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Saving for a rainy day: Estimating the needed size of U.S. state budget stabilization funds
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文摘

We recommend against the linear time trend model commonly used in prior research.

The size of the needed rainy day fund (RDF) varies across states.

Existing RDF caps are often lower than the needed RDFs.

At least 21 states never saved enough in their RDFs in the last 25 years.

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