中国大陆省际城市用地扩张效率及影响因素研究
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摘要
采用三阶段DEA及Tobit模型分析中国大陆省际城市用地扩张效率及其影响因素,为提升城市用地扩张效率提供政策依据。研究结果表明:①剔除环境变量和统计干扰后,综合效率均值为0.79,纯技术效率均值为0.89,规模效率均值为0.89。②环境变量对投入要素的冗余变量影响显著,经济水平、政府扶持和区位因素对要素投入冗余有抑制作用;对外开放对非农劳动力和土地要素投入冗余存在正向影响,产业结构对非农劳动力冗余存在正向影响。③经济水平对城市用地扩张效率存在显著正向影响,产业结构与平均高程对城市用地扩张效率存在显著负向影响。研究结论:为提升城市用地扩张效率,应结合地区自然条件实施差别化管控政策,优化要素在区域间的合理配置。
Using three-stage DEA and Tobit model to analyze interprovincial urban land use expansion efficiency and influencing factors in mainland China, this paper has provided policy basis for improving the efficiency of urban land expansion. The results show that after removing environmental variables and statistical interference, the mean value of comprehensive efficiency, pure technical efficiency, and scale efficiency is 0.79, 0.89, and 0.89 respectively. Furthermore, environmental variables have significant influence on redundant variables of input factors; while the economic level, government support and location factors have an inhibitory effect on the redundancy of factor input. Opening to the outside world has a positive impact on non-agricultural labor and land input redundancy;and industrial structure has a positive impact on non-agricultural labor redundancy. In addition, economic level has a significant positive impact on the efficiency of urban land expansion; while industrial structure and average elevation have significant negative effects on the efficiency of urban land use expansion. On this basis, this paper points out that In order to improve the efficiency of urban land expansion, differentiated control policies should be implemented in accordance with local natural conditions, and optimizing the reasonable allocation of elements between regions.
Using three-stage DEA and Tobit model to analyze interprovincial urban land use expansion efficiency and influencing factors in mainland China, this paper has provided policy basis for improving the efficiency of urban land expansion. The results show that after removing environmental variables and statistical interference, the mean value of comprehensive efficiency, pure technical efficiency, and scale efficiency is 0.79, 0.89, and 0.89 respectively. Furthermore, environmental variables have significant influence on redundant variables of input factors; while the economic level, government support and location factors have an inhibitory effect on the redundancy of factor input. Opening to the outside world has a positive impact on non-agricultural labor and land input redundancy;and industrial structure has a positive impact on non-agricultural labor redundancy. In addition, economic level has a significant positive impact on the efficiency of urban land expansion; while industrial structure and average elevation have significant negative effects on the efficiency of urban land use expansion. On this basis, this paper points out that In order to improve the efficiency of urban land expansion, differentiated control policies should be implemented in accordance with local natural conditions, and optimizing the reasonable allocation of elements between regions.
引文
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[13]吕晓,黄贤金,赵雲泰.不同视角下建设用地扩张效率的对比分析:以江苏省原通州市为例[J].经济地理,2013,33(7):148-154,168.
[14]郭四代,仝梦,郭杰,等.基于三阶段DEA模型的省际真实环境效率测度与影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(3):106-116.
[15]H O FRIED,C A K LOVELL,S S SCHMIDT,et al.Accounting for Environmental Effects and Statistical Noise in Data Envelopment Analysis[J].Journal of Productivity Analysis,2002,17(1-2).
[16]陈巍巍,张雷,马铁虎,等.关于三阶段DEA模型的几点研究[J].系统工程,2014,32(9):144-149.
[17]黄珂,张安录,张雄.中国城市群农地城市流转效率研究:基于三阶段DEA与Tobit模型的实证分析[J].经济地理,2014,34(11):74-80.
[18]舒帮荣,朱建军,李永乐,等.不同经济发展阶段下城市用地规模扩张动力研究:基于省际面板数据的考察[J].中国土地科学,2013,27(11):65-71.
[19]舒帮荣,李永乐,曲艺,等.不同职能城市建设用地扩张及其驱动力研究:基于中国137个地级以上城市的考察[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2014,14(2):86-92.
[20]吴贤良,刘雨婧,熊鹰,等.湖南省城市土地利用全要素生产率时空演变及影响因素[J].经济地理,2017,37(9):95-101.
[21]王若宇,刘晔,薛德升.2000:2010年中国地区人才优势度与经济发展的空间特征及耦合协调度分析[J].热带地理,2018,38(2):184-195.
[2]刘萌,冯长春,曹广忠.中国城市土地投入产出效率与城镇化水平的耦合关系:对286个地级及以上城市行政单元的分析[J].中国土地科学,2014,28(5):50-57.
[3]李全宝.基于MCR与Markov-CA模型的城镇增长边界划定研究:以江苏省新沂市为例[J/OL].中国国土资源经济,2019(1):83-88[2019-02-20].https://doi.org/10.19676/j.cnki.1672-6995.0000160.
[4]Yansui Liu,Ziwen Zhang,Yang Zhou.Efficiency of construction land allocation in china:an econometric analysis of panel data[J].Land use policy,2018(74):261-272.
[5]ARA KENJIRO.Labor,capital and land in economic growth[J].Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics,1961,1(2):26-41.
[6]PERRY BURNETT.Land use regulations and regional economic development[J].Land Econ,2016,92(2):237-255.
[7]HANSEN G D,PRESCOTT E C.Malthus to solow[J].Am Econ Rev,2002,92(4):1205-1217.
[8]赵可,李平,张安录.经济增长质量对城市建设用地扩张的影响分析:基于全要素生产率视角[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2012,17(2):53-57.
[9]李鑫,欧名豪.建设用地扩张对经济持续增长能力影响[J].经济地理,2012,32(11):126-130.
[10]杜官印,蔡运龙.1997-2007年中国建设用地在经济增长中的利用效率[J].地理科学进展,2010,29(6):693-700.
[11]安乾,李小建,吕可文.中国城市建成区扩张的空间格局及效率分析(1990-2009)[J].经济地理,2012,32(6):37-45.
[12]陈春,冯长春.建设用地扩张效率指数研究[J].地域研究与开发,2011,30(2):133-136.
[13]吕晓,黄贤金,赵雲泰.不同视角下建设用地扩张效率的对比分析:以江苏省原通州市为例[J].经济地理,2013,33(7):148-154,168.
[14]郭四代,仝梦,郭杰,等.基于三阶段DEA模型的省际真实环境效率测度与影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(3):106-116.
[15]H O FRIED,C A K LOVELL,S S SCHMIDT,et al.Accounting for Environmental Effects and Statistical Noise in Data Envelopment Analysis[J].Journal of Productivity Analysis,2002,17(1-2).
[16]陈巍巍,张雷,马铁虎,等.关于三阶段DEA模型的几点研究[J].系统工程,2014,32(9):144-149.
[17]黄珂,张安录,张雄.中国城市群农地城市流转效率研究:基于三阶段DEA与Tobit模型的实证分析[J].经济地理,2014,34(11):74-80.
[18]舒帮荣,朱建军,李永乐,等.不同经济发展阶段下城市用地规模扩张动力研究:基于省际面板数据的考察[J].中国土地科学,2013,27(11):65-71.
[19]舒帮荣,李永乐,曲艺,等.不同职能城市建设用地扩张及其驱动力研究:基于中国137个地级以上城市的考察[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2014,14(2):86-92.
[20]吴贤良,刘雨婧,熊鹰,等.湖南省城市土地利用全要素生产率时空演变及影响因素[J].经济地理,2017,37(9):95-101.
[21]王若宇,刘晔,薛德升.2000:2010年中国地区人才优势度与经济发展的空间特征及耦合协调度分析[J].热带地理,2018,38(2):184-195.