基于天然气供气业务突发事件情景构建的应急演练技术与实践
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摘要
为了解决由于天然气管网供气量、用气量变化所导致的天然气供气业务突发事件应对问题,在天然气供气业务突发事件风险特点的基础上,围绕突发事件发生前的应急演练开展针对性研究。结合天然气供气业务资源流向特点,分析可能导致天然气供气业务发生突发事件的3种主控因素,并在研究分析国内外情景构建技术研究与应用现状的基础上,设计包括情景概要等5个一级要素、19项二级要素为基础的天然气供气业务突发事件应急演练脚本,为相关企业开展天然气供气业务突发事件应急演练提供参考和借鉴。
In order to solve the problem of dealing with the emergency of natural gas supply business caused by the variation of gas supply amount and gas consumption amount of the natural gas pipeline network,the targeted research on the emergency drill before the occurrence of emergency was carried out based on the risk characteristics of emergency of natural gas supply business. Three main controlling factors that might cause the emergency of natural gas supply business were analyzed combining with the characteristics of resource flow in the natural gas supply business. On the basis of studying and analyzing the research and application status of scenario construction technology at home and abroad,a script of emergency drill for the emergency of natural gas supply business based on five first-level elements including scenario summary,etc.,and 19 secondlevel elements was designed,which can provide reference for the relevant enterprises to carry out the emergency drill on emergency of natural gas supply business.
In order to solve the problem of dealing with the emergency of natural gas supply business caused by the variation of gas supply amount and gas consumption amount of the natural gas pipeline network,the targeted research on the emergency drill before the occurrence of emergency was carried out based on the risk characteristics of emergency of natural gas supply business. Three main controlling factors that might cause the emergency of natural gas supply business were analyzed combining with the characteristics of resource flow in the natural gas supply business. On the basis of studying and analyzing the research and application status of scenario construction technology at home and abroad,a script of emergency drill for the emergency of natural gas supply business based on five first-level elements including scenario summary,etc.,and 19 secondlevel elements was designed,which can provide reference for the relevant enterprises to carry out the emergency drill on emergency of natural gas supply business.
引文
[1]李宏勋,吴复旦.我国进口天然气供应安全预警研究[J].中国石油大学学报(社会科学版),2018,34(4):1-6.LI Hongxun,WU Fudan. Study on early warning for imported natural gas supply security in China[J]. Journal of China University of Petroleum(Edition of Social Sciences),2018,34(4):1-6.
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[9]刘铁民.应急预案重大突发事件情景构建——基于“情景-任务-能力”应急预案编制技术研究之一[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(4):5-12.LIU Tiemin. Studies on scenes’construction of emergency planning:partⅠof emergency planning technology based[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2012,8(4):5-12.
[10]刘铁民.重大突发事件情景规划与构建研究[J].中国应急管理,2012(4):18-23.LIU Tiemin. Study on situational planning and construction of major emergencies[J]. China Emergency Management,2012(4):18-23.
[11]盛勇.基于情景构建技术的应急准备能力评估方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(10):43-47.SHENG Yong. Study on assessment method of emergency preparedness capability based on scenario construction technology[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technologyt,2017,13(10):43-47.
[12]殷志明,张红生,周建良,等.深水钻井井喷事故情景构建及应急能力评估[J].石油钻采工艺,2015,37(1):166-171.YIN Zhiming,ZHANG Hongsheng,ZHOU Jianlang,et al. Scenario design of blowout accidents in deepwater drilling and emergency capacity assessment[J]. Oil Drilling&Production Technology,2015,37(1):166-171.
[13]翟慧杰,龚维斌.借鉴国外经验建立整建制应急管理培训新模式[J].行政管理改革,2018(2):56-59.ZHAI Huijie,GONG Weibin. Building a new training model for emergency management of integration system by using foreign experiences for reference[J]. Administration Reform,2018(2):56-59.
[14]王学军,门永生,邓创.基于情景要素的电网大面积停电事件情景序列构建方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(10):69-74.WANG Xuejun,MEN Yongsheng,DENG Chuang. Study on scenario sequence construction method of large area blackout event in power grid based on scenario elements[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2017,13(10):69-74.
[15]冯杰,罗迅,张鉴燮,等.基于协调联动的电力无脚本演练情景模型研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(5):164-169.FENG Jie,LUO Xun,ZHANG Jianxie,et al. Research on scenario model of no script emergency drill in power enterprise based on coordinated interaction[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2016,12(5):164-169.
[16]解玉宾,张小兵,王建飞,等.突发生产事故应急演练设计[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(10):141-148.XIE Yubin,ZHANG Xiaobing,WANG Jianfen,et al. Design on emergency exercise of work safety accidents[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2015,11(10):141-148.
[2]孟超.中国天然气安全综合评价与对策研究[D].西安.西北大学,2016.
[3]姜子昂,冯勐,张宏,等.关于推动中国天然气能源革命的思考[J].天然气工业,2015,35(3):120-124.JIANG Ziang,FENG Meng,ZHANG Hong,et al. Reflection on how to push forward the natural gas revolution in China[J]. Natural Gas Industry,2015,35(3):120-124.
[4]宋东昱,田静.中国天然气储备调峰面临的挑战与对策[J].国际石油经济,2014,22(6):39-45,112.SONG Dongyu,TIAN Jing. Meeting the challenges in natural gas peakshaving reserves in China[J]. International Petroleum Economics,2014,22(6):39-45,112.
[5]梁开武,蔡治勇,刘春.天然气管道蒸气云爆炸事故影响因素动态分析[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(S1):65-69.LIANG Kaiwu,CAI Zhiyong,LIU Chun. Dynamic analysis on influencing factors of vapor cloud explosion in natural gas pipeline[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2016,12(S1):65-69.
[6]吕奎,孔益平,周宇,等.天然气管道风险分析及应急管理[J].安全与环境工程,2012,19(2):117-121,124.LYU Kui,KONG Yiping,ZHOU Yu,et al. Risk Analysis and Emergency Management of Natural Gas Pipelines[J]. Safety and Environmental Engineering,2012,19(2):117-121,124.
[7]邢志祥.天然气输送管道风险评估技术研究[J].油气储运,2008(9):2-5.XING Zhixiang. Research on risk assessment technology of natural gas pipeline[J]. Oil&Gas Storage and Transportation,2008(9):2-5.
[8]王永明.重大突发事件情景构建理论框架与技术路线[J].中国应急管理,2015(8):53-57.WANG Yongming. Theoreticalframework and technical route of major emergency situations construction[J]. China Emergency Management,2015(8):53-57.
[9]刘铁民.应急预案重大突发事件情景构建——基于“情景-任务-能力”应急预案编制技术研究之一[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2012,8(4):5-12.LIU Tiemin. Studies on scenes’construction of emergency planning:partⅠof emergency planning technology based[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2012,8(4):5-12.
[10]刘铁民.重大突发事件情景规划与构建研究[J].中国应急管理,2012(4):18-23.LIU Tiemin. Study on situational planning and construction of major emergencies[J]. China Emergency Management,2012(4):18-23.
[11]盛勇.基于情景构建技术的应急准备能力评估方法[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(10):43-47.SHENG Yong. Study on assessment method of emergency preparedness capability based on scenario construction technology[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technologyt,2017,13(10):43-47.
[12]殷志明,张红生,周建良,等.深水钻井井喷事故情景构建及应急能力评估[J].石油钻采工艺,2015,37(1):166-171.YIN Zhiming,ZHANG Hongsheng,ZHOU Jianlang,et al. Scenario design of blowout accidents in deepwater drilling and emergency capacity assessment[J]. Oil Drilling&Production Technology,2015,37(1):166-171.
[13]翟慧杰,龚维斌.借鉴国外经验建立整建制应急管理培训新模式[J].行政管理改革,2018(2):56-59.ZHAI Huijie,GONG Weibin. Building a new training model for emergency management of integration system by using foreign experiences for reference[J]. Administration Reform,2018(2):56-59.
[14]王学军,门永生,邓创.基于情景要素的电网大面积停电事件情景序列构建方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13(10):69-74.WANG Xuejun,MEN Yongsheng,DENG Chuang. Study on scenario sequence construction method of large area blackout event in power grid based on scenario elements[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2017,13(10):69-74.
[15]冯杰,罗迅,张鉴燮,等.基于协调联动的电力无脚本演练情景模型研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(5):164-169.FENG Jie,LUO Xun,ZHANG Jianxie,et al. Research on scenario model of no script emergency drill in power enterprise based on coordinated interaction[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2016,12(5):164-169.
[16]解玉宾,张小兵,王建飞,等.突发生产事故应急演练设计[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2015,11(10):141-148.XIE Yubin,ZHANG Xiaobing,WANG Jianfen,et al. Design on emergency exercise of work safety accidents[J]. Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2015,11(10):141-148.