用户名: 密码: 验证码:
Variation of floods characteristics and their responses to climate and human activities in Poyang Lake, China
详细信息    查看全文
  • 作者:Xianghu Li (1)
    Qi Zhang (1)

    1. State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment
    ; Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Nanjing ; 210008 ; China
  • 关键词:flood characteristics ; water level ; land reclamation ; Changjiang River ; Poyang Lake
  • 刊名:Chinese Geographical Science
  • 出版年:2015
  • 出版时间:February 2015
  • 年:2015
  • 卷:25
  • 期:1
  • 页码:13-25
  • 全文大小:1,376 KB
  • 参考文献:1. Bates P D, Anderson M G, 1996. A preliminary investigation into the impact of initial conditions on flood inundation predictions using a time/space distributed sensitivity analysis. / Catena, 26(1鈥?): 115鈥?34. doi: 10.1016/0341-8162(95)00041-0 CrossRef
    2. Bouwer L M, Crompton R P, Faust E / et al., 2007. Confronting disaster losses. / Science, 318: 753. doi: 10.1126/science.1149628 CrossRef
    3. Cai Xiaobin, 2010. / The Change Analysis of Water Stage and Beach Wetland in Poyang Lake with the Aid of Multi-Temporal Active and Passive Remote Sensing Data. Wuhan: Wuhan University, 150鈥?51. (in Chinese)
    4. Chen H, Guo S L, Xu C Y / et al., 2007. Historical temporal trends of hydro-climatic variables and runoff response to climate variability and their relevance in water resource management in the Hanjiang Basin. / Journal of Hydrology, 344(3鈥?): 171鈥?84. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.06.034 CrossRef
    5. Chen Y, Xiong W, Wang G, 2002. Soil and water conservation and its sustainable development of the Poyang Lake catchment in view of the 1998 flood of Yangtze River. / Journal of Sediment Research, (4): 48鈥?1.
    6. Dai S B, Yang S L, Zhu J / et al., 2005. The role of Lake Dongting in regulating the sediment budget of the Yangtze River. / Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 9(6): 692鈥?98. doi: 10.5194/hess-9-692-2005 CrossRef
    7. Guo H, Hu Q, Jiang T, 2008. Annual and seasonal streamflow responses to climate and land-cover changes in the Poyang Lake basin, China. / Journal of Hydrology, 355(1鈥?): 106鈥?22. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.03.020 CrossRef
    8. Guo H, Hu Q, Zhang Q / et al., 2012. Effects of the Three Gorges Dam on Yangtze River flow and river interaction with Poyang Lake, China: 2003-2008. / Journal of Hydrology, 416鈥?17: 19鈥?7. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.11.027 CrossRef
    9. Guo Jiali, Guo Shenglian, Xu Gaohong / et al., 2011. Preliminary study on flood combination rules and hazards in the Poyang Lake Basin. / Journal of China Hydrology, 31(2): 1鈥?. (in Chinese)
    10. Hong Y, Adhikari P, Douglas K R / et al., 2010. A digitized global flood inventory (1998-2008): Compilation and preliminary results. / Natural Hazards, 55(2): 405鈥?22. doi: 10.1007/s 11069-010-9537-2 CrossRef
    11. HSBC (The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited), 2011. Climate investment update. HSBC Global Research, 13 October.
    12. Hu Q, Feng S, Guo H / et al., 2007. Interactions of the Yangtze river flow and hydrologic processes of the Poyang Lake, China. / Journal of Hydrology, 347(1鈥?): 90鈥?00. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrot.2007.09.005 CrossRef
    13. Huang Ronghui, Xu Yuhong, Wang Pengfei / et al., 1998. The features of the catastrophic flood over the Changjiang River Basin during the summer of 1998 and cause exploration. / Climatic and Environmental Research, 3(4): 300鈥?13. (in Chinese)
    14. Kendall M G, 1975. / Rank Correlation Methods. London: Charles Griffin.
    15. Kron W, 2009. Flood insurance: From clients to global financial markets. / Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2(1): 68鈥?5. doi: 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2008.01015.x CrossRef
    16. Leeuw J D, Shankman D, Wu G / et al., 2010. Strategic assessment of the magnitude and impacts of sand mining in Poyang Lake, China. / Regional Environment Change, 10(2): 95鈥?02. doi: 10.1007/s10113-009-0096-6 CrossRef
    17. Li X H, Zhang Q, Xu C Y, 2012. Suitability of the TRMM satellite rainfalls in driving a distributed hydrological model for water balance computations in Xinjiang catchment, Poyang lake Basin. / Journal of Hydrology, 426鈥?27: 28鈥?8. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.01.013 CrossRef
    18. Li X H, Zhang Q, Xu C Y, 2014. Assessing the performance of satellite-based precipitation products and its dependence on topography over Poyang Lake Basin. / Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 115(3鈥?): 713鈥?29. doi: 10.1007/s00704-013-0917-x CrossRef
    19. Li X H, Zhang Q, Ye X C, 2013. Dry/wet conditions monitoring based on TRMM rainfall data and its reliability validation over Poyang Lake Basin, China. / Water, 5(4): 1848鈥?864. doi: 10.3390/w5041848 CrossRef
    20. Liu Y B, Wu G P, Zhao X S, 2013. Recent declines in China鈥檚 largest freshwater lake: Trend or regime shift? / Environmental Research Letters, 8(1): 014010. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014010 CrossRef
    21. Mann H B, 1945. Non-parametric test of randomness鈥擜gainst trend. / Econometrica, 13: 245鈥?59. CrossRef
    22. Min Qian, 1996. The primary concept of flood grade classification model: A case study of Poyang Lake. / Journal of China Hydrology, 16(1): 43鈥?7. (in Chinese)
    23. Min Qian, 1999. Evaluation of the effects of Poyang Lake reclamation on floods. / Yangtze River, 30(7): 30鈥?2. (in Chinese)
    24. Min Qian, 2004. On the restoring lake by stopping cultivation to Poyang Lake and its impacts on flood mitigation. / Journal of Lake Sciences, 16(3): 215鈥?22. (in Chinese)
    25. Min Qian, Shi Jianguo, Min Dan, 2011. Characteristics of Sediment into and out of Poyanghu Lake from 1956 to 2005. / Journal of China Hydrology, 31(1): 54鈥?8. (in Chinese)
    26. Moraes J M, Pellegrino H Q, Ballester M V / et al., 1998. Trends in hydrological parameters of a southern Brazilian watershed and its relation to human induced changes. / Water Resources Management, 12(4): 295鈥?11. doi: 10.1023/A:1008048212420 CrossRef
    27. Nakayama T, Shankman D, 2013. Impact of the Three-Gorges Dam and water transfer project on Changjiang floods. / Global and Planetary Change, 100: 38鈥?0. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.10.004 CrossRef
    28. Nakayama T, Watanabe M, 2008. Role of flood storage ability of lakes in the Changjiang River catchment. / Global and Planetary Change, 63(1): 9鈥?2. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.04.002 CrossRef
    29. Nie C J, Li H R, Yang L S / et al., 2012. Spatial and temporal changes in flooding and the affecting factors in China. / Natural Hazards, 61(2): 425鈥?39. doi: 10.1007/s11069-011-9926-1 CrossRef
    30. Novotny E V, Stefan H G, 2007. Stream flow in Minnesota: Indicator of climate change. / Journal of Hydrology, 334(3鈥?): 319鈥?33. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2006.10.011 CrossRef
    31. Peng D, Xiong L, Guo S / et al., 2005. Study of Dongting Lake area variation and its influence on water level using MODIS data. / Hydrological Sciences Journal, 50(1): 31鈥?4. doi: 10.1623/hysj.50.1.31.56327 CrossRef
    32. Piao S, Fang J, Zhou L / et al., 2003. Interannual variations of monthly and seasonal normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in China from 1982 to 1999. / Journal of Geophysical Research, 108(D14): 4401. doi: 10.1029/2002JD002848 CrossRef
    33. Qi S, Brown D, Tian Q / et al., 2009. Inundation extent and flood frequency mapping using LANDSAT imagery and digital elevation models. / GIScience & Remote Sensing, 46(1): 101鈥?27. doi: 10.2747/1548-1603.46.1.101 CrossRef
    34. Shankman D, Barry D K, Song J, 2006. Flood frequency in China鈥檚 Poyang Lake region: Trends and teleconnections. / International Journal of Climatology, 26(9): 1255鈥?266. doi: 10.1002/joc.1307 CrossRef
    35. Shankman D, Davis L, de Leeuw J, 2009. River management, landuse change, and future flood risk in China鈥檚 Poyang lake region. / International Journal of River Basin Management, 7(4): 423鈥?31. CrossRef
    36. Shankman D, Liang Q, 2003. Landscape changes and increasing flood frequency in China鈥檚 Poyang Lake region. / Professional Geographer, 55(4): 434鈥?46. doi: 10.1111/0033-0124.5504003 CrossRef
    37. UNDP (United Nations Development Programme), 2004. / A Global Report: / Reducing Disaster Risk鈥擜 Challenge for Development. New York: John S. Swift Co.
    38. Wang G, Jiang T, Blender R / et al., 2008. Yangtze discharge variability and the interacting river-lake system. / Journal of Hydrology, 351(1鈥?): 230鈥?37. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.12.016 CrossRef
    39. Wang L N, Shao Q X, Chen X H / et al., 2012. Flood changes during the past 50 years in Wujiang River, South China. / Hydrological Processes, 26(23): 3561鈥?569. doi: 10.1002/hyp.8451 CrossRef
    40. Wu G, de Leeuw J, Skidmore A K / et al., 2007. Concurrent monitoring of vessels and water turbidity enhances the strength of evidence in remotely sensed dredging impact assessment. / Water Research, 41(15): 3271鈥?280. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2007.05.018 CrossRef
    41. Xu Z X, Chen Y N, Li J Y, 2004. Impact of climate change on water resources in the Tarim River Basin. / Water Resources Management, 18(5): 439鈥?58. doi: 10.1023/B:WARM.0000049142.95583.98 CrossRef
    42. Yang Z, Wang H, Saito Y / et al., 2006. Dam impacts on the Changjiang (Yangtze) River sediment discharge to the sea: The past 55 years and after the Three Gorges Dam. W / ater Resources Research, 42(4): W04407. doi: 10.1029/2005WR003970 CrossRef
    43. Ye X C, Zhang Q, Liu J / et al., 2013. Distinguishing the relative impacts of climate change and human activities on variation of streamflow in the Poyang Lake catchment, China. / Journal of Hydrology, 494: 83鈥?5. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.04.036 CrossRef
    44. Yin H F, Liu G R, Pi J G / et al., 2007. On the river-lake relationship of the middle Yangtze reaches. / Geomorphology, 85(3鈥?): 197鈥?07. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2006.03.017 CrossRef
    45. Yin H, Li C, 2001. Human impact on floods and flood disasters on the Yangtze River. / Geomorphology, 41(2鈥?): 105鈥?09. doi: 10.1016/S0169-555X(01)00108-8 CrossRef
    46. Yu F, Chen Z, Ren X / et al., 2009. Analysis of historical floods on the Yangtze River, China: Characteristics and explanations. / Geomorphology, 113(3鈥?): 210鈥?16. doi: 10.1016/j.geomorph.2009.03.008 CrossRef
    47. Zevenbergen C, van Herk S, Rijke J / et al., 2013. Taming global flood disasters-Lessons learned from Dutch experience. / Natural Hazards, 65(3): 1217鈥?225. doi: 10.1007/s11069-012-0439-3 CrossRef
    48. Zhang Jiquan, Li Ning, 2007. / Quantitative Methods and Applications of Risk Assessment and Management on Main Meteorological Disasters. Beijing: Beijing Normal University Press, 27鈥?0. (in Chinese)
    49. Zhang Q, Chen J Q, Zhang Z X, 2005. Observed climatic changes in Shanghai during 1873-2002. / Journal of Geographical Sciences, 15(2): 217鈥?22. doi: 10.1007/BF02872687
    50. Zhang Y, Guan D, Jin C / et al., 2011. Analysis of impacts of climate variability and human activity on streamflow for a river basin in Northeast China. / Journal of Hydrology, 410(3鈥?): 239鈥?47. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.09.023
    51. Zhao G J, H枚rmann G, Fohrer N / et al., 2010. Streamflow trends and climate variability impacts in Poyang Lake Basin, China. / Water Resources Management, 24(4): 689鈥?06. doi: 10.1007/s11269-009-9465-7 CrossRef
    52. Zhao S, Fang J, 2004. Impact of impoldering and lake restoration on land-cover changes in Dongting Lake area, central Yangtze. / Ambio, 33(6): 311鈥?15. doi:10.1639/0044-7447(2004)033 [0311:IOIALR]2.0.CO;2
    53. Zhao S, Fang J, Miao S / et al., 2005. The 7-decade degradation of a large freshwater lake in central Yangtze River, China. / Environmental Science and Technology, 39(2): 431鈥?36. doi: 10.1021/es0490875 CrossRef
  • 刊物主题:Geography (general);
  • 出版者:Springer Berlin Heidelberg
  • ISSN:1993-064X
文摘
The Poyang Lake is one of the most frequently flooded areas in China. Understanding the changing characteristics of floods as well as the affecting factors is an important prerequisite of flood disaster prevention and mitigation. The present study identified the characteristics variations of historical floods in the Poyang Lake and their tendencies based on the Mann-Kendall (M-K) test, and also investigated the related affecting factors, both from climate and human activities. The results revealed that the highest flood stages, duration as well as hazard coefficient of floods showed a long-term increasing linear trend during the last 60 years with the M-K statistic of 1.49, 1.60 and 1.50, respectively. And, a slightly increasing linear trend in the timing of the highest stages indicated the floods occurred later and later during the last six decades. The rainfall during the flood season and subsequent discharges of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River and runoff from the Poyang Lake Basin were mainly responsible for the severe flood situation in the Poyang Lake in the 1990s. In addition, the intensive human activities, including land reclamation and levee construction, also played a supplementary role in increasing severity of major floods. While, the fewer floods in the Poyang Lake after 2000 can be attributed to not only the less rainfall over the Poyang Lake Basin and low discharges of the Changjiang River during flood periods, but also the stronger influences of human activity which increased the floodwater storage of the Poyang Lake than before.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700