我国地震海啸危险性分析方法研究
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摘要
美国、日本等国家已经建立了完善的海啸防灾减灾机制,对海啸危险性分析方法的研究也做了很多的工作,而我国目前在这方面尚属空白。本文首次对我国的海啸危险性分析方法进行了研究,提出了我国地震海啸危险性分析的基本原则,在此基础上,借鉴我国成熟的地震危险性分析方法,建立了我国地震海啸危险性分析方法的主要步骤。在根据我国一些历史地震海啸资料的基础上,通过统计的方法对我国珠江三角洲的海啸危险性进行了研究。
The tsunami disaster mitigation systems have been established in many countries,such as in USA and Japan,and lots of works have been done in the tsunami hazard analysis.In China,tsunami hazard analysis is still an undeveloped research field.In this paper,the tsunami hazard analysis of China is discussed and the basic analysis rules are also given.Based on the seismic hazard analysis method,the main procedure for the tsunami hazard analysis of China is summarized.At the end,the historical tsunami data are collected in the Pearl River Delta of China and the tsunami hazard analysis has been preliminarily given.
The tsunami disaster mitigation systems have been established in many countries,such as in USA and Japan,and lots of works have been done in the tsunami hazard analysis.In China,tsunami hazard analysis is still an undeveloped research field.In this paper,the tsunami hazard analysis of China is discussed and the basic analysis rules are also given.Based on the seismic hazard analysis method,the main procedure for the tsunami hazard analysis of China is summarized.At the end,the historical tsunami data are collected in the Pearl River Delta of China and the tsunami hazard analysis has been preliminarily given.
引文
[1]王绍玉.印度洋地震和海啸灾害引发的若干思考[J].国际地震动态,2005,313(1):1-8.
[2]林均歧.2004年12月26日印度尼西亚地震海啸灾害考察[J].地震工程与工程振动,2005,25(2):30-33.
[3]包澄澜.海啸灾害及其预警系统[J].国际地震动态,2005,313(1):14-18.
[4]郭增建,陈鑫连主编.地震对策[M].北京:地震出版社,1986.
[5]温瑞智,公茂盛,谢礼立.海啸预警系统及我国海啸减灾任务[J].自然灾害学报,2006,15(3):1-6.
[6]温瑞智,周正华,谢礼立.基于强震台网的我国沿海海啸走时预警[J].地震工程与工程震动,2006,26(2):20-24.
[7]Cornell C A.Engineering seismic risk analysis[J].Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,1968,58(5):1583-1606.
[8]胡聿贤主编.地震安全性评价技术教程[M].北京:地震出版社,1999.
[9]Houston J R,Carver R D,Markle D G.Tsunami-wave elevation frequency of occurrence for the Hawaiian Islands[R].U.S.Army Corps ofEngineers Waterways Experiment Station Technical Report H-77-16,1977.
[10]Priest G R,Myers E,Baptista AM,Fleuck P,Wang K,Kamphaus R A,Peterson C D.Cascadia subduction zone tsunamis:hazard mapping atYaquina Bay,Oregon[R].Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries,Open-File Report O-97-34,1997.
[11]Titov VV,Gonzalez F I.Implementation and testing of the method of splitting tsunami(MOST)model[R].NOAATechnical MemorandumERLPMEL-112,1997.
[12]Geist E L,Tom Parsons.Probabilistic Analysis of Tsunami Hazards[J].Natural Hazards.2006,37(3):277-314.
[2]林均歧.2004年12月26日印度尼西亚地震海啸灾害考察[J].地震工程与工程振动,2005,25(2):30-33.
[3]包澄澜.海啸灾害及其预警系统[J].国际地震动态,2005,313(1):14-18.
[4]郭增建,陈鑫连主编.地震对策[M].北京:地震出版社,1986.
[5]温瑞智,公茂盛,谢礼立.海啸预警系统及我国海啸减灾任务[J].自然灾害学报,2006,15(3):1-6.
[6]温瑞智,周正华,谢礼立.基于强震台网的我国沿海海啸走时预警[J].地震工程与工程震动,2006,26(2):20-24.
[7]Cornell C A.Engineering seismic risk analysis[J].Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America,1968,58(5):1583-1606.
[8]胡聿贤主编.地震安全性评价技术教程[M].北京:地震出版社,1999.
[9]Houston J R,Carver R D,Markle D G.Tsunami-wave elevation frequency of occurrence for the Hawaiian Islands[R].U.S.Army Corps ofEngineers Waterways Experiment Station Technical Report H-77-16,1977.
[10]Priest G R,Myers E,Baptista AM,Fleuck P,Wang K,Kamphaus R A,Peterson C D.Cascadia subduction zone tsunamis:hazard mapping atYaquina Bay,Oregon[R].Oregon Department of Geology and Mineral Industries,Open-File Report O-97-34,1997.
[11]Titov VV,Gonzalez F I.Implementation and testing of the method of splitting tsunami(MOST)model[R].NOAATechnical MemorandumERLPMEL-112,1997.
[12]Geist E L,Tom Parsons.Probabilistic Analysis of Tsunami Hazards[J].Natural Hazards.2006,37(3):277-314.
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