Impacts of climate change on cotton yield in China from 1961 to 2010 based on provincial data

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• 作者：Chao Chen 闿贿/a> ; Yanmei Pang 庞艳栿/a> ; Xuebiao Pan 潘学枿/a>…
• 刊名：Journal of Meteorological Research
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：June 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：29
• 期：3
• 页码：515-524
• 全文大小：3,073 KB
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• 作者单位：Chao Chen 陈 超 (1) (2)
  Yanmei Pang 庞艳梅 (1) (3)
  Xuebiao Pan 潘学标 (3)
  Lizhen Zhang 张立祯 (3)
  
  1. Institute of Plateau Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Chengdu, 610072, China
  2. Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu, 610072, China
  3. College of Resources and Environment, China Agricultural University, Beijing, 100193, China
  
• 刊物类别：Atmospheric Sciences; Meteorology; Geophysics and Environmental Physics; Atmospheric Protection/Air
• 刊物主题：Atmospheric Sciences; Meteorology; Geophysics and Environmental Physics; Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution;
• 出版者：The Chinese Meteorological Society
• ISSN：2198-0934

文摘

To develop scientific countermeasures, the impacts of climate change on cotton yield during 1961–2010 in three major cotton-producing regions of China were studied by using the available provincial data. The results indicate that (1) a rise in average temperature increased the cotton yield in most provinces of Northwest China and the Yellow River valley; however, the rise in average temperature decreased the cotton yield in the Yangtze River valley. Moreover, cotton production across the entire study region was reduced by approximately 0.1% relative to the average during 1961–2010. (2) A decrease in diurnal temperature range (DTR) reduced cotton yield in some provinces, while a beneficial DTR effect was observed in the other provinces. Changes in DTR resulted in an average decrease in production by approximatly 5.5% across the entire study region. (3) A change in the amount of precipitation increased the cotton yield in some provinces; however, it caused a decrease in other provinces. The decrease in average production due to the change in precipitation was approximately 1.1%. We concluded that the changes in temperature and precipitation decreased cotton yields in China, while beneficial effects of temperature and precipitation existed in the cotton-growing regions of Northwest China during 1961–2010.