基于GRA-IECD协调发展模型的人水和谐评价
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摘要
为客观合理地评价区域人水和谐状况,从水资源、社会经济和生态环境三个方面构建了人水和谐评价指标体系。建立基于合作博弈权重的灰色关联分析模型,对人水和谐发展度进行评价;建立基于信息熵的协调度评价模型,对人水和谐协调度进行评价;综合考虑系统的发展水平和协调程度,计算系统协调发展度,以此对苏州市2011—2016年人水和谐状况进行评价。结果表明:苏州市人水和谐协调发展度为0.436～0.724,总体呈上升趋势。
An index system was established from water resources, society and economy and ecology environment to evaluate human-water harmony situation objectively and reasonably. Grey relation analysis model based on cooperative game weight was used to evaluate human-water harmony development degree and coordination evaluation model based on information entropy was used to evaluate human-water harmony coordination degree. Comprehensively considered the development and coordination degree, coordinated development degree was used to evaluate human-water harmony degree in Suzhou from 2011 to 2016. The result shows that human-water harmony degree in Suzhou City has been improved, lying between 0.436 and 0.724. The result is basically identical with the actual situation in Suzhou City, which indicates that the model used by this paper is reasonable and feasible.
An index system was established from water resources, society and economy and ecology environment to evaluate human-water harmony situation objectively and reasonably. Grey relation analysis model based on cooperative game weight was used to evaluate human-water harmony development degree and coordination evaluation model based on information entropy was used to evaluate human-water harmony coordination degree. Comprehensively considered the development and coordination degree, coordinated development degree was used to evaluate human-water harmony degree in Suzhou from 2011 to 2016. The result shows that human-water harmony degree in Suzhou City has been improved, lying between 0.436 and 0.724. The result is basically identical with the actual situation in Suzhou City, which indicates that the model used by this paper is reasonable and feasible.
引文
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[14] 常建娥,蒋太立.层次分析法确定权重的研究[J].武汉理工大学学报(信息与管理工程版),2007,29(1):153-156.
[15] 倪九派,李萍,魏朝富,等.基于AHP和熵权法赋权的区域土地开发整理潜力评价[J].农业工程学报,2009,25(5):202-209.
[16] 谭淼,周启刚,王福海,等.三峡库区土地利用与土地经济协调性研究:基于协调发展度模型[J].资源开发与市场,2018(1):41-46.
[2] FALKENMARK M. Water Management and Ecosystems: Living with Change[J]. Global Water Partnership Technical Committee Background Papers, 2003(9): 6-20.
[3] REEVES M. Water Allocation, Climate Change, and Sustainable Peace the Israeli Proposal[J]. Water International, 2005, 30(2): 197-209.
[4] 汪恕诚.人与自然和谐相处:破解中国水问题的核心理念[J].今日国土,2004(增刊2):6-9.
[5] 王梅,唐德善,孟珍珠,等.基于模糊物元的综合评价模型在区域人水和谐评价中的应用[J].水电能源科学,2015,33(2):160-163.
[6] 甘蓉,宣昊,刘国东,等.基于博弈论综合权重的物元可拓模型在地下水质量评价中的应用[J].水电能源科学,2015,33(1):39-42.
[7] 孙伊云,袁汝华.基于熵权灰色关联分析的湿地补水项目综合效益评价[J].水资源与水工程学报,2016,27(5):102-106.
[8] 韩雁,黄跃飞,王光谦,等.基于区间不确定性水资源复杂系统的协调演化研究[J].水利学报,2011,42(8):892-898.
[9] 孟庆松,韩文秀.复合系统协调度模型研究[J].天津大学学报(自然科学与工程技术版),2000,33(4):444-446.
[10] 孟令爽,唐德善,史毅超.基于主成分分析法的城市人水和谐度评价[J].水资源与水工程学报,2018,29(1):93-98.
[11] 莫崇勋,莫桂燕,阮俞理,等.基于变权法的南宁市人水和谐度评价[J].水电能源科学,2018,36(3):30-33.
[12] 樊治平,赵萱.多属性决策中权重确定的主客观赋权法[J].沈阳工业大学学报,1997,7(4):95-98.
[13] 杜栋,庞庆华,吴炎.现代综合评价方法与案例精选[M].北京:清华大学出版社,2015:112-119.
[14] 常建娥,蒋太立.层次分析法确定权重的研究[J].武汉理工大学学报(信息与管理工程版),2007,29(1):153-156.
[15] 倪九派,李萍,魏朝富,等.基于AHP和熵权法赋权的区域土地开发整理潜力评价[J].农业工程学报,2009,25(5):202-209.
[16] 谭淼,周启刚,王福海,等.三峡库区土地利用与土地经济协调性研究:基于协调发展度模型[J].资源开发与市场,2018(1):41-46.