Characterization of southwest monsoon onset over Myanmar

详细信息    查看全文

• 作者：Z. M. Mie Sein ; A. R. M. Towfiqul Islam ; K. W. Maw…
• 刊名：Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：October 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：127
• 期：5
• 页码：587-603
• 全文大小：5,078 KB
• 参考文献：Abiodun BJ, Pal JS, Afiesimama EA, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A (2008) Simulation of West African monsoon using RegCM3 Part II: impacts of deforestation and desertification. Theor Appl Climatol 93(3-):245-61CrossRef r>Afiesimama EA, Pal JS, Abiodun BJ, Gutowski WJ, Adedoyin A (2006) Simulation of west African monsoon 32 using the RegCM3. Part I: model validation and inter-annual variability. Theor Appl Climatol 86:23-7CrossRef r>Ananthakrishnan R, Soman MK (1988) The onset of the southwest monsoon over Kerala: 1901-980. J Climatol 8:283-96CrossRef r>Anthes RA (1977) A cumulus parameterization scheme utilizing a one-dimensional cloud model. Mon Weather Rev 105:1423-438r>Bhaskar R, Srinivas DV, Ratna SB (2008) Regional scale prediction of the onset phase of the Indian southwest monsoon with a high-resolution atmospheric model. Atmos Sci Lett 9:237-44CrossRef r>Bunker AF (1965) Interaction of the summer monsoon air with the Arabian Sea (preliminary analysis). In: Proceedings of the symposium meteorological results, Bombay, India, International Indian Ocean Expedition, pp 3-6r>Davis N, Bowden J, Semazzi FHM, Xie L (2009) Customization of RegCM3 Regional Climate Model for 22 Eastern Africa and a Tropical Indian Ocean Domain. J Clim 22(13):3595-616CrossRef r>Deshpande VR, Kripalani RH, Paul DK (1986) Some facts about monsoon onset dates over Kerala and Bombay. Mausam 37:467-70r>Ding YH, Li CY, Liu YJ (2004) Overview of the South China Sea monsoon experiment. Adv Atmos Sci 21:343-60CrossRef r>DMH (2011) Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, Myanmar. Available online at http://?www.?dmh.?gov.?mm/?index.?php ? Accessed on 4 Oct 2011r>Emanuel KA (1991) A scheme for representing cumulus convection in large-scale 12 models. J Atmos Sci 48:2313-335CrossRef r>Emanuel KA, Zivkovic-Rothman M (1999) Development and evaluation of a convection scheme for use in climate 2 models. J Atmos Sci 56:1766-782CrossRef r>Fein JS, Stephens PL (1987) Monsoons. Wiley-Interscience, New York, p 656r>Findlater J (1969) A major low level air current near the Indian Ocean during the northern summer. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 95:362-80CrossRef r>Fosu BO, Wang SYS (2014) Bay of Bengal: coupling of pre monsoon tropical cyclones with the monsoon onset in Myanmar. Clim Dyn (in press) doi:10.-007/?s00382-014-2289-z r>Fritsch JM, Chappell CF (1980) Numerical prediction of convectively driven mesoscale pressure systems. Part I: convective parameterization. J Atmos Sci 37:1722-733CrossRef r>Gao X, Zhao Z, Ding Y, Huang R, Giorgi F (2001) Climate change due to greenhouse effects in China as simulated by a regional climate model. Adv Atmos Sci 18(6):1223-229r>Ghanekar SP, Puranik PV, Bhide UV (2003) Forecasting the onset of monsoon over Kerala using the peak in pre monsoon convective activity over south peninsular India. Mausam 54(3):645-52r>Giorgi F, Mearns L, Shields C, McDaniel L (1998) Regional nested model simulations of present day and 2× CO2 climate over the central Great Plains of the United States. Clim Change 40:457-93CrossRef r>Grell GA (1993) Prognostic evaluation of assumptions used by cumulus parameterization. Mon Weather Rev 121:764-87CrossRef r>Grell G, Dudhia JJ, Stauffer D (1994) A description of the fifth generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5), National Center for Atmospheric Research Tech Note NCAR/TN-398+STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colo., USAr>Htway O, Matsumoto J (2011) Climatological onset dates of summer monsoon over Myanmar. Int J Climatol 31:382-93. doi:10.-002/?joc.-076 CrossRef r>IMD (2012) Monsoon monograph. V. I. India Meteorological Department, Indiar>Joseph PV, Pillai PV (1988) 40-day mode of equatorial trough for long range forecasting of Indian summer monsoon onset. Curr Sci 57:951-54r>Joseph PV, Eishcheid JK, Pyle RJ (1994) Interannual variability of the onset of the Indian summer monsoon and its association with atmospheric features, El Nino, and sea surface temperature anomalies. J Clim 7:81-05CrossRef r>Joshi PC, Simon B, Desai PS (1990) Atmospheric thermal changes over the Indian region prior to the monsoon onset as observed by satellite sounding data. Int J Climatol 10:49-6CrossRef r>Kajikawa Y, Yasunari T, Yoshida S, Fujinami H (2012) Advanced Asian summer monsoon onset in recent decades. Geophys Res Lett 39:L03803. doi:10.-029/-011GL050540 CrossRef r>Kiehl J, Hack J, Bonan G, Boville B, Breigleb B, Williamson D, Rasch PJ (1996) Description of the NCAR community climate model (CCM3), NCAR Technical Note TN-420+STR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado, USA. Available online at http://?www.?cgd.?ucar.?edu/?cms/?ccm3/?TN-420/-/span> r>Koteswaram P (1950) Upper level “lows-in low latitudes in the Indian area during southwest monsoon season and “breaks-in the monsoon. Indian J Meteorol Geophys 1:162-64r>Krishnamurti TN (1985) Summer monsoon experiment—a review. Mon Weather
• 作者单位：Z. M. Mie Sein (1) (2) r> A. R. M. Towfiqul Islam (1) (3) r> K. W. Maw (1) (2) r> T. B. Moya (4) r>r>1. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China r> 2. Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, Nay Pyi Taw, Myanmar r> 3. Department of Disaster Management, Begum Rokeya University, Rangpur, 5400, Bangladesh r> 4. College of Science, University of the Philippines, Diliman, Quezon City, Philippines r>
• 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
• 刊物主题：Earth sciencesr>Meteorology and Climatologyr>Atmospheric Protection, Air Quality Control and Air Pollutionr>Climate Changer>Mathematical Applications in Environmental Sciencer>Terrestrial Pollutionr>Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollutionr>
• 出版者：Springer Wien
• ISSN：1436-5065

文摘

The aim of this paper was to characterize the southwest monsoon onset over Myanmar based on the model. The Regional Climate Model (RegCM3) was run for a period of 10 years (2000-009) to simulate the meteorological fields which focused on April to July season. The model input data were obtained from the reanalyzed datasets of the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Grell scheme with Arakawa closure for cumulus parameterization assumption was used for simulation with 45 km horizontal resolution. The results revealed that southwest monsoon onset was confirmed when the prevailing wind direction up to 600 hPa level had shifted from northeasterly to westerly or southwesterly. The southwest monsoon first arrived at southernmost Kawthoung station of Myanmar and progressed through the Deltaic and Central parts until it reached at northernmost Putao station. Over the simulation periods, the southwest monsoon onset progressed from the southernmost to northernmost parts of the country in 19 ± 10 days. The position of Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) appeared (23°N-8°N) over the Northern part of the country before the onset. Furthermore, 500 hPa ridge appeared consistently over the Deltaic area of Myanmar from 6 to 10 days before the monsoon onset. Its position is about 6° to the south of the ITCZ. Responsible Editor: J. T. Fasullo.