This is a subanalysis from the ICTUS (Invasive versus Conservative Treatment in Unstable coronary Syndromes) trial, including troponin positive NSTE-ACS patients. The main outcome for the current analysis was 5-year death or spontaneous MI. GDF-15 samples were available in 1151 patients. The prognostic value of GDF-15, categorized into < 1200 ng/L, 1200-1800 ng/L and > 1800 ng/L, was assessed in unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression models. Adjustments were made for identified univariable risk factors. The additional discriminative and reclassification value of GDF-15 beyond the independent risk factors was assessed by the category-free net reclassification improvement (1/2 NRI(> 0)) and the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI)
Compared to GDF-15 < 1200 ng/L, a GDF-15 > 1800 ng/L was associated with an increased hazard ratio for death or spontaneous MI, mainly driven by mortality. GDF-15 levels were predictive after adjustments for other identified predictors. Additional discriminative value was shown with the IDI, not with the NRI.
In patients presenting with NSTE-ACS and elevated troponin T, GDF-15 provides prognostic information in addition to identified predictors for mortality and spontaneous MI and can be used to identify patients at high risk during long-term follow-up.
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