省域畜养产污影响因素分析指标体系构建研究——以河南省为例
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摘要
在畜养产污机理及影响因素分析的基础上,构建了包括污染物产生量、农业种养、社会经济条件3类27个指标的省域畜养产污分析指标体系。同时,以河南省为实证案例区,搜集了2000—2015年河南省农业种养、社会经济条件的相关指标,借助相关分析方法构建了河南省畜养产污分析指标体系,并借助回归分析方法检验影响因素指标的选取效果。结果表明,本研究构建的河南省畜养产污分析指标体系较为合理,污染物产生量与农业种植和社会经济指标相关性较高,符合养殖业与种植业协同发展、污染集聚态势与经济集聚态势趋同的发展规律。因此,依据畜养产污机理简图选取省域畜养产污影响因素的方法是可行的;能够及时更新的畜养产污量可作为省域畜禽养殖业管理政策制定的数据参考;本研究所构建的省域畜养产污影响因素分析指标体系具有一定的实用价值。
Based on the analysis of the livestock and poultry waste generation(LPWG) mechanism and its influencing factors, this paper established a provincial LPWG analysis index system, including 27 indicators of the pollution amount, agricultural planting and breeding, and soci-economic conditions. Meanwhile, this paper also took Henan province as an empirical study for LPWG influencing index system analysis. The Henan province LPWG influencing factors index system was verified by correlation analysis and regression analysis. The results showed that, the provincial LPWG analysis index system of Henan province accordance with the law of the coordinated development of the livestock and poultry breeding industry and planting industry. And it was also accorded with the law of the trend of pollution aggregation was similar to the trend of economic aggregation. Therefore, it was feasible to select the influencing factors of provincial LPWG by the LPWG mechanism; the updatable LPWG quantity could be used as the data reference of the policy formulation for the livestock and poultry breeding industry; the index system of provincial LPWG influencing factors has practical values.
Based on the analysis of the livestock and poultry waste generation(LPWG) mechanism and its influencing factors, this paper established a provincial LPWG analysis index system, including 27 indicators of the pollution amount, agricultural planting and breeding, and soci-economic conditions. Meanwhile, this paper also took Henan province as an empirical study for LPWG influencing index system analysis. The Henan province LPWG influencing factors index system was verified by correlation analysis and regression analysis. The results showed that, the provincial LPWG analysis index system of Henan province accordance with the law of the coordinated development of the livestock and poultry breeding industry and planting industry. And it was also accorded with the law of the trend of pollution aggregation was similar to the trend of economic aggregation. Therefore, it was feasible to select the influencing factors of provincial LPWG by the LPWG mechanism; the updatable LPWG quantity could be used as the data reference of the policy formulation for the livestock and poultry breeding industry; the index system of provincial LPWG influencing factors has practical values.
引文
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[2]柳建国.畜禽粪便污染的农业系统控制模拟及系统防控对策[D].南京:南京农业大学,2009.
[3]付强,诸云强,孙九林,等.中国畜禽养殖的空间格局与重心曲线特征分析[J].地理学报,2012,67(10):1383-1398.
[4]王明利.改革开放四十年我国畜牧业发展:成就、经验及未来趋势[J].农业经济问题,2018(8):60-70.
[5]付强,诸云强,杨红新,等.2002-2009年中国规模化畜禽养殖量区域差异及政策建议[J].农业工程学报,2012,28(18):185-191.
[6]王晋臣,杨瑞珍.中国畜产品区域规模化发展策略、问题与对策[J].中国农业资源与区划,2011,32(4):9-12.
[7]李帷,李艳霞,杨明,等.北京市畜禽养殖的空间分布特征及其粪便耕地施用的可达性[J].自然资源学报,2010,25(5):746-755.
[8]鞠昌华,芮菡艺,朱琳,等.我国畜禽养殖污染分区治理研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2016,37(12):62-69.
[9]易秀,陈生婧,田浩.陕西省养殖业畜禽粪便氮磷耕地负荷的时空分布[J].水土保持通报,2016,36(3):235-240.
[10]冯爱萍,王雪蕾,刘忠,等.东北三省畜禽养殖环境风险时空特征[J].环境科学研究,2015(6):967-974.
[11]赵丽莉,朱远航,宋俊杰,等.河南省畜禽养殖废弃物污染现状及防治对策[J].湖北农业科学,2013(22):5446-5448,5495.
[12]王军霞,徐菲,刘瑞民,等.我国畜禽养殖总量空间热点分析及主要污染物核算[J].农业环境科学学报,2017,36(7):1316-1322.
[13]吴传钧.论地理学的研究核心--人地关系地域系统[J].经济地理,1991,11(3):1-6.
[14]付强.中国畜养产污综合区划方法研究[D].郑州:河南大学,2013.
[15]刘满凤,谢晗进.中国省域经济集聚性与污染集聚性趋同研究[J].经济地理,2014,34(4):25-32.
[16]聂赟彬,乔娟.非洲猪瘟发生对我国生猪产业发展的影响[J].中国农业科技导报,2019,21(1):11-17.
[17]田聪颖,肖海峰.贸易开放背景下中国肉类进口市场格局研究--基于产品异质性的实证分析[J].国际贸易问题,2017(9):130-141.
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