The ED and inpatient charts of all IDUs with a diagnosis of rule out endocarditis admitted at 3 urban hospitals in 2006 were reviewed. Screening performance of individual criteria was determined, and the most sensitive combination of criteria was derived by classification tree analysis.
Of 236 IDUs admitted with fever, 20 (8.5 % ) were diagnosed with endocarditis. Lack of skin infection, tachycardia, hyponatremia, pneumonia on chest radiograph, history of endocarditis, thrombocytopenia, and heart murmur had the best screening performance. The classification tree¨Cderived best criteria combination of tachycardia, lack of skin infection, and cardiac murmur had a sensitivity of 100 % (95 % confidence interval, 84 % -100 % ) and negative predictive value of 100 % (95 % confidence interval, 88 % -100 % ).
Using ED clinical criteria, a multicenter prospective study to develop an instrument for endocarditis prediction in febrile IDUs is feasible, with an estimated target enrollment of 588 patients.