长江经济带资源环境承载力评价及时空格局演变研究
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摘要
通过构建长江经济带资源环境承载力评价指标体系的基础上,运用熵值法对长江经济带资源环境承载力指数值进行测度,并采用探索性空间数据分析方法(ESDA)对长江经济带资源环境承载力时空格局演变过程进行研究。结果表明:2005-2016年长江经济带资源环境承载力整体指数值表现为波动上升趋势,但城市资源环境承载力指数值从东向西大体呈现逐渐递减的趋势,与经济发展水平呈现出一致性的特征。长江经济带资源环境承载力全局Moran′s I值总体不断增大,局部空间演变过程中,除热点区范围分布较为稳定外,次热点区、次冷点区和冷点区变化都较为显著。因此,长江经济带各城市在今后的发展中更应做到自我提高与协同发展,从而推动长江经济带资源环境承载力水平的提高。
In this article,the spatiotemporal pattern of resources and environment carrying capacity in the Yangtze River economic belt was investigated by constructing an evaluation index system of resource and environment carrying capacity,using the entropy theory to quantify the index value,and adopting the spatial data exploratory analysis method..The results show that the overall index value of resources and environmental carrying capacity of the Yangtze River economic belt in the 2005-2016 displayed a moderate upward trend,but the index value of urban resources and environmental carrying capacity gradually decreased from the east to west,which was consistent with the levels of economic development.The overall Moran′s I value of the resource and environment carrying capacity in the Yangtze River economic belt keeps on increasing.In terms of local scale evolution,the distribution of hot spots were relatively stable,while those of sub-hot spots,sub-cold spots and cold spots were relatively unstable.Therefore,cities in the Yangtze River economic belt should achieve self-improvement and co-development in the future development in order to promote the improvement of resources and environmental carrying capacity of the Yangtze River economic belt and to achieve high-quality development.
In this article,the spatiotemporal pattern of resources and environment carrying capacity in the Yangtze River economic belt was investigated by constructing an evaluation index system of resource and environment carrying capacity,using the entropy theory to quantify the index value,and adopting the spatial data exploratory analysis method..The results show that the overall index value of resources and environmental carrying capacity of the Yangtze River economic belt in the 2005-2016 displayed a moderate upward trend,but the index value of urban resources and environmental carrying capacity gradually decreased from the east to west,which was consistent with the levels of economic development.The overall Moran′s I value of the resource and environment carrying capacity in the Yangtze River economic belt keeps on increasing.In terms of local scale evolution,the distribution of hot spots were relatively stable,while those of sub-hot spots,sub-cold spots and cold spots were relatively unstable.Therefore,cities in the Yangtze River economic belt should achieve self-improvement and co-development in the future development in order to promote the improvement of resources and environmental carrying capacity of the Yangtze River economic belt and to achieve high-quality development.
引文
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[13]付云鹏,马树才.城市资源环境承载力及其评价---以中国15个副省级城市为例[J].城市问题,2016(2):36-40.(FU Y P,MA S C.Urban resource and environment carrying capacity and its evaluation-Acase study of 15sub-provincial cities in China[J].Urban problems,2016(2):36-40.(in Chinese))DOI:10.13239/j.bjsshkxy.cswt.160204.
[14]王富喜,毛爱华,李赫龙,等.基于熵值法的山东省城镇化质量测度及空间差异分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1323-1329.(WANG F X,MAO A H,LI HL.Quality measurement and regional difference of urbanization in Shandong Province based on the entropy method[J].Scientia Geographic Sinica.2013,33(11):1323-1329.(in Chinese))
[15]王振波,梁龙武,方创琳,等.京津冀特大城市群生态安全格局时空演变特征及其影响因素[J].生态学报,2018,38(12):4132-4144.(WANG Z B,LIANG L W,FANG C L,et al.Study of the evolution and factors influencing ecological security of the Beijing-TianjinHebei Urban Agglomeration.Acta Ecologica Sinica,2018,38(12):4132-4144.(in Chinese))DOI:10.5846/stxb201802050300.
[16]沈体雁,冯等田,孙铁山.空间计量经济学[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2011.(SHEN T Y,FENG D T,SUN T S.Spatial Econometrics[M].Beijing:Peking University press,2011.(in Chinese))
[17]何宜庆,翁异静.鄱阳湖地区城市资源环境与经济协调发展评价[J].资源科学,2012,34(3):502-509.(HE Y Q,WENG Y J.Assessment of harmonious development between resource,environment and urban economy in Poyang Lake Area[J].Resources Science,2012,34(3):502-509.(in Chinese))
[2]冯欢.重庆市县域尺度资源环境承载力综合评价研究及空间动态分析[D].重庆:西南大学,2017.(FENGH.Comprehensive evaluation of resources and environment carrying capacity and spatial dynamic analysis based on county scale in Chongqing[D].Chongqing:Southwest University,2017.(in Chinese))
[3]雷勋平,邱广华.基于熵权TOPSIS模型的区域资源环境承载力评价实证研究[J].环境科学学报,2016,36(1):314-323.(LEI X P,QIU G H.Empirical study about the carrying evaluation of regional resources and environment based on entropy-weight TOPSIS model[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2016,36(01):314-323.(in Chinese))DOI:10.13671/j.hjkxxb.2015.0580.
[4]张永勇,夏军,王中根.区域水资源承载力理论与方法探讨[J].地理科学进展,2007,26(2):126-132.(ZHANG Y Y,XIA J,WANG Z G.Research on regional water resources carrying capacity theory and method[J].Progress in Geogarphy,2007,26(2):126-132.(in Chinese))
[5]李辉,金菊良,吴成国,等.基于联系数的安徽省水资源承载力动态诊断评价研究[J].南水北调与水利科技,2018,16(1):42-49.(LI H,JIN J L,WU C G,et al.Dynamic evaluation and diagnostic analysis for water resources carrying capacity in Anhui province based on connection number[J].South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science&Technonlogy,2018,16(1):42-49(in Chinese))DOI:10.13476/j.cnki.nsbdqk.20180007.
[6]李燕,张兴奇.基于主成分分析的长江经济带水资源承载力评价[J].水土保持通报,2017,37(4):172-178.(LI Y,ZHANG X Q.Assessment on carrying capacity of water resources in Yangtze River economic zone based on principal component analysis[J].Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation,2017,37(4):172-178.(in Chinese))DOI:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.04.029.
[7]陈兆荣,雷勋平,王亮,等.基于熵值法的区域资源环境承载力评价[J].宜宾学院学报,2013,13(12):88-91.(CHEN Z R,LEI X P,WANG L,et al.Evaluation on regional carrying capital of resources and environments based on entropy model[J].Journal of Yibin University,2013,13(12):88-91.(in Chinese))
[8]陈海波,刘旸旸.江苏省城市资源环境承载力的空间差异[J].城市问题,2013(3):33-37.(CHEN H B,LIU YY.Spatial differences of urban resource and environment carrying capacity in Jiangsu province[J].Urban problems,2013(3):33-37.(in Chinese))
[9]杨亮洁,杨永春.甘肃省资源环境承载力时空分异[J].生态学报,2017,37(20):7000-7017.(YANG L J,YANG Y C.The spatiotemporal variation in resource environmental carrying capital in the Gansu Province of China.Acta Ecological Sinica,2017,37(20):7000-7017.(in Chinese))DOI:10.5846/stxb201608011577.
[10]周侃,樊杰.中国欠发达地区资源环境承载力特征与影响因素---以宁夏西海固地区和云南怒江州为例[J].地理研究,2015,34(1):39-52.(ZHOU K,FANJ.Characteristics and influence factors of resources and environment carrying capacity in underdeveloped areas of China[J].Geographical Research,2015,34(1):39-52.(in Chinese))DOI:10.11821/dlyj201501004.
[11]刘惠敏.长江三角洲城市群综合承载力的时空分异研究[J].中国软科学,2011(10):114-122.(LIU H M.Global factor analysis and spatial differentiation study on comprehensive carrying capacity of urban agglomeration in the Yangtze River Delta[J].China Soft Science,2011(10):114-122.(in Chinese))
[12]湖南省社会科学院绿色发展研究团队.长江经济带绿色发展报告(2017)[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2018.(Green development research team of human academy of social sciences.report on green development of Yangtze River Economic Belt(2017)[M].Beijing:Social Sciences Academic Press,2018.(in Chinese))
[13]付云鹏,马树才.城市资源环境承载力及其评价---以中国15个副省级城市为例[J].城市问题,2016(2):36-40.(FU Y P,MA S C.Urban resource and environment carrying capacity and its evaluation-Acase study of 15sub-provincial cities in China[J].Urban problems,2016(2):36-40.(in Chinese))DOI:10.13239/j.bjsshkxy.cswt.160204.
[14]王富喜,毛爱华,李赫龙,等.基于熵值法的山东省城镇化质量测度及空间差异分析[J].地理科学,2013,33(11):1323-1329.(WANG F X,MAO A H,LI HL.Quality measurement and regional difference of urbanization in Shandong Province based on the entropy method[J].Scientia Geographic Sinica.2013,33(11):1323-1329.(in Chinese))
[15]王振波,梁龙武,方创琳,等.京津冀特大城市群生态安全格局时空演变特征及其影响因素[J].生态学报,2018,38(12):4132-4144.(WANG Z B,LIANG L W,FANG C L,et al.Study of the evolution and factors influencing ecological security of the Beijing-TianjinHebei Urban Agglomeration.Acta Ecologica Sinica,2018,38(12):4132-4144.(in Chinese))DOI:10.5846/stxb201802050300.
[16]沈体雁,冯等田,孙铁山.空间计量经济学[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2011.(SHEN T Y,FENG D T,SUN T S.Spatial Econometrics[M].Beijing:Peking University press,2011.(in Chinese))
[17]何宜庆,翁异静.鄱阳湖地区城市资源环境与经济协调发展评价[J].资源科学,2012,34(3):502-509.(HE Y Q,WENG Y J.Assessment of harmonious development between resource,environment and urban economy in Poyang Lake Area[J].Resources Science,2012,34(3):502-509.(in Chinese))