诺贝尔科学奖获得者的发文和引用随年龄的变化关系分析
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摘要
[目的/意义]旨在研究诺贝尔科学奖获奖者发文和引用与年龄的变化关系,为探索杰出人才的学术成长规律提供参考。[方法/过程]利用非平衡面板数据对1900—2017年英美籍诺贝尔科学奖获奖者的年发文量和年被引量与年龄之间的关系进行分析。[结果/结论]指出了已有类似研究中数据分析方法的不恰当并选择了科学的统计学方法,得出了诺贝尔科学奖获奖者的发文和引用与年龄变化曲线是单峰曲线的结论及其相关启示。
[Purpose/significance] The paper is to study the relationship between the number and citation of published papers and the age of Nobel laureates in science,so as to provide references for exploring the law of academic growth of outstanding talents.[Method/process]The paper uses the unbalanced panel data to analyze the relationship between the annual number and the annual citation of published papers and the age of British or American laureates who won the Nobel Prize in science in 1900—2017. [Result/conclusion] The paper points out the inappropriateness of the data analysis method in the existing similar research,and chooses the scientific statistical method. It reaches the conclusion that the academic number-age curve and citation-age curve are unimodal curves,and relevant inspiration.
[Purpose/significance] The paper is to study the relationship between the number and citation of published papers and the age of Nobel laureates in science,so as to provide references for exploring the law of academic growth of outstanding talents.[Method/process]The paper uses the unbalanced panel data to analyze the relationship between the annual number and the annual citation of published papers and the age of British or American laureates who won the Nobel Prize in science in 1900—2017. [Result/conclusion] The paper points out the inappropriateness of the data analysis method in the existing similar research,and chooses the scientific statistical method. It reaches the conclusion that the academic number-age curve and citation-age curve are unimodal curves,and relevant inspiration.
引文
[1] TODOROVSKY D. Follow-up study:on the working time budget of a university teacher. 45 years self-observation[J]. Scientometrics,2014,3(101):2063-2070.
[2] AKSNES D,RORSTAD K,PIRO F,等. Age and scientific performance. A large-scale study of Norwegian scientists;[C]//ISSI. proceedings of the Proceedings of 13th ISSI Conference,Durban South Africa:ISSI,2011.
[3]刘俊婉,金碧辉.高被引科学家论文产出力的年龄分析[J].科研管理,2009(3):96-103,23.
[4]刘俊婉,郑晓敏,王菲菲,等.科学精英科研生产力和影响力的社会年龄分析:以中国科学院院士为例[J].情报杂志,2015(11):30-35,61.
[5]缪亚军,戚巍,钟琪.科学家学术年龄特征研究:基于学术生产力与影响力的二维视角[J].科学学研究,2013(2):177-183.
[6]魏钦恭,秦广强,李飞.“科学是年轻人的游戏”?:对科研人员年龄与论文产出之间关系的研究[J].青年研究,2012(1):13-23,4.
[7] BJORK S,OFFER A,S DERBERG G. Time series citation data:the Nobel Prize in economics[J]. Scientometrics,2014,98(1):185-196.
[8]李江,姜明利,李玥婷.引文曲线的分析框架研究:以诺贝尔奖得主的引文曲线为例[J].中国图书馆学报,2014(2):41-49.
[9]高志,陈兰杰,张志强.顶尖科学家的学术影响力变化规律研究进展[J].图书情报工作,2016,60(6):135-141.
[10]高志,张志强,田人合.诺贝尔科学奖获奖者的学术影响力与年龄的关系研究[J].科技管理研究,2017(10):121-127.
[11]高志,张志强.个人学术影响力与年龄的变化规律研究进展:基于自然科学领域[J].情报杂志,2016,35(2):105-109,56.
[12]刘俊婉.杰出科学家论文影响力的社会年龄分析[J].情报学报,2010,29(1):121-127.
[13]杜建,张玢,李阳,等.学者学术影响力评价指标的优选与学术行为特点的国内外比较[J].图书情报工作,2011(10):98-102,43.
[2] AKSNES D,RORSTAD K,PIRO F,等. Age and scientific performance. A large-scale study of Norwegian scientists;[C]//ISSI. proceedings of the Proceedings of 13th ISSI Conference,Durban South Africa:ISSI,2011.
[3]刘俊婉,金碧辉.高被引科学家论文产出力的年龄分析[J].科研管理,2009(3):96-103,23.
[4]刘俊婉,郑晓敏,王菲菲,等.科学精英科研生产力和影响力的社会年龄分析:以中国科学院院士为例[J].情报杂志,2015(11):30-35,61.
[5]缪亚军,戚巍,钟琪.科学家学术年龄特征研究:基于学术生产力与影响力的二维视角[J].科学学研究,2013(2):177-183.
[6]魏钦恭,秦广强,李飞.“科学是年轻人的游戏”?:对科研人员年龄与论文产出之间关系的研究[J].青年研究,2012(1):13-23,4.
[7] BJORK S,OFFER A,S DERBERG G. Time series citation data:the Nobel Prize in economics[J]. Scientometrics,2014,98(1):185-196.
[8]李江,姜明利,李玥婷.引文曲线的分析框架研究:以诺贝尔奖得主的引文曲线为例[J].中国图书馆学报,2014(2):41-49.
[9]高志,陈兰杰,张志强.顶尖科学家的学术影响力变化规律研究进展[J].图书情报工作,2016,60(6):135-141.
[10]高志,张志强,田人合.诺贝尔科学奖获奖者的学术影响力与年龄的关系研究[J].科技管理研究,2017(10):121-127.
[11]高志,张志强.个人学术影响力与年龄的变化规律研究进展:基于自然科学领域[J].情报杂志,2016,35(2):105-109,56.
[12]刘俊婉.杰出科学家论文影响力的社会年龄分析[J].情报学报,2010,29(1):121-127.
[13]杜建,张玢,李阳,等.学者学术影响力评价指标的优选与学术行为特点的国内外比较[J].图书情报工作,2011(10):98-102,43.