Urban adaptation to mega-drought: Anticipatory water modeling, policy, and planning for the urban Southwest
摘要
•‘Medieval’ drought conditions are simulated for water resources in metro Phoenix.•Anticipatory models enable long-term policy analysis for climate change.•Mega-drought results in unsustainable groundwater use between 2000 and 2060.•Aggressive drought management policies can produce sustainable yield.•The time to manage droughts is before they occur.