.004–1.013, p <0.001). The incidence of HCC did not differ between patients with high and low baseline 纬GT levels among patients with cirrhosis (p = 0.53), but the incidence of HCC was significantly higher in non-cirrhotic patients with high 纬GT levels compared with those with low 纬GT levels (p = 0.001). Cox regression analysis revealed that the strongest factors associated with HCC development in non-cirrhotic sustained responders were baseline 纬GT levels (HR 6.44, 95% CI 2.20–18.89, p = 0.001) and age (HR 3.68, 95% CI 1.33–10.17, p = 0.012). The incidence of HCC was not different between older non-cirrhotic patients with high 纬GT levels and cirrhotic patients (p = 0.34).
HCC remains a threat in non-cirrhotic patients with an SVR. Serum 纬GT levels helped to identify potential patients at high risk.