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Combining follow-up and change data is valid in meta-analyses of continuous outcomes: a meta-epidemiological study
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文摘

class=""h4"">Objective

To investigate whether it is valid to combine follow-up and change data when conducting meta-analyses of continuous outcomes.

class=""h4"">Study Design and Setting

Meta-epidemiological study of randomized controlled trials in patients with osteoarthritis of the knee/hip, which assessed patient-reported pain. We calculated standardized mean differences (SMDs) based on follow-up and change data, and pooled within-trial differences in SMDs. We also derived pooled SMDs indicating the largest treatment effect within a trial (optimistic selection of SMDs) and derived pooled SMDs from the estimate indicating the smallest treatment effect within a trial (pessimistic selection of SMDs).

class=""h4"">Results

A total of 21 meta-analyses with 189 trials with 292 randomized comparisons in 41,256 patients were included. On average, SMDs were 0.04 standard deviation units more beneficial when follow-up values were used (difference in SMDs: ?0.04; 95 % confidence interval: ?0.13, 0.06; P = 0.44). In 13 meta-analyses (62 % ), there was a relevant difference in clinical and/or significance level between optimistic and pessimistic pooled SMDs.

class=""h4"">Conclusion

On average, there is no relevant difference between follow-up and change data SMDs, and combining these estimates in meta-analysis is generally valid. Decision on which type of data to use when both follow-up and change data are available should be prespecified in the meta-analysis protocol.

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