摘要
•We investigate the relationship between burned area and fire-weather for the entire globe, focusing on the fire season the grid-box scale.•A large proportion of total global land area exhibited a significant relationship between fire weather index (FWI) and burned area.•The most sensitive areas to fire weather fluctuations are those with a FWI below 17, like tropical moist and temperate broadleaf forests and also boreal forests and taigas.•We calculated near-future FWI scenarios (2026–2045) using an ensemble of state-of-the-art Earth System Models from the CMIP5 database.•Projected FWI anomalies for the most sensitive biomes are either negative or close to zero, although positive increments in some regions may result in significant disruptions in fire regimes in boreal and Amazon rain forest among others.