长株潭城市群区域产业生态创新系统仿真研究
|
摘要
文章在对产业生态区域创新系统运行机制分析的基础上,构建其系统动力学模型,并以长株潭城市群为典型案例,运用Vensim DSS软件对其进行仿真模拟,通过对模型的检验与分析,预测长株潭城市群区域产业生态创新系统的运行趋势。仿真结果表明,纯粹增加企业与中介服务机构的合作力度,并不能很好地改变生态创新专利数量,也就是说无法给长株潭区域生态创新系统带来技术上的革新和突破,反而会提高企业生态创新成本。因此,在实际过程中,政府应该注意两者的相对平衡和取舍,不能盲目地促进企业与中介服务机构的合作。这为长株潭地区实现产业转型升级、走生态化创新发展道路提供理论参考。
This article uses system dynamics as a tool to build a simulation model of regional industry eco-innovation system. Taking Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration as an case study, the article uses Vensim DSS software to do simulation research, validate the feasibility of this model and predict the trends of regional industry eco-innovation system through testing and analyzing of this model. The simulation results show that simply increasing the cooperation between enterprises and intermediary service agencies cannot change the number of eco-innovation patents, that is to say,it cannot bring technological innovation and breakthrough in the eco-innovation system of Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration, but can increase the cost of eco-innovation of enterprises. Therefore, in the actual process, the government should pay attention to the relative balance and trade-off between the two and not blindly promote the cooperation between enterprises and intermediary service agencies. This article can provide theoretical reference for Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration to achieve industrial transformation and upgrading, and take the path of ecological innovation development.
This article uses system dynamics as a tool to build a simulation model of regional industry eco-innovation system. Taking Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration as an case study, the article uses Vensim DSS software to do simulation research, validate the feasibility of this model and predict the trends of regional industry eco-innovation system through testing and analyzing of this model. The simulation results show that simply increasing the cooperation between enterprises and intermediary service agencies cannot change the number of eco-innovation patents, that is to say,it cannot bring technological innovation and breakthrough in the eco-innovation system of Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration, but can increase the cost of eco-innovation of enterprises. Therefore, in the actual process, the government should pay attention to the relative balance and trade-off between the two and not blindly promote the cooperation between enterprises and intermediary service agencies. This article can provide theoretical reference for Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration to achieve industrial transformation and upgrading, and take the path of ecological innovation development.
引文
[1] Korhonen J. Some Suggestions for Regional Industrial Ecosystems-extended industrial ecology[J]. Eco-Management and Auditing,2001,8(1):57-69.
[2] Chertow M. Developing Industrial Ecosystem:Approaches,Cases,and Tools,Bulletin NO 1106[R]. New Haven,CT:Yale School of Forestry&Environmental Studies,2002.
[3] JouniKorhonena,Ilkka Savolainen,Mikael Ohlstrêm. Applications of the industrial ecology concept in a re-search project:Technology and climate change(CLIMTECH)research in Finland[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production,2004,12:1 087-1 097.
[4] Deutz P,Gibbs D C. Eco-Industrial Development and Regional Restructuring:Industrial Ecology or Marketing Tool?[J]. Business Strategy and the Environment,2004(13):347-362.
[5]赵武,马一丹.区域产业生态化:理论演进、评价方法与实践路径[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(11):259-260.
[6]王宏起,刘梦,李玥,等.结构平衡目标下区域战略性新兴产业创新生态系统科技资源配置模型[J].中国科技论坛,2018,11(6):35-43.
[7]王晶,孔凡斌.区域产业生态化效率评价研究[J].经济地理,2012,32(12):102-107.
[8]何向武,周文泳.区域高技术产业创新生态系统协同性分类评价[J].科学学研究,2018,3(17):541-549.
[9]袁莉,蔡琨.城市群可持续发展的系统评价——以长株潭城市群为例[J].系统科学学报,2014,4(11):73-76.
[10]郭荣中,杨敏华.长株潭地区生态系统服务价值分析及趋势预测[J].农业工程学报,2014,3(5):238-246.
[11]陈劲,尹西明.建设新型国家创新生态系统加速国企创新发展[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2018,7(12):1-12.
[12]姜江,胡振华.区域产业集群创新系统发展路径与机制研究[J].经济地理,2013,33(8):86-91.
[13]邵必林,赵煜,宋丹,等. AI产业技术创新系统运行机制与优化对策研究[J].科技进步与对策,2018,22(11):71-78.
[14]张容,钱省三.区域产业生态系统及其生态特性研究[J].研究与发展管理,2009,21(1):45-50.
[15]罗贞礼.边缘区域产业生态化发展的策略定位与对策研究[J].生态经济,2008,2(11):128-130.
[16]阿弗里德·马歇尔.经济学原理[M].廉运杰,译.北京:华夏出版社,2005.
[17]王国红,邢蕊,唐丽艳.区域产业集成创新系统的协同演化研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2012,33(2):74-81.
[18] Hcwells J. Intermediaticn and the mle cf intermediaries in inncvaticn[J]. Research Pclicy,2006,35(5):715-728.
[19]刘兵,李源,许刚.开发区人才聚集与区域经济发展协同机制研究[J].中国软科学,2010(12):89-96.
[20]朱晓霞.基于SD模型的RIS创新驱动力研究[J].科学学研究,2008,12(15):69-71.
[2] Chertow M. Developing Industrial Ecosystem:Approaches,Cases,and Tools,Bulletin NO 1106[R]. New Haven,CT:Yale School of Forestry&Environmental Studies,2002.
[3] JouniKorhonena,Ilkka Savolainen,Mikael Ohlstrêm. Applications of the industrial ecology concept in a re-search project:Technology and climate change(CLIMTECH)research in Finland[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production,2004,12:1 087-1 097.
[4] Deutz P,Gibbs D C. Eco-Industrial Development and Regional Restructuring:Industrial Ecology or Marketing Tool?[J]. Business Strategy and the Environment,2004(13):347-362.
[5]赵武,马一丹.区域产业生态化:理论演进、评价方法与实践路径[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(11):259-260.
[6]王宏起,刘梦,李玥,等.结构平衡目标下区域战略性新兴产业创新生态系统科技资源配置模型[J].中国科技论坛,2018,11(6):35-43.
[7]王晶,孔凡斌.区域产业生态化效率评价研究[J].经济地理,2012,32(12):102-107.
[8]何向武,周文泳.区域高技术产业创新生态系统协同性分类评价[J].科学学研究,2018,3(17):541-549.
[9]袁莉,蔡琨.城市群可持续发展的系统评价——以长株潭城市群为例[J].系统科学学报,2014,4(11):73-76.
[10]郭荣中,杨敏华.长株潭地区生态系统服务价值分析及趋势预测[J].农业工程学报,2014,3(5):238-246.
[11]陈劲,尹西明.建设新型国家创新生态系统加速国企创新发展[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2018,7(12):1-12.
[12]姜江,胡振华.区域产业集群创新系统发展路径与机制研究[J].经济地理,2013,33(8):86-91.
[13]邵必林,赵煜,宋丹,等. AI产业技术创新系统运行机制与优化对策研究[J].科技进步与对策,2018,22(11):71-78.
[14]张容,钱省三.区域产业生态系统及其生态特性研究[J].研究与发展管理,2009,21(1):45-50.
[15]罗贞礼.边缘区域产业生态化发展的策略定位与对策研究[J].生态经济,2008,2(11):128-130.
[16]阿弗里德·马歇尔.经济学原理[M].廉运杰,译.北京:华夏出版社,2005.
[17]王国红,邢蕊,唐丽艳.区域产业集成创新系统的协同演化研究[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2012,33(2):74-81.
[18] Hcwells J. Intermediaticn and the mle cf intermediaries in inncvaticn[J]. Research Pclicy,2006,35(5):715-728.
[19]刘兵,李源,许刚.开发区人才聚集与区域经济发展协同机制研究[J].中国软科学,2010(12):89-96.
[20]朱晓霞.基于SD模型的RIS创新驱动力研究[J].科学学研究,2008,12(15):69-71.