用户名: 密码: 验证码:
Effects of tropical North Atlantic SST on tropical cyclone genesis in the western North Pacific
详细信息    查看全文
  • 作者:Jinhua Yu ; Tim Li ; Zhemin Tan ; Zhiwei Zhu
  • 关键词:Tropical North Atlantic SST ; Tropical cyclone genesis in the western North Pacific ; Teleconnection
  • 刊名:Climate Dynamics
  • 出版年:2016
  • 出版时间:February 2016
  • 年:2016
  • 卷:46
  • 期:3-4
  • 页码:865-877
  • 全文大小:2,384 KB
  • 参考文献:Camargo SJ, Emanuel KA, Sobel AH (2007) Use of a genesis potential index to diagnose ENSO effects on tropical cyclone genesis. J Clim 20:4819–4834CrossRef
    Camargo SJ, Wheeler MC, Sobel AH (2009) Diagnosis of the MJO modulation of tropical cyclogenesis using an mpirical index. J Atmos Sci 66:3061–3074CrossRef
    Chan JCL (2000) Tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific associated with El Niño and La Niña events. J Clim 13:2960–2972CrossRef
    Chen TC, Wang SY, Yen MC (2006) Interannual variation of the tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific. J Clim 19:5709–5720CrossRef
    Chia HH, Ropelewski CE (2002) The interannual variability in the genesis location of tropical cyclones in the northwest Pacific. J Clim 15:2934–2944CrossRef
    Ding H, Keenlyside NS, Latif M (2012) Impact of the equatorial Atlantic on the El Niño Southern oscillation. Clim Dyn 38:1965–1972. doi:10.​1007/​s00382-011-1097-y CrossRef
    Dong B-W, Sutton RT (2007) Enhancement of ENSO variability by a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation in a coupled GCM. J Clim 20:4920–4939CrossRef
    Du Y, Yang L, Xie S-P (2011) Tropical Indian Ocean influence on Northwest Pacific tropical cyclones in Summer following strong El Niño. J Clim 24:315–322CrossRef
    Emanuel KA (1987) The dependence of hurricane intensity on climate. Nature 326:483–485CrossRef
    Emanuel KA (1988) The maximum intensity of hurricanes. J Atmos Sci 45:1143–1155CrossRef
    Emanuel KA, Nolan DS (2004) Tropical cyclone activity and global climate. Amer Meteor Soc 240–241. Reprints, 26th conference on hurricanes and tropical meteorology, Miami, FL
    Frank WM, Young GS (2007) The interannual variability of tropical cyclones. Mon Weather Rev 135:3587–3598CrossRef
    Fu B, Li T, Peng M, Weng F (2007) Analysis of tropical cyclone genesis in the western North Pacific for 2000 and 2001. Weather Forecasting 22:763–780CrossRef
    Fu B, Peng M, Li T, Stevens D (2012) Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formation, part II: western North Pacific. Mon Weather Rev 140:1067–1080CrossRef
    Gill AE (1980) Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Quart J Roy Meteorol Soc 106:447–462CrossRef
    Gray WM (1968) Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms. Mon Weather Rev 96:669–700CrossRef
    Ham YG, Kug JS, Park JY, Jin FF (2013) Sea surface temperature in the north tropical Atlantic as a trigger for El Niño/Southern oscillation events. Nat Geosci 6:112–116CrossRef
    Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R et al (1996) The NECP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77(3):437–471CrossRef
    Kushnir Y (1994) Interdecadal variations in North Atlantic sea surface temperature and associated atmospheric conditions. J Clim 7:141–157CrossRef
    Lander MA (1993) Comments on ‘‘A GCM simulation of the relationship between tropical storm formation and ENSO’’. Mon Weather Rev 121:2137–2143CrossRef
    Lau K-H, Lau N-C (1990) Observed structure and propagation characteristics of tropical summertime synoptic-scale disturbances. Mon Weather Rev 118:1888–1913CrossRef
    Li T (2006) Origin of the summertime synoptic-scale wave train in the western North Pacific. J Atmos Sci 63:1093–1102CrossRef
    Li T (2012) Synoptic and climatic aspects of tropical cyclogenesis in western North Pacific. Nova Science Publishers, Inc., Oouchi K, Fudeyasu H (eds) Chap.3, pp.61–94
    Li T, Fu B (2006) Tropical cyclogenesis associated with Rossby wave energy dispersion of a pre-existing typhoon. Part I: satellite data analyses. J Atmos Sci 63:1377–1389CrossRef
    Li Z, Yu W, Li T (2013) Bimodal character of cyclone climatology in Bay of Bengal modulated by monsoon seasonal cycle. J Clim 26:1033–1046CrossRef
    Liu K, Chan J (2013) Inactive period of western North Pacific tropical cyclone activity in 1998–2011. J Clim 26:2614–2630CrossRef
    Menkes CE, Lengaigne M, Marchesiello P et al (2012) Comparison of tropical cyclogenesis indices on seasonal to interannual timescales. Clim Dyn 38:301–321CrossRef
    Peng M, Fu B, Li T, Stevens D (2012) Developing versus non-developing disturbances for tropical cyclone formation, part I: North Atlantic. Mon Weather Rev 140:1047–1066CrossRef
    Rayner NA, Parker DE, Horton EB et al (2003) Global analyses of SST, sea ice and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res 108:4407. doi:10.​1029/​2002JD002670 CrossRef
    Roesch A, Wild M, Gilgen H, Ohmura A (2001) A new snow cover fraction parameterization for the ECHAM4 GCM. Clim Dyn 17:933–946CrossRef
    Rong X, Zhang R, Li T (2010) Impacts of Atlantic SST anomalies on the Indo-East Asian summer monsoon-ENSO relationship. Chin Sci Bull 55:1397–1408
    Royer JF, Chauvin F, Timbal B et al (1998) A GCM study of the impact of greenhouse gas increase on the frequency of occurrence of tropical cyclones. Clim Chang 38:307–343CrossRef
    Sutton RT, Hodson DLR (2005) Mechanism of interdecadal thermohaline circulation variability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM. J Clim 18:1117–1135CrossRef
    Sutton RT, Hodson DLR (2007) Climate response to basin-scale warming and cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean. J Clim 20:891–907CrossRef
    Timmermann A, An S-I, Krebs U, Goosse H (2005) ENSO suppression due to weakening of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. J Clim 18:3122–3139CrossRef
    Wang B, Chan JCL (2002) How strong ENSO events affect tropical storm activity over the western North Pacific. J Clim 15:1643–1658CrossRef
    Wang BRWu, Li T (2003) Atmosphere-warm ocean interaction and its impact on Asian–Australian monsoon variation. J Clim 16:1195–1211CrossRef
    Wang C, Kucharski F, Barimalala R et al (2009) Teleconnection of the tropical Atlantic to the tropical Indian and Pacific oceans: a review of recent findings. Meteorol Z 18:445–454CrossRef
    Wang X, Wang C, Zhou W (2011) Teleconnected influence of North Atlantic sea surface temperature on the El Niño onset. Clim Dyn 37:663–676CrossRef
    Wu B, Zhou T, Li T (2009) Seasonally evolving dominant interannual variability mode over the East Asia. J Clim 22:2992–3005CrossRef
    Wu B, Li T, Zhou T (2010) Relative contributions of the Indian Ocean and local SST anomalies to the maintenance of the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone during El Niño decaying summer. J Clim 23:2974–2986CrossRef
    Xie S-P, Hu K, Hafner J et al (2009) Indian Ocean capacitor effect on indo-western Pacific climate during the summer following El Niño. J Clim 22:730–747CrossRef
    Zhan R-F, Wang Y, Lei X-T (2011) Contributions of ENSO and East Indian Ocean SSTA to the interannual variability of Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone frequency. J Clim 24:509–521CrossRef
    Zhao H, Wu L, Wang R (2014) Decadal variations of intense tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific during 1948–2010. Adv Atmos Sci 31:57–65CrossRef
  • 作者单位:Jinhua Yu (1)
    Tim Li (1) (2)
    Zhemin Tan (3)
    Zhiwei Zhu (1) (2)

    1. CDRC/ESMC, International Laboratory on Climate and Environment Change, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China
    2. IPRC and Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI, 96822, USA
    3. Key Laboratory of Mesoscale Severe Weather/Ministry of Education, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210093, China
  • 刊物类别:Earth and Environmental Science
  • 刊物主题:Earth sciences
    Geophysics and Geodesy
    Meteorology and Climatology
    Oceanography
  • 出版者:Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
  • ISSN:1432-0894
文摘
The tropical cyclone genesis number (TCGN) in July–October (JASO) over the western North Pacific (WNP) exhibits a robust interannual variation. It shows a longitudinally tri-pole pattern with a high in the eastern WNP and South China Sea (SCS) and a low in the western WNP, which explain 42.2 and 23.4 % of total TCGN variance in the eastern WNP and SCS, respectively. The high–low–high pattern is similar to that derived from a TC genesis potential index (GPI). To understand the cause of the longitudinal distribution of the dominant interannual mode, we examine the contributions of environmental parameters associated with GPI. It is found that relative humidity and relative vorticity are important factors responsible for TC variability in the SCS, while vertical shear and relative vorticity are crucial in determining TC activity in eastern WNP. A simultaneous correlation analysis shows that the WNP TCGN in JASO is significantly negatively correlated (with a correlation coefficient of −0.5) with sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) in the tropical North Atlantic (TNA). The longitudinal distribution of TC genesis frequency regressed onto TNA SSTA resembles that regressed upon the WNP TCGN series. The spatial patterns of regressed environmental variables onto the SSTA over the TNA also resemble those onto TCGN in the WNP, that is, an increase of relative humidity in the SCS and a weakening of vertical shear in the eastern WNP are all associated with cold SSTA in the TNA. Further analyses show that the cold SSTA in the TNA induce a negative heating in situ. In response to this negative heating, a low (upper)-level anomalous aniti-cyclonic (cyclonic) flows appear over the subtropical North Atlantic and eastern North Pacific, and to east of the cold SSTA, anomalous low-level westerlies appear in the tropical Indian Ocean. Given pronounced mean westerlies in northern Indian Ocean in boreal summer, the anomalous westerly flows increase local surface wind speed and surface evaporation and cool the SST in situ. Cold SSTA in northern Indian Ocean further suppress local convection, inducing anomalous westerlies to its east, leading to enhanced cyclonic vorticity and low surface pressure over the WNP monsoon trough region. Idealized numerical experiments further confirm this Indian Ocean relaying effect, through which cold SSTA in the tropical Atlantic exert a remote impact to circulation in the WNP. Keywords Tropical North Atlantic SST Tropical cyclone genesis in the western North Pacific Teleconnection

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700