The drivers of risk to water security in Shanghai

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• 作者：Brian L. Finlayson (1)
  Jon Barnett (1)
  Taoyuan Wei (2)
  Michael Webber (1)
  Maotian Li (2)
  Mark Y. Wang (1)
  Jing Chen (2)
  Hao Xu (3)
  Zhongyuan Chen (2)
  
• 关键词：Climate change ; Sea level rise ; Dams ; South ; North transfer ; China ; Water scarcity
• 刊名：Regional Environmental Change
• 出版年：2013
• 出版时间：April 2013
• 年：2013
• 卷：13
• 期：2
• 页码：329-340
• 全文大小：287 KB
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• 作者单位：Brian L. Finlayson (1)
  Jon Barnett (1)
  Taoyuan Wei (2)
  Michael Webber (1)
  Maotian Li (2)
  Mark Y. Wang (1)
  Jing Chen (2)
  Hao Xu (3)
  Zhongyuan Chen (2)
  
  1. Department of Resource Management and Geography, University of Melbourne, Victoria, 3010, Australia
  2. State Key Laboratory for Estuarine and Coastal Research, East China Normal University, 3663 Zhongshan Beilu, Shanghai, 200062, China
  3. Department of Geography, East China Normal University, 3663 Zhongshan Beilu, Shanghai, 200062, China
  
• ISSN：1436-378X

文摘

Big cities are often said to have big water problems, and Shanghai is no exception. In this paper, we examine and compare the influence of the major factors that give rise to the risk of water insecurity in Shanghai. There is an extensive and diverse literature on these issues, dealt with in isolation, and here, we provide a synthesis of the literature, together with our own assessments and calculations, to assess what are the risks to Shanghai’s water supply and what is our degree of confidence in this assessment. We describe the systems that supply water to the city, and past and future changes in the systems, including changes in the glaciers that supply some water to the river, changes in climate, changes in land use, the construction of dams, and water diversions. We show how, at the same time as Shanghai is increasing its dependence on the Yangtze river, water diversions and sea level rise are increasing the risk that this water will be too saline to consume at certain times of the year. This analysis suggests that most of the major drivers of the risk to water security in Shanghai are within the power of environmental managers to control.