艾比湖流域城镇化与水土资源效益测评及协调性分析
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摘要
为推动艾比湖流域城镇与水土资源开发的协调发展并深化研究,以艾比湖流域各县市为研究对象,构建城镇化与水土资源效益评价指标体系,运用熵值法和主成分分析法计算并评价2005、2010和2015年3个时间点的城镇化水平、土地资源效益和水资源效益;利用耦合协调度模型分析三者的耦合状况及协调发展状态.结果表明:2005-2015年艾比湖流域城镇化水平与水土资源效益整体不高,水资源效益发展速度明显低于其他二者的发展速度,其中独山子区发展最好,温泉县较低;各县市的城镇化水平和水土资源效益的耦合度和协调发展度类型差异较大,各城镇的耦合度类型从主要集中在拮抗阶段到磨合阶段,协调发展度类型由勉强失调转变为初级协调.
In order to promote and deepen the coordinated development of urbanization,water and land resources in Ebinur Lake Basin,counties and cities of which were taken as the study area.With evaluation index system constructed,by means of entropy method and principal component analysis,this paper calculated and evaluated the urbanization level,water and land resources efficiency in year 2005,2010 and 2015,respectively.Coupled degree model was applied to analyze the coupled coordination development.The results showed that from 2005 to 2015,the urbanization level,water and land resources efficiency of Ebinur Lake Basin were not high and the development speed of water resources efficiency was obviously lower than the others.Among all counties and cities,the efficiency development of Dushanzi district was the best and that of Wenquan country was the lowest.With the coupled coordination development degree of counties and cities varied greatly,the coupled types concentrated from the antagonistic stage to the grinding stage,and the coordination development types were turned from uncoodination into primary coordination.
In order to promote and deepen the coordinated development of urbanization,water and land resources in Ebinur Lake Basin,counties and cities of which were taken as the study area.With evaluation index system constructed,by means of entropy method and principal component analysis,this paper calculated and evaluated the urbanization level,water and land resources efficiency in year 2005,2010 and 2015,respectively.Coupled degree model was applied to analyze the coupled coordination development.The results showed that from 2005 to 2015,the urbanization level,water and land resources efficiency of Ebinur Lake Basin were not high and the development speed of water resources efficiency was obviously lower than the others.Among all counties and cities,the efficiency development of Dushanzi district was the best and that of Wenquan country was the lowest.With the coupled coordination development degree of counties and cities varied greatly,the coupled types concentrated from the antagonistic stage to the grinding stage,and the coordination development types were turned from uncoodination into primary coordination.
引文
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[22]董雯,刘志辉,朱健.新疆艾比湖流域水资源供需分析与调控对策研究[J].冰川冻土,2009,31(4):766-770.
[23]董雯,刘志辉.艾比湖流域水资源承载力综合评价[J].干旱区地理,2010,33(2):217-223.
[24]孟现勇,孟宝成.近60年气候变化及人类活动对艾比湖流域水资源的影响[J].水文,2015,35(2):90-96.
[25]李心慧,朱嘉伟,王旋,等.基于主成分分析的河南省粮食产量影响因素[J].河南农业大学学报,2016,50(2):268-274.
[26]曹银贵,周伟.基于主成分分析与层次分析的三峡库区耕地集约利用对比[J].农业工程学报,2010,26(4):291-296.
[27]熊建新,陈端吕.洞庭湖区生态承载力系统耦合协调度时空分异[J].地理科学,2014,34(9):1108-1116.
[2]杜宏茹,刘毅.我国干旱区绿洲城市研究进展[J].地理科学进展,2005,24(2):69-79.
[3]杨宇,刘毅,金凤君,等.塔里木河流域绿洲城镇发展与水土资源效益分析[J].地理学报,2012,67(2):157-168.
[4]陆大道,陈明星.关于“国家新型城镇化规划(2014-2020)”编制大背景的几点认识[J].地理学报,2015,70(2):179-185.
[5]Gao X,Yu T F.The temporal-spatial variation of water resources constraint on urbanization in the northwestern China:examples from the Gansu section of west Longhai-Lanxin economic zone[J].Environment Earth Science,2014,71:4029-4037.
[6]Fang C L,Xie Y.Sustainable urban development in water-constrained Northwest China:A case study along the mid-section of Silk-RoadHexi Corridor[J].Journal of Arid Environments,2010,74(1):140-148.
[7]Zhao W J,Zhu X D.Water quality changes in response to urban expansion:spatially varying relations and determinants[J].Environment Science Pollution Research,2015,22(21):16997-17011.
[8]Ren L,Cui E,Sun H.Temporal and spatial variations in the relationship between urbanization and water quality[J].Environmental Science and Pollution Research,2014,21(23):13646-13655.
[9]Huang J C,Lin C C.Stream discharge characteristics through urbanization gradient in Danshui River,Taiwan:perspectives from observation and simulation[J].Environment Monition Assessmen,2012,184:5689-5703.
[10]鲍超.中国城镇化与经济增长及用水变化的时空耦合关系[J].地理学报,2014,69(12):1799-1809.
[11]张胜武,石培基,王祖静.干旱区内陆河流域城镇化与水资源环境系统耦合分析---以石羊河流域为例[J].经济地理,2012,32(8):143-148.
[12]熊东旭,陈荣.南京城市化与水资源环境耦合关系实证研究[J].河南师范大学学报(自然科学版),2015,43(5):95-101.
[13]Sun A C,Chen T.Land use/cover change and the urbanization process in the Wuhan area from 1991to 2013based on MESMA[J].Environment Earth Science,2016,75:1214-1225.
[14]Lin X,Wang Y,Wang S,et al.Spatial differences and driving forces of land urbanization in China[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2015,25(5):545-558.
[15]杨宇,刘毅,董雯,等.新疆城镇化与土地资源产出效益的空间分异及其协调性[J].生态学报,2011,31(21):6568-6578.
[16]姚小薇,曾杰,李旺君.武汉城市圈城镇化与土地生态系统服务价值空间相关特征[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(9):249-256.
[17]王芳萍,师燕.西宁市土地利用效益与新型城镇化耦合协调度研究[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(6):253-259.
[18]梁变变,石培基.河西走廊城镇化与水资源效益时空格局演变[J].干旱区研究,2017,34(2):452-463.
[19]王红.绿洲城镇化与水土资源利用效益协调度分析---以武威市为例[D].兰州:西北师范大学,2013.
[20]王海英,贾萍.武陵山特困区脆弱生态环境与贫困耦合关系空间分布研究[J].河南师范大学学报(自然科学版),2017,45(6):18-25.
[21]许兴斌,王勇辉,姚俊强.艾比湖流域气候变化及对地表水资源的影响[J].水土保持研究,2015,22(3):121-126.
[22]董雯,刘志辉,朱健.新疆艾比湖流域水资源供需分析与调控对策研究[J].冰川冻土,2009,31(4):766-770.
[23]董雯,刘志辉.艾比湖流域水资源承载力综合评价[J].干旱区地理,2010,33(2):217-223.
[24]孟现勇,孟宝成.近60年气候变化及人类活动对艾比湖流域水资源的影响[J].水文,2015,35(2):90-96.
[25]李心慧,朱嘉伟,王旋,等.基于主成分分析的河南省粮食产量影响因素[J].河南农业大学学报,2016,50(2):268-274.
[26]曹银贵,周伟.基于主成分分析与层次分析的三峡库区耕地集约利用对比[J].农业工程学报,2010,26(4):291-296.
[27]熊建新,陈端吕.洞庭湖区生态承载力系统耦合协调度时空分异[J].地理科学,2014,34(9):1108-1116.
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