Near-Field Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Metropolitan Tehran Using Region-Specific Directivity Models

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• 作者：Azad Yazdani ; Ahmad Nicknam ; Ehsan Yousefi Dadras…
• 关键词：Seismic hazard ; probabilistic ; near ; fault ; directivity ; pulse ; Tehran
• 刊名：Pure and Applied Geophysics
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：174
• 期：1
• 页码：117-132
• 全文大小：
• 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
• 刊物主题：Geophysics/Geodesy;
• 出版者：Springer International Publishing
• ISSN：1420-9136
• 卷排序：174

文摘

Ground motions are affected by directivity effects at near-fault regions which result in low-frequency cycle pulses at the beginning of the velocity time history. The directivity features of near-fault ground motions can lead to significant increase in the risk of earthquake-induced damage on engineering structures. The ordinary probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) does not take into account such effects; recent studies have thus proposed new frameworks to incorporate directivity effects in PSHA. The objective of this study is to develop the seismic hazard mapping of Tehran City according to near-fault PSHA procedure for different return periods. To this end, the directivity models required in the modified PSHA were developed based on a database of the simulated ground motions. The simulated database was used in this study because there are no recorded near-fault data in the region to derive purely empirically based pulse prediction models. The results show that the directivity effects can significantly affect the estimate of regional seismic hazard.