Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm

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• 作者：Detlef P. van Vuuren^a ; ^b ; ^{Detlef.vanvuuren@pbl.nl} ; Elke Stehfest^a ; David E.H.J. Gernaat^a ; ^b ; Jonathan C. Doelman^a ; Maarten van den Berg^a ; Mathijs Harmsen^a ; ^b ; Harmen Sytze de Boer^a ; Lex F. Bouwman^a ; ^c ; Vassilis Daioglou^a ; ^b ; Oreane Y. Edelenbosch^a ; ^b ; Bastien Girod^d ; Tom Kram^a ; Luis Lassaletta^a ; Paul L. Lucas^a ; Hans van Meijl^e ; Christoph Mü ; ller^f ; Bas J. van Ruijven^g ; Sietske van der Sluis^a ; Andrzej Tabeau^e
• 关键词：Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) ; Sustainable development ; Integrated assessment ; Climate change research ; Scenarios
• 刊名：Global Environmental Change
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：42
• 期：Complete
• 页码：237-250
• 全文大小：2811 K
• 卷排序：42

文摘

Greenhouse gas and air pollutant emissions and global land use could develop in very different directions based on societal trends in the energy system and agriculture. A combination of resource efficiency, preferences for sustainable production methods and investment in human development could lead to lower anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and land-use in 2100 than in 2010. The SSP1 storyline could be a basis for further discussions on how climate policy can be combined with achieving other societal goals.