City-specific vehicle emission control strategies to achieve stringent emission reduction targets in China's Yangtze River Delta region

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• 作者：Shaojun Zhang¹ ; Ye Wu² ; ³ ; ^{ywu@tsinghua.edu.cn} ; Bin Zhao⁴ ; Xiaomeng Wu² ; Jiawei Shu² ; Jiming Hao² ; ³
• 关键词：Vehicle ; Emission control ; Scenario ; Yangtze River Delta
• 刊名：Journal of Environmental Sciences
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：51
• 期：Complete
• 页码：75-87
• 全文大小：1231 K
• 卷排序：51

文摘

The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region is one of the most prosperous and densely populated regions in China and is facing tremendous pressure to mitigate vehicle emissions and improve air quality. Our assessment has revealed that mitigating vehicle emissions of NOx would be more difficult than reducing the emissions of other major vehicular pollutants (e.g., CO, HC and PM2.5) in the YRD region. Even in Shanghai, where the emission control implemented are more stringent than in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, we observed little to no reduction in NOx emissions from 2000 to 2010. Emission–reduction targets for HC, NOx and PM2.5 are determined using a response surface modeling tool for better air quality. We design city-specific emission control strategies for three vehicle-populated cities in the YRD region: Shanghai and Nanjing and Wuxi in Jiangsu. Our results indicate that even if stringent emission control consisting of the Euro 6/VI standards, the limitation of vehicle population and usage, and the scrappage of older vehicles is applied, Nanjing and Wuxi will not be able to meet the NOx emissions target by 2020. Therefore, additional control measures are proposed for Nanjing and Wuxi to further mitigate NOx emissions from heavy-duty diesel vehicles.