Bayesian multi-model projection of irrigation requirement and water use efficiency in three typical rice plantation region of China based on CMIP5

详细信息   

• 作者：Weiguang Wanga ; b ; wangweiguang006@126.com ; wangweiguang006@gmail.com ; Yimin Dinga ; Quanxi Shaoc ; Junzeng Xua ; Xiyun Jiaoa ; Yufeng Luod ; Zhongbo Yua ; b
• 关键词：Climate change ; Multi-model ensemble ; Water use efficiency ; Bayesian model averaging (BMA) ; Uncertainties
• 刊名：Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• 年：2017
• 期：Complete
• DOI：10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.08.008
• 来源：Elsevier
• 类型：期刊

摘要

Evaluate the BMA method for merging different GCMs. Provide the multi-model ensemble based on CMIP5. Project future response of water consumption and utilization efficiency.