Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways

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• 作者：Alexander Popp^a ; ^{popp@pik-potsdam.de} ; Katherine Calvin^b ; Shinichiro Fujimori^c ; Petr Havlik^d ; Florian Humpenö ; der^a ; Elke Stehfest^e ; Benjamin Leon Bodirsky^a ; ^h ; Jan Philipp Dietrich^a ; Jonathan C. Doelmann^e ; Mykola Gusti^d ; ⁱ ; Tomoko Hasegawa^c ; Page Kyle^b ; Michael Obersteiner^d ; Andrzej Tabeau^g ; Kiyoshi Takahashi^c ; Hugo Valin^d ; Stephanie Waldhoff^b ; Isabelle Weindl^a ; ^j ; Marshall Wise^b ; Elmar Kriegler^a ; Hermann Lotze-Campen^a ; ^k ; Oliver Fricko^d ; Keywan Riahi^d ; ^f ; Detlef P. van Vuuren^f ; ^l
• 关键词：Scenarios ; Land use ; Emissions ; Mitigation ; Food prices ; Integrated assessment ; SSP
• 刊名：Global Environmental Change
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：42
• 期：Complete
• 页码：331-345
• 全文大小：2895 K
• 卷排序：42

文摘

Narratives for the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs) focusing on the land sector are presented. Integrated Assessment Models have been applied for the SSPs to assess potential future developments for land use, greenhouse gas emissions, food provision and prices. Model results reflect the general storylines of the SSPs and indicate a broad range of potential land-use futures. SSP-based land use pathways aim at supporting future climate research, climate impact analysis, biodiversity research and sustainability science.