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中国公司债券市场制度瓶颈与制度创新研究
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摘要
在成熟的市场经济体系中,就企业外源融资而形成的金融市场来看,公司债券、银行信贷和股票之间呈现出一种三足鼎立的关系。作为资本市场的重要组成部分,公司债券市场发展的意义重大:宏观方面,发展公司债券市场既有利于化解国家金融风险,维护国家金融安全,又可以优化资源配置,促进经济快速发展。微观方面,企业增加债券融资既可以促使企业资本结构优化,从而实现价值最大化,又可以满足投资者不同的风险及收益偏好,从而实现资产的最优配置。
     由于投资者的集体监督与还本付息的刚性约束,使得公司债券有着其他金融产品不可替代的优势。包括美国在内的大部分市场经济国家,不论是企业这一微观层面,还是国家金融市场格局这个宏观层面上,公司债券都占据了相当重要的地位,其在资本结构中的相对比重甚至高于股权融资。然而在中国,公司债券市场在金融体系中所扮演的角色却无足轻重。本文选择中国公司债券市场作为研究对象,运用制度经济学的原理对其发展问题进行研究。具体地说,本文从公司债券的供给、需求及市场流通三个环节入手,沿着金融体制、监管模式、信用体制和文化等方面全面诠释公司债券领域的制度约束,并提出相应的制度创新设想。
     资本结构理论表明,在解决现代企业的委托代理和降低综合资金成本方面,公司债券的信息揭示等机制具有显著优势,它理应比银行信贷和股票发挥更突出的作用。另外,它对于推进国有企业改革、消除较为严重的金融风险隐患等,都具有非常重要的意义。这也是中国需要大力发展公司债券的基本原因所在。然而,本文研究发现,公司债券与GDP、CPI、银行信贷增加额、国债发行额、股票筹集额、居民储蓄额等经济变量并无统计上的规律性。因此,本文初步推断,中国公司债券市场发展滞后的现状主要源于制度瓶颈方面。
     进一步地,本文从企业内部到企业外部,从正式制度到非正式制度,从制度环境、制度安排到制度装置,从供给、需求到债券市场等多方位展开,探讨中国公司债券发展的制度瓶颈。本文认为,对中国公司债券影响最深刻的是制度环境和制度安排上对供给的约束。相比之下,政府推行渐进式的市场化改革,银行领域和股票市场在经历了金融管制和金融约束阶段后,金融自由化取得了实质性突破。但是,公司债券仍然处于过度管制时期。本文分析表明,为支持信贷、国债和股票市场的发展,政府对公司债券从发行规模、利率、期限、用途和发债主体等方面都进行了严厉管制。这种管制是造成公司债券市场供给规模过小的重要原因。影响供给的因素也同样作用于需求环境,并有自身的一些特征。政府有意识地通过制度设计使居民金融剩余流向它所偏好的国有银行和较能体现政府意图的股票市场。可以看到,对商业银行等机构投资者的准入限制、双重征税、严格的利率限制、较低的流动性和债券持有人保护制度缺陷等因素既导致了较大的信用风险,也不同程度地降低了公司债券的预期收益,而低预期收益直接从需求方面制约了公司债券市场的发展。
     显然,影响供给和需求的因素都会对流通市场产生作用,而政府对交易和流通领域制度设计的缺陷加剧了公司债券市场体系发育不足,从而体现出较低的流动性。发行额度过小、承销和发行方式单一等一级市场的问题也制约着二级市场的发展。在二级市场上,制度约束情形相对宽松,许多制度瓶颈正在加速打破。然而,制度影响了票息、上市与否、持有年限、收益波动性、收益离散程度、市场参与者数量、价格迷失等经济变量,进而影响了市场的流动性。本文分析表明,做市商制度等提高市场流动性相关制度的缺乏、结算与托管体系的分割、对机构投资者的限制、交易方式和债券品种的单一等,都不同程度地降低了公司债券市场的流动性,阻碍了市场发育。
     金融基础设施作为具有较大正外部性的制度环境,对公司债券的发展来说是基础性的条件。竞争性的金融体制、基于效率和投资者利益导向的监管体制、对债权人利益严格的司法保护、正式制度发挥正常作用所依赖的信用文化、严格限制政府权利的政商关系、充分发挥社会力量的契约传统,等等,都是公司债券发展所依赖的制度。中国公司债券市场发展滞后的现状与金融基础设施建设落后之事实相关。
     本文在供给、需求、流动性与金融基础设施四方面分析了制度方面的问题同时,提出了相应的制度创新建议。
From perspective of financial markets shaped by enterprise external financing channels, there is a triangle relationship of equal importance among corporate bond, stock market and bank loan in those mature market economies. As the key component of the capital markets, the development of corporate bond market will enable enterprises to achieve their optimal capital structures in the course of development so as to realize the goal of value maximization; such development will further satisfy different needs of investment from investors of various types of risk-taking and preferences, so that assets can be efficiently allocated. Corporate bond has its comparative advantage over other sort of financial assets in consideration of its collective investor supervision mechanism as well as constraint of rigid rules of repayment of capital and interest. Therefore, in most market economies such as USA, the weight of corporate bond would be even greater than equity-financing in views of both the national financial market system and the corporate level. However, corporate bond is currently playing quite an unimportant role in the financial system in China. This dissertation will study on the corporate bond markets by employing theories of Institutional Economics to explore its development issues. Specifically, this dissertation will start from perspectives of supply, demand and market circulation of corporate bonds, then provide an explanation to the institutional constraints of corporate bonds field through approaches of financial systems, supervision patterns, credit systems and cultures. The author will finally suggest the relevant measures of improvement.
     It is illustrated by the theory of Capital Structure that corporate bond enjoys prominent advantages in reducing comprehensive capital costs and in dealing with Principal-Agent problems in modern enterprises through mechanism such as disclosure of information. Moreover, corporate bond markets will be useful in declining macro-finance risks then facilitating economic growth. Therefore, its status shall be much more superior to bank loans and stocks in mature market economic systems. This is one of the reasons why China is in need of great efforts in pushing forward the development of corporate bonds. Of course, corporate bond can also be very helpful in promoting the reform of state-owned enterprise as well as eliminating potentiality of financial risks. However, the research outcomes of this dissertation illustrates that there is no statistical regulations between the corporate bond markets and other economic variables such as GDP, CPI、interest rate, credits , the scale of stock market. Accordingly, the author concludes that the backward situation of the corporate bond market in China is mainly a result of the institutional bottleneck in this regard.
     Furthermore, the author explores thus institutional bottle-neck by mechanism of supply and demand from perspectives of external and internal situation of the enterprise, formal and informal institutions, institutional environments, institutional arrangement and devices. It is found out that the most serious impacts imposed on the corporate bond market would be the constraints on the supply by the institutional environment. Though the government has gained great successes in the reforms of the banking system and stock markets even a period of regulation and control was experienced, the corporate bond is still under over-regulation. It is argued in this dissertation that in order to facilitate the development of credit, bonds and stock markets, the government has imposed strict regulations upon corporate bond regarding the issuing scale, interest rate, maturity, utility and issuers which has become main reasons of a small supply of the corporate bonds. Factors impacting supply also impact the demand situation with unique features per se. Intentionally, the government has designed relevant institutions to attract surplus household capitals to flow to the state-owned banks which it preferred and stock markets which may well demonstrate the government intentions. It is obvious that credit risks have been initiated by entry barriers for institutional investors such as commercial banks, dual taxation, low interest rate, low liquidity, and defect protection system to bond holders. This has also declined the expected revenue of the corporate bonds which has constrained the development of corporate bond market from demand side point of view.
     Obviously, factors which impact supply and demand will influence the circulation market. However, the defects of institutional designs of the government in the fields of exchange and circulation have worsened the corporate bond markets and its liquidity. Issues in the primary market such as small issuing scale, single ways of issue and underwrite have aversely constrained the development of the secondary markets. However, the situation is a bit better in the secondary markets where many bottle-necks are broken through. Nevertheless, institutions have great impacts on economic variables such as coupons, listing decisions, maturities, earning fluctuation, earning disperse, number of market participants, lost of prices etc.. The market liquidity will hence be influenced. It is found out that the liquidity is decreased because of the absence of market-maker, the separation between settlements and entrust system, the regulations on institutional investors, the monotony of mode of exchange and the variety bonds.
     With positive externalities, finance infrastructures are quite fundamental for the development of corporate bonds. Institutions such as competitive finance systems, efficiency-oriented and investor-benefit-oriented supervision systems, legal protection to creditors, credit cultures which foster healthy implementation of formal institutions, restrictions on relationship between politicians and merchants, covenants and traditions to foster social forces etc. are all indispensable for development of the corporate binds. The deficiency of finance infrastructure has resulted in the laggard development of the Chinese corporate bond market..
     While carrying out a thorough analysis on the institutional issues of supply, demand, liquidity and finance infrastructure, the author finally puts forth relevant suggestions on the innovation of institutions.
引文
[1]转引自王一萱,银行体系失效与公司债券市场发展:理论、实践与政策建议,深圳证券交易所综合研究所报告,深2003.03.09证综合所研字第0075号。
    [2]数据来源:同①。
    [3]数据来源:根据http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/marketresearch/20070921/00013999427.shtml资料计算。
    [4]虽然经过股权分置改革以后,股市行情有了较大的恢复,但是只要上市公司“圈钱”的意识和行为不改,只要监管工作还是不到位,那么,这种“政策牛市”的风险就不会有根本性缓解。
    [5]关于公司债券的定义,本章1.2.1部分将详细说明。
    [1]瓶颈(Bottleneck)的涵义详见1.2.3.1.
    [2]数据来源:http://zhidao.baidu.com/question/16214788.html?fr=qrl.
    [3]数据来源:孙景德,发达国家企业债券市场发展的特点与启示,《上海金融》,2007.4.
    [4]数据来源:jpkc.nxu.edu.cn/hgjjx/news/view.asp?id=523-15k.
    [5]数据来源:www.duyidu.com/Article/lsxs/txdg/200610/104721.asp-25k.
    [1]数据来源:http://topic.csdn.net/u/20070723/09/7e7a7b3b-5424-4b4d-ae6b-fe0dae12fdbc.html
    [2]数据来源:http://finance.sina.com.cn/china/hgjj/20080124/10564447608.shtml
    [3]即国务院于2004年1月31日颁布的《国务院关于推进资本市场改革开放和稳定发展的若干意见》。
    [4]资料来源:http://www.cs.com.cn/jrbznew/html/2007-03/06/content_2185284.htm
    [5]详见1987年3月27日由国务院颁布的《企业债券管理暂行条例》第五条。
    [1]详见1993年8月2日国务院第121号文《企业债券管理条例》第五条。
    [2]在八十年代中至九十年代初的一段时期里出现了一些企业自发进行的债券筹资行为,当时也称为“企业债券”,这其中只是因为新中国第一部《公司法》在1993年才出台的缘故,而在这部《公司法》里才有了“公司债券”的概念。
    [3]详见《公司法》(1993)第一百六十条。
    [4]详见《公司法》(2005)第一百五十四条。
    [1]详见新华网广东频道2007.9.27
    [1]参见中财网,2006年12月25日
    [2]参见卢现祥,《新制度经济学》,武汉大学出版社,2004年1月,第158-159页。
    [3]同②。
    [1]见希克思,《价值与资本》,牛津出版社1946年版,第144页,转引自沈艺峰,《资本结构理论史》,经济科学出版社,1999年。
    [1]信息来源:http://hk.news.yahoo.com/070915/12/2fplf.html.
    [2]一般来说,这种非线性机制源于下述情况。第一,信贷市场的较强关联效应。信贷市场的全球化、银行之间的同业支付清算系统,多边支付清算系统等,使得任何个别风险可以通过多米诺骨牌效应,在乘数效应下引发系统性风险。第二,金融市场的从众行为,即所谓羊群效应。储户的这种行为往往把个体行为为转化市场行为,从而引起系统性银行风险。第三,银行自身业务的存短贷长这一特性而具有极大的风险。
    [3]资料来源:金融政策择优:全面开放债券市场。http://www.100paper.com/100paper/jingjixue/zhengquanjinrong/zhengquanxiangguan/2007070142064_2.html.
    [1]以上内容转引自何旭强 娄静,证券市场脆弱性的内生机制与相机治理,《东部经济评论》,2004年第4期
    [1]麦金农,王宇.东亚美元末位、浮动恐惧和原罪的主要观点,《经济社会体制比较》2003年第3期
    [2]资料来源:金融政策择优:全面开放债券市场。http://www.100paper.com/100paper/jingjixue/zhengquanjinrong/zhengquanxiangguan/2007070142064_2.html
    [1]详见1.1,第2页。
    [2]以上内容转引自http://www.2008red.com/member_pic_395/files/qikanlunwen/html/article_2569_1.shtml
    [1]参见 陈柳钦,制度、制度变迁与金融制度创新.来源:http://www.tianyabook.com/jingji/040.htm.
    [1]见《国务院关于坚决制止乱集资和加强债券发行管理的通知》第二条。
    [1]按照(社会)契约论,政府是选民利益的代表,它没有自身利益,政府是作为选民的代理者身份出现在市场上。对社会契约论的具体论述,可详见让-雅克·卢梭著,何兆武译《社会契约论》,红旗出版社,1997年。
    [2]按照国家的掠夺理论,政府看成是一个纯粹的租金榨取者,无益于社会经济发展。这也是马克思主义的国家理论之主要观点。
    [3]请参阅(美)道格拉斯·C·诺斯《经济史中的结构与变迁》,陈郁等译,上海三联书店、上海人民出版社,1994年,第20-35页。
    [1]同年,美国的水平为59%,英国是104%,日本为114%,德国是70%,印尼为40%,韩国是44%,马来西亚是89%,泰国是79%。转引自“中国的货币化进程、金融控制及改革困境”,《经济研究》,1997.08。
    [1]关于诱致性制度变迁和强制性制度变迁的定义及相关内容,请参阅 林毅夫,《关于制度变迁的经济学理论:诱致性变迁与强制性变迁》;v.w.拉坦,《诱致性制度变迁理论》,载于《财产权利与制度变迁——产权学派与新制度经济学译文集》,上海三联书店、上海人民出版社,1994年。
    [1]资料来源:http://baike.baidu.com/view/1324635.htm
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