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城市群现代产业体系形成机理及评价研究
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摘要
21世纪是城市群主导经济发展的世纪。城市群之间的分工,合作和竞争将决定未来世界竞争格局。城市群的作用大小是通过衡量城市群的产业结构在国家中的作用,产业体系在全球分工体系中的地位来体现的。纵观美国纽约城市群、日本东京城市群等世界主要城市群,其产业结构呈现出服务业成为中心城市主导产业,同时都市型工业取代中心城市的传统制造业,城市群的不同城市形成不同产业特色和职能分工,进而形成整体的强大竞争力。与世界主要城市群相比,我国城市群经济发展主要依靠第二产业带动,城市群内各城市产业结构趋同,城市群资源不能有效整合,资源配置效率低。城市群产业结构是否优化、产业布局是否合理、产业国际竞争力高低关系到城市群综合竞争力的强弱。
     构建城市群现代产业体系,是解决城市群当前经济发展中的突出问题,实现区域协调发展,提升城市群产业国际竞争力,应对国内外日趋激烈竞争的有效途径。2007年10月党的十七大报告针对我国经济结构中存在的突出问题,作出了发展现代产业体系的战略部署,为推进产业结构优化升级、建立现代产业体系指明了方向。2008年7月广东省委、省政府府出台的《关于加快建设现代产业体系的决定》,进一步明确了构建现代产业体系的发展目标、主体框架、重点载体和保障措施。2009年1月《珠三角地区改革发展规划纲要(2008-2020年)》提出“形成产业结构高级化、产业发展集聚化、产业竞争力高端化的现代产业体系”。
     本文在分析现代产业体系与城市群的互动机理基础上,研究城市群现代产业体系的融合机理、集聚扩散机理和三力平衡机理,通过建立城市群现代产业体系的评价指标体系,为城市群现代产业体系构建提出对策建议及实施方案。对于加快转变城市群经济发展方式,推动城市群产业结构优化升级,具有重要的现实意义。本文综合运用区域经济学、产业经济学、经济地理学、生态学、统计学等多学科的一些理论与方法,主要采用系统分析、动态分析、模型分析等多种分析方法,把城市群发展与现代产业体系建设相关理论结合起来,将定量研究与调查工作、制度分析与推理分析相结合。以我国三大城市群为切入点,分析三大城市群现代产业体系发展程度,找出各自制约因素,为三大城市群构建现代产业体系的不同推进模式提出对策建议。
     本论文的研究内容分为九章:第1章说明了本课题的来源和研究背景,明确了研究目标和研究意义,比较了国内外相关理论研究,简述了研究内容和研究方法;第2章阐明了现代产业体系的内涵和组成,建立了现代产业体系的三维模型,归纳了基本原理和设计原理;第3章在分析城市群结构与功能基础上,探讨了现代产业体系与城市群的互动机理;第4章、第5章和第6章共三章分别从融合机理、集聚扩散机理、三力平衡机理三个方面论述了城市群现代产业体系的形成机理;第7章构建了城市群现代产业体系的评价指标体系,并提出了评价方法;第8章以我国三大城市群为例,从协调度、集聚度和竞争度三方面对三大城市群现代产业体系发展程度进行评价,计算出城市群现代产业体系发展指数:珠三角城市群27分、长三角城市群23分、环渤海城市群18分,同时运用DEA的CCR模型对城市群现代产业体系三维度的六种组合进行分类比较,得出三大城市群现代产业体系推进模式:竞争度导向的珠三角模式,集聚度导向的长三角模式,协调度导向的环渤海模式:最后一章总结了研究结论和创新点,指出了所存在的不足,并对城市群现代产业体系的发展趋势进行展望。
The 21st century is the century leading economic development of Urban Agglomerations. The division of labor, cooperation and competition between urban agglomerations will decide the future world competition. The role of urban agglomeration is measured by the industrial structure in the country and Industrial system in the position of the global system. Reviewing the New York urban agglomerations and Tokyo urban agglomeration, their industrial structure presents that service becomes to the main industrial, traditional manufacturing is replaced by the central city of urban industry and the different cities in the urban agglomerations forms in different industries and functions. And it can turn into the great competition. Compared with the main urban agglomerations in the world, our urban agglomeration economy development relies mainly on the second industry. And the industrial structures of the cities are to be the same. But the resources of urban agglomerations can not be integrated effectively and have low efficiency of resource allocation. The industrial structure is optimized or not, industrial layout is reasonable or not and the industrial international competitiveness is high or not are related to the comprehensive competitiveness of urban agglomeration.
     Constructing urban agglomeration's modern industrial system is an effective way to solve the current problems in the economy development, realize the coordinated development of regional urban agglomeration, and improve the international competitiveness, response increasingly fierce competition. Hu Jintao's report delivered at the 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) on Oct. 15, 2007 makes a modern industrial system development strategy according to China's economic structure existing prominent problems and clearly show the direction to promote upgrading of the industrial structure and establish modern industrial system. The Decision to Speed up the Construction of Modern Industrial System which is enacted by Guangdong provincial committee and government on July 2008 further clarified a modern industrial system development goals, main frame, key carrier and security measures. The Pearl River Delta Region Reform and Development Program (2008-2020) put forward the modern industrial system of high-level industrial structure, industry development cluster and high-end industrial competitiveness".
     Basing on the analysis about the interactive mechanism between modern industrial system and urban agglomeration, this thesis researches on the fusion mechanism, the concentration and diffusion mechanism and the three-force balance mechanism through building the evaluation index system of the urban agglomeration modern industrial system to propose some countermeasures, suggestion and implementation for the structure of the urban agglomeration modern industrial system. In order to accelerate transformation of the mode of economic development of urban agglomeration and promote upgrading of the industrial structure of urban agglomeration, it has the important practical significance. The article uses synthetically some theories and methods such as regional economics, industrial economics, economic geography, ecology and statistics and so on, adopts many analytical methods such as system analysis, dynamic analysis and model analysis, combines the relevant theory of the urban agglomeration development with the construction of modern industrial system to combine the quantitative research and investigation with the system analysis and reasoning analysis. Taking the three urban agglomerations in China as a starting point, the paper analyzes the developed degree of modern industrial system of the three urban agglomerations and finds out each factor in order to propose countermeasures and suggestions for the different advance modes of modern industrial system of the three urban agglomerations.
     The research content of this thesis is divided into nine chapters: The first chapter explains the source and research background of the issue, makes clear the research goal and research significance, compares the relevant theoretical research at home and abroad and gives the research content and research approach; The second chapter illustrates the connotation and component of modern industrial system, builds the 3D model of modern industrial system, concludes the fundamental principle and design principle; The third chapter discusses the interactive mechanism between modern industrial system and urban agglomeration basing on the analysis about the structure and function of urban agglomeration; The forth chapter, fifth chapter and sixth chapter discourse the formation mechanism of the urban agglomeration modern industrial system from the fusion mechanism, the concentration and diffusion mechanism and the three-force balance mechanism; The seventh chapter constructs the evaluation index system of the urban agglomeration modern industrial system and proposes evaluation method; The eighth chapter with the three urban agglomeration in China for example evaluates the developed degree of modern industrial system of the three urban agglomeration from coordination, concentration and competitiveness, calculate indexes of modern industrial system of urban agglomeration: Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration 27 scores, Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration 23 scores, around Bohai sea urban agglomeration 18 scores, and it uses CCR model of DEA to analyze six combinations of 3D, the result of developing modes of modern industrial system of three urban agglomerations is: Pearl River Delta mode of competition index oriented, Yangtze River Delta mode of concentration index oriented, around Bohai sea mode of coordination index oriented;The last chapter sums up the research conclusions and its innovations, points out its shortage, and looks forward to the development trends of modern industrial system of the urban agglomeration.
引文
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