基于可持续性晴雨表的北方农牧交错区可持续发展评价——以盐池县为例
|
摘要
因重要的生态屏障功能和生态系统的脆弱性,中国北方农牧交错区可持续发展是一个重要科学问题。以典型北方农牧交错区——宁夏盐池县为例,借鉴"可持续性晴雨表"理论和方法,采用熵值法确定指标权重,对盐池县的可持续发展进行定量评价,并对影响可持续发展的因素进行了分析。结果表明:(1) 1990—2015年盐池县区域发展成就显著,人类福利指数保持持续增长的趋势,但生态系统福利指数稳定增长则始于2005年禁牧等生态政策的生态效益显现以后。(2)改善教育等公共服务水平、优化产业结构可以进一步提高人类福利,经济发展可以直接改善人类福利,经济发展的成果也可以通过生态政策加大对生态环境的投入从而改善生态系统福利。在此基础上提出了盐池县可持续发展的建议。
Sustainable development of the agro-pastoral transitional zone in northern China is an important scientific problem for its important ecological barrier function and the vulnerability of the ecosystem. In this paper,Yanchi,Ningxia was taken as a typical case area of agro-pastoral transitional zone in North China. We Use the theory and method of"barometer of sustainable"to assess sustainable development of Yanchi County,and the entropy method was used to determine the index weight,then the factors that affect the sustainable development were analyzed. The results showed that:( 1) The achievements of regional development in Yanchi were remarkable and the human welfare index continued growing in the 1990—2015,but the ecological welfare index did not stably row until 2005 when the ecological benefits of grazing ecological policy displayed.( 2) The improvement of the level of public services such as medical and education and the optimization of the industrial structure could further improve the welfare of human beings,moreover economic development could directly improve the welfare of human beings,and the results of development could also increase the investment in the ecological environment through ecological policies.Suggestions for sustainable development of Yanchi County were put forward.
Sustainable development of the agro-pastoral transitional zone in northern China is an important scientific problem for its important ecological barrier function and the vulnerability of the ecosystem. In this paper,Yanchi,Ningxia was taken as a typical case area of agro-pastoral transitional zone in North China. We Use the theory and method of"barometer of sustainable"to assess sustainable development of Yanchi County,and the entropy method was used to determine the index weight,then the factors that affect the sustainable development were analyzed. The results showed that:( 1) The achievements of regional development in Yanchi were remarkable and the human welfare index continued growing in the 1990—2015,but the ecological welfare index did not stably row until 2005 when the ecological benefits of grazing ecological policy displayed.( 2) The improvement of the level of public services such as medical and education and the optimization of the industrial structure could further improve the welfare of human beings,moreover economic development could directly improve the welfare of human beings,and the results of development could also increase the investment in the ecological environment through ecological policies.Suggestions for sustainable development of Yanchi County were put forward.
引文
[1]陆大道,樊杰.区域可持续发展研究的兴起与作用[J].中国科学院院刊,2012,27(3):290-319.
[2]李利锋,郑度.区域可持续发展评价:进展与展望[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(3):237-248.
[3]张志强,程国栋,徐中民.可持续发展评估指标、方法及应用研究[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):344-360.
[4]Hardi P,Barg S,Hodge T.Measuring sustainable development:review of current practice[R].Winnipeg,Canada:International Institute for Sustainable Development,1997.
[5]Guijt I,Moiseev A,Prescott-Allen R.IUCN Resource Kit for Sustainable Assessment[R].Gland,Switzerlant:International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources,2001.
[6]Prescott-Allen R.Barometer of Sustainability:Measuring and Communicating Wellbeing and Sustainable Development[R].Gland,Switzerlant:International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources,1997.
[7]Prescott-Allen R.The Wellbeing of Nations:A Country-by-Country Index of Quality of Life and the Environment[M].New York,USA:Island Press,2001:13-150.
[8]张育,张祖群.可持续性晴雨表:基于应用方法的文献研究[J].西北工业大学学报(社会科学版),2013,33(1):48-53.
[9]李利锋,郑度.区域可持续发展评价---以拉萨地区为例[J].地理研究,2004,23(4):551-560.
[10]卢松,陈思屹,潘蕙.古村落旅游可持续性评估的初步研究---以世界文化遗产地宏村为例[J].旅游学刊,2010,25(1):17-25.
[11]甄翌.基于可持续性晴雨表的旅游可持续发展评价[J].统计与决策,2010(7):66-68.
[12]徐中民.生态经济学理论方法与应用[M].郑州:黄河水利出版社,2003:26-47.
[13]刘军会,高吉喜,韩永伟,等.北方农牧交错带可持续发展战略与对策[J].中国发展,2008(2):89-94.
[14]张培峰,胡远满,赵明华.北方农牧交错带经济发展与生态环境协调前景预测[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(3):150-154.
[15]王涛,宋翔,颜长珍,等.近35 a来中国北方土地沙漠化趋势的遥感分析[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(6):1351-1356.
[16]周立华,朱艳玲,黄玉邦.禁牧政策对北方农牧交错区草地沙漠化逆转过程影响的定量评价[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(2):308-313.
[17]陈勇,周立华,张秀娟,等.禁牧政策的生态经济效益---以盐池县为例[J].草业科学,2013,30(2):291-297.
[18]路慧玲.北方农牧交错区禁牧政策的生态经济效应及可持续性评价---以宁夏盐池县为例[D].兰州:中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,2016.
[19]王娅,周立华.宁夏盐池县沙漠化逆转过程的脆弱性诊断[J].中国沙漠,2018,38(1):1-9.
[20]樊胜岳,周立华,马永欢.宁夏盐池县生态保护政策对农户的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2005,15(3):124-128.
[21]毛汉英.山东省可持续发展指标体系初步研究[J].地理研究,1996,15(4):16-23.
[22]王富喜,毛爱华,李赫龙,等.基于熵值法的山东省城镇化质量测度及空间差异分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1323-1329.
[23]马艳梅,吴玉鸣,吴柏钧.长三角地区城镇化可持续发展综合评价---基于熵值法和象限图法[J].经济地理,2015,35(6):47-53.
[24]安祎玮,周立华,杨国靖,等.宁夏盐池县相对资源承载力[J].中国沙漠,2017,37(2):399-406.
[25]余敏江,刘超.生态治理中地方与中央政府的“智猪博弈”及其破解[J].江苏社会科学,2011(2):147-152.
[26]刘凯,任建兰,程钰,等.黄河三角洲地区社会脆弱性评价与影响因素[J].经济地理,2016,36(7):45-52.
[27]路慧玲,周立华,陈勇,等.基于农户视角的盐池县退牧还草政策可持续性分析[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(4):1065-1071.
[28]赵玉洁,张宇清,吴斌,等.农牧民对禁牧政策的意愿及其影响因素分析[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(4):307-311.
[29]侯彩霞,周立华,文岩,等.社会-生态系统视角下农户对禁牧政策的适应性---以宁夏盐池县为例[J].中国沙漠,2018(4):1-9.
[30]刘小鹏,苏胜亮,王亚娟,等.集中连片特殊困难地区村域空间贫困测度指标体系研究[J].地理科学,2014,34(4):447-453.
[31]马兵,周立华,路慧玲,等.基于意愿价值评估法的禁牧政策生态补偿定量分析---以宁夏盐池县为例[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(3):800-807.
[32]Fish B,Christopher T.Poverty and biodiversity:measuring the overlap of human poverty and the biodiversity hotspots[J].Ecological Economics,2007,62(1):93-101.
[2]李利锋,郑度.区域可持续发展评价:进展与展望[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(3):237-248.
[3]张志强,程国栋,徐中民.可持续发展评估指标、方法及应用研究[J].冰川冻土,2002,24(4):344-360.
[4]Hardi P,Barg S,Hodge T.Measuring sustainable development:review of current practice[R].Winnipeg,Canada:International Institute for Sustainable Development,1997.
[5]Guijt I,Moiseev A,Prescott-Allen R.IUCN Resource Kit for Sustainable Assessment[R].Gland,Switzerlant:International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources,2001.
[6]Prescott-Allen R.Barometer of Sustainability:Measuring and Communicating Wellbeing and Sustainable Development[R].Gland,Switzerlant:International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources,1997.
[7]Prescott-Allen R.The Wellbeing of Nations:A Country-by-Country Index of Quality of Life and the Environment[M].New York,USA:Island Press,2001:13-150.
[8]张育,张祖群.可持续性晴雨表:基于应用方法的文献研究[J].西北工业大学学报(社会科学版),2013,33(1):48-53.
[9]李利锋,郑度.区域可持续发展评价---以拉萨地区为例[J].地理研究,2004,23(4):551-560.
[10]卢松,陈思屹,潘蕙.古村落旅游可持续性评估的初步研究---以世界文化遗产地宏村为例[J].旅游学刊,2010,25(1):17-25.
[11]甄翌.基于可持续性晴雨表的旅游可持续发展评价[J].统计与决策,2010(7):66-68.
[12]徐中民.生态经济学理论方法与应用[M].郑州:黄河水利出版社,2003:26-47.
[13]刘军会,高吉喜,韩永伟,等.北方农牧交错带可持续发展战略与对策[J].中国发展,2008(2):89-94.
[14]张培峰,胡远满,赵明华.北方农牧交错带经济发展与生态环境协调前景预测[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(3):150-154.
[15]王涛,宋翔,颜长珍,等.近35 a来中国北方土地沙漠化趋势的遥感分析[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(6):1351-1356.
[16]周立华,朱艳玲,黄玉邦.禁牧政策对北方农牧交错区草地沙漠化逆转过程影响的定量评价[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(2):308-313.
[17]陈勇,周立华,张秀娟,等.禁牧政策的生态经济效益---以盐池县为例[J].草业科学,2013,30(2):291-297.
[18]路慧玲.北方农牧交错区禁牧政策的生态经济效应及可持续性评价---以宁夏盐池县为例[D].兰州:中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,2016.
[19]王娅,周立华.宁夏盐池县沙漠化逆转过程的脆弱性诊断[J].中国沙漠,2018,38(1):1-9.
[20]樊胜岳,周立华,马永欢.宁夏盐池县生态保护政策对农户的影响[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2005,15(3):124-128.
[21]毛汉英.山东省可持续发展指标体系初步研究[J].地理研究,1996,15(4):16-23.
[22]王富喜,毛爱华,李赫龙,等.基于熵值法的山东省城镇化质量测度及空间差异分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1323-1329.
[23]马艳梅,吴玉鸣,吴柏钧.长三角地区城镇化可持续发展综合评价---基于熵值法和象限图法[J].经济地理,2015,35(6):47-53.
[24]安祎玮,周立华,杨国靖,等.宁夏盐池县相对资源承载力[J].中国沙漠,2017,37(2):399-406.
[25]余敏江,刘超.生态治理中地方与中央政府的“智猪博弈”及其破解[J].江苏社会科学,2011(2):147-152.
[26]刘凯,任建兰,程钰,等.黄河三角洲地区社会脆弱性评价与影响因素[J].经济地理,2016,36(7):45-52.
[27]路慧玲,周立华,陈勇,等.基于农户视角的盐池县退牧还草政策可持续性分析[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(4):1065-1071.
[28]赵玉洁,张宇清,吴斌,等.农牧民对禁牧政策的意愿及其影响因素分析[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(4):307-311.
[29]侯彩霞,周立华,文岩,等.社会-生态系统视角下农户对禁牧政策的适应性---以宁夏盐池县为例[J].中国沙漠,2018(4):1-9.
[30]刘小鹏,苏胜亮,王亚娟,等.集中连片特殊困难地区村域空间贫困测度指标体系研究[J].地理科学,2014,34(4):447-453.
[31]马兵,周立华,路慧玲,等.基于意愿价值评估法的禁牧政策生态补偿定量分析---以宁夏盐池县为例[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(3):800-807.
[32]Fish B,Christopher T.Poverty and biodiversity:measuring the overlap of human poverty and the biodiversity hotspots[J].Ecological Economics,2007,62(1):93-101.