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广州市空气污染对居民每日急救病例影响的短期效应
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  • 英文篇名:Short-term effects of ambient air pollution and cause-specific emergency department visits in Guangzhou
  • 作者:何蔚云 ; 吴燕 ; 郭貔 ; 吕嘉韵 ; 陈煜亮 ; 郑睦锐 ; 刘鹏达 ; 步犁 ; 冯文如
  • 英文作者:HE Wei-yun;WU Yan;GUO Pi;LV Jia-yun;CHEN Yu-liang;ZHENG Mu-rui;LIU Peng-da;BU Li;FENG Wen-ru;Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention;Shantou University Medical College;
  • 关键词:空气污染 ; 二氧化硫 ; 急救 ; 广义相加模型
  • 英文关键词:Air pollution;;Sulfur dioxide;;Emergency ambulance dispatches;;Generalized additive model
  • 中文刊名:JBKZ
  • 英文刊名:Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention
  • 机构:广州市疾病预防控制中心;汕头大学医学院;
  • 出版日期:2019-07-25 13:56
  • 出版单位:中华疾病控制杂志
  • 年:2019
  • 期:v.23
  • 基金:广东省自然科学基金(2018A030313928);; 广州市科技计划项目(2014J4100070)~~
  • 语种:中文;
  • 页:JBKZ201907017
  • 页数:7
  • CN:07
  • ISSN:34-1304/R
  • 分类号:90-96
摘要
目的分析广州市空气污染物浓度与居民因不同疾病(循环系统疾病、消化系统疾病、神经系统疾病和呼吸系统疾病)而寻求急救服务人次的关系,探讨广州市空气污染对人群健康影响的短期效应。方法收集广州市2015-2017年空气污染物二氧化硫(sulfur dioxide,SO_2)、二氧化氮(nitrogen dioxide,NO_2)、一氧化碳(carbon monoxide,CO)、细颗粒物(fine particulate matter,PM_(2.5))的每日24 h平均浓度和臭氧(ozone,O_3)最大8 h浓度、日均气温、相对湿度和4大疾病别每日急救人次,采用时间序列分析的广义相加模型,分析空气中污染物浓度和居民4大疾病别急救人次的关系。结果研究期间空气中SO_2、NO_2、CO、O_3、PM_(2.5)的日平均浓度分别是13.24μg/m~3、45.96μg/m~3、0.97 mg/m~3、123.77μg/m~3、和36.22μg/m~3。经过单污染物模型分析,空气中SO_2每增加4.70μg/m~3,循环系统急救量增加2.91%(95%CI:1.00%~4.85%),在多污染物模型中,循环系统急救量则增加4.39%(95%CI:1.22%~7.67%)。结论大气SO_2污染可能增加居民循环系统疾病的风险,应采取防控措施降低SO_2排放。
        Objective To understand the relationship between the concentration of air pollutants and daily emergency department visits for different diseases(circulatory system disease,digestive system disease,nervous system disease and respiratory system disease)in Guangzhou,Guangdong Province.Methods The daily average concentrations of sulfur dioxide(SO_2),nitrogen dioxide(NO_2,carbon monoxide(CO)and PM_(2.5)and the daily maximum 8-hour concentrations of O_3,the daily average temperature,the relative humidity and cause-specific emergency department visits of the four major diseases from 2015 to 2017 were collected in Guangzhou.Semi-parametric generalized additive model was used to analyze the relationship between the concentration of pollutants and daily cause-specific emergency department visits.Results The daily average concentrations of SO_2,NO_2,CO,O_3 and PM_(2.5)during the study period were 13.24μg/m~3,45.96μg/m~3,0.97 mg/m~3,123.77μg/m~3and 36.22μg/m~3,respectively.For circulatory system disease,the independently significant associations of SO_2with emergency department visits in single-pollutant models(2.91%,95%CI:1.00%-4.85%),and multipollutant models(4.39%,95%CI:1.22%-7.67%)were observed.ConclusionThe ambient SO_2 increases the risk of emergency department visits due to circulatory diseases in Guangzhou.Comprehensive prevention and control measures should be taken to reduce the emission of SO_2.
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