基于ANP-TOPSIS的地下物流系统可行性综合评价方法
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摘要
城市地下物流系统(Underground Logistics System,ULS)是缓解城市交通问题的新思路,虽然在20多年间多个国家进行了许多实践尝试,且大量的研究使技术系统逐渐趋于成熟,但世界上至今尚未出现一例成功案例。尽管相当大比例的研究成果都探讨了ULS的可行性,但多集中于动因、技术系统和效益分析等方面,尚未形成完整的可行性综合评价方法。笔者分析了世界各国地下物流研究成果和工程经验,重新定位ULS,将其作为城市综合交通系统的重要补充。针对我国如何实施城市地下物流系统,从技术、经济、综合交通、环境与社会、运营组织管理5个方面,采用Delphi结合网络层次分析法(ANP法)构建了ULS可行性综合评价的指标体系,并基于TOPSIS法提出可行性综合评价方法。
Underground logistics system( ULS) is a new concept proposed to alleviate the problem of urban traffic. Although many countries have tried to put it into practice for over 20 years and the technology system has been widely studied,there has been few successful case in the world so far. A considerable proportion of researches have explored the feasibility of ULS,but most of them focus on drivers,technical systems and benefit analysis. At present,a complete feasibility evaluation method has not yet been proposed,which is an essential step for deeper research and practical application. This paper analyzes and concludes the engineering experience of more than ten underground logistics lines around the world,and the ULS is positioned as an important supplement to the urban integrated transportation system. In order to explore a way to implement underground logistics in China,taking existing research and analysis of similar projects as reference,this paper constructs the index system of comprehensive evaluation of ULS from the aspects of technology,economy,transportation,environment and society,operation organization and management using Delphi combined with analytic network process( ANP). Then, based on the TOPSIS, a comprehensive feasibility evaluation method has been proposed.
Underground logistics system( ULS) is a new concept proposed to alleviate the problem of urban traffic. Although many countries have tried to put it into practice for over 20 years and the technology system has been widely studied,there has been few successful case in the world so far. A considerable proportion of researches have explored the feasibility of ULS,but most of them focus on drivers,technical systems and benefit analysis. At present,a complete feasibility evaluation method has not yet been proposed,which is an essential step for deeper research and practical application. This paper analyzes and concludes the engineering experience of more than ten underground logistics lines around the world,and the ULS is positioned as an important supplement to the urban integrated transportation system. In order to explore a way to implement underground logistics in China,taking existing research and analysis of similar projects as reference,this paper constructs the index system of comprehensive evaluation of ULS from the aspects of technology,economy,transportation,environment and society,operation organization and management using Delphi combined with analytic network process( ANP). Then, based on the TOPSIS, a comprehensive feasibility evaluation method has been proposed.
引文
[1]黄欧龙,王正,郭东军.地下物流系统---建设节约型社会的选择[J].地下空间与工程学报,2006,2(增1):1264-1268.(Hang Oulong,Wang Zheng,Guo Dongjun.Underground logistic system:an availability selection for the construction of managing community[J].Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering,2006,2(Supp.1):1264-1268.(in Chinese))
[2]Henry Liu,崔建强,林冬,等.纽约市地下物流可行性研究及对世界其他主要城市的启示[J].现代交通技术,2008,5(4):86-92.(Liu H,Cui Jianqiang,Lin Dong,et al.Feasibility of underground freight transport in New York city and lessons learned and implications to other major cities in the world[J].Modern Transportation Technology,2008,5(4):86-92.(in Chinese))
[3]Egbunike O N,Potter A T.Are freight pipelines a pipe dream?A critical review of the UK and European perspective[J].Journal of Transport Geography,2011,19(4):499-508.
[4]Pielage B J.A new development for automated freight transportation systems in the Netherlands[A]//Intelligent Transportation Systems,2001.Proceedings,IEEE[C].2002:762-767.
[5]Kosugi S.Pneumatic capsule pipelines in Japan and future developments[J].Handbook of Powder Technology,2001,10(1):505-511.
[6]Egbunike O N,Potter A T.Are freight pipelines a pipe dream?A critical review of the UK and European perspective[J].Journal of Transport Geography,2011,19(4):499-508.
[7]Roop S S,Roco C E,Morgan C A,et al.Year 3 Report on the technical and economic feasibility of a freight pipeline system in Texas[J].Feasibility Analysis,2002,(09):1-99.
[8]Najafi M,Ardekani S,Shahandashti S M.Evaluation of underground freight transportation in Texas[J].Underground Construction,2017,72(8):28-29.
[9]Rezaie N,Tabesh A,Najafi M,et al.Evaluation of applications and the comparison of routes for underground freight transportation in Texas[C].Pipelines,2016:847-856.
[10]钱七虎.建设特大城市地下快速路和地下物流系统---解决中国特大城市交通问题的新思路[J].科技导报,2004(4):3-6.(Qian Qihu.Construction of underground expressway and underground logistics system in megacities--a new way to solve traffic problems in megacities in China[J].Science and Technology Review,2004(4):3-6.(in Chinese))
[11]马保松,汤凤林,曾聪.发展城市地下管道快捷物流系统的初步构想[J].地下空间,2004,24(1):94-97.(Ma Baosong,Tang Fenglin,Zeng Cong.The preliminary conception of developing city underground pipeline quick logistics system[J].Underground Space,2004,24(1):94-97.(in Chinese))
[12]潘盛艺,毛海军.城市地下物流规划建设关键问题发展研究[J].物流技术,2009(7):253-255.(Pan Shengyi,Mao Haijun.Research on the key issues of urban underground logistics system planning[J].Logistics Technology,2009(7):253-255.(in Chinese))
[13]郭东军,谢金容,陈志龙,等.地下集装箱运输系统研究的深层动因及趋势[J].地下空间与工程学报,2012,8(2):229-235.(Guo Dongjun,Xie Jinrong,Chen Zhilong,et al.The trend and in-depth motivation for the research on underground container transport system[J].Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering,2012,8(2):229-235.(in Chinese))
[14]孟芳,金江,孙淑生.基于ULS武汉市快速物流系统可行性分析[J].物流工程与管理,2011(7):11-13.(Meng Fang,Jin Jiang,Sun Shusheng.Feasibility analysis on ULS-based rapid logistics system in Wuhan[J].Logistics Engineering and Management,2011(7):11-13.(in Chinese))
[15]王坚.基于地下集装箱运输系统的港口总体规划研究[J].水运工程,2010(1):38-42.(Wang Shu.Research of overall plan for harbor based on underground container transport system[J].Port and Waterway Engineering,2010(1):38-42.(in Chinese))
[16]范益群,俞明健,游克思.中国国家会展中心地下集装箱物流系统概念方案研究[J].交通与运输,2015(2):49-51.(Fan Yiqun,Yu Mingjian,You Kesi.Research on concept scheme of underground container logistics system of China national convention and exhibition center[J].Traffic and Transportation,2015(2):49-51.(in Chinese))
[17]张敏,杨超,杨珺.发达国家地下物流系统的比较与借鉴[J].物流技术,2005(3):81-84.(Zhang Min,Yang Chao,Yang Jun.On underground fright transport systems in developed countries[J].logistics technology,2005(3):81-84.(in Chinese))
[18]张明聚,钱七虎,唐劼.现代地下货物运输系统的研究与进展[J].北京工业大学学报,2005,31(6):580-584.(Zhang Mingju,Qian Qihu,Tang Jie.Current status and anticipated future use of modern underground freight transport system[J].Journal of Beijing University of Technology,2005,31(6):580-584.(in Chinese))
[19]Hughes A.Newsbreifs[J].Civil Engineering,2004,74(2):24-25.
[20]Wiegmans B W,Visser J,Konings R,et al.Review of underground logistic systems in the Netherlands:An expost evaluation of barriers,enablers and spin-offs[J].European Transport,2010(45):34-49.
[21]Arends G,Boer E D.Tunnelling of infrastructure:From non-considered to ill considered-lessons from the Netherlands[J].Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology,2001,16(3):225-234.
[2]Henry Liu,崔建强,林冬,等.纽约市地下物流可行性研究及对世界其他主要城市的启示[J].现代交通技术,2008,5(4):86-92.(Liu H,Cui Jianqiang,Lin Dong,et al.Feasibility of underground freight transport in New York city and lessons learned and implications to other major cities in the world[J].Modern Transportation Technology,2008,5(4):86-92.(in Chinese))
[3]Egbunike O N,Potter A T.Are freight pipelines a pipe dream?A critical review of the UK and European perspective[J].Journal of Transport Geography,2011,19(4):499-508.
[4]Pielage B J.A new development for automated freight transportation systems in the Netherlands[A]//Intelligent Transportation Systems,2001.Proceedings,IEEE[C].2002:762-767.
[5]Kosugi S.Pneumatic capsule pipelines in Japan and future developments[J].Handbook of Powder Technology,2001,10(1):505-511.
[6]Egbunike O N,Potter A T.Are freight pipelines a pipe dream?A critical review of the UK and European perspective[J].Journal of Transport Geography,2011,19(4):499-508.
[7]Roop S S,Roco C E,Morgan C A,et al.Year 3 Report on the technical and economic feasibility of a freight pipeline system in Texas[J].Feasibility Analysis,2002,(09):1-99.
[8]Najafi M,Ardekani S,Shahandashti S M.Evaluation of underground freight transportation in Texas[J].Underground Construction,2017,72(8):28-29.
[9]Rezaie N,Tabesh A,Najafi M,et al.Evaluation of applications and the comparison of routes for underground freight transportation in Texas[C].Pipelines,2016:847-856.
[10]钱七虎.建设特大城市地下快速路和地下物流系统---解决中国特大城市交通问题的新思路[J].科技导报,2004(4):3-6.(Qian Qihu.Construction of underground expressway and underground logistics system in megacities--a new way to solve traffic problems in megacities in China[J].Science and Technology Review,2004(4):3-6.(in Chinese))
[11]马保松,汤凤林,曾聪.发展城市地下管道快捷物流系统的初步构想[J].地下空间,2004,24(1):94-97.(Ma Baosong,Tang Fenglin,Zeng Cong.The preliminary conception of developing city underground pipeline quick logistics system[J].Underground Space,2004,24(1):94-97.(in Chinese))
[12]潘盛艺,毛海军.城市地下物流规划建设关键问题发展研究[J].物流技术,2009(7):253-255.(Pan Shengyi,Mao Haijun.Research on the key issues of urban underground logistics system planning[J].Logistics Technology,2009(7):253-255.(in Chinese))
[13]郭东军,谢金容,陈志龙,等.地下集装箱运输系统研究的深层动因及趋势[J].地下空间与工程学报,2012,8(2):229-235.(Guo Dongjun,Xie Jinrong,Chen Zhilong,et al.The trend and in-depth motivation for the research on underground container transport system[J].Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering,2012,8(2):229-235.(in Chinese))
[14]孟芳,金江,孙淑生.基于ULS武汉市快速物流系统可行性分析[J].物流工程与管理,2011(7):11-13.(Meng Fang,Jin Jiang,Sun Shusheng.Feasibility analysis on ULS-based rapid logistics system in Wuhan[J].Logistics Engineering and Management,2011(7):11-13.(in Chinese))
[15]王坚.基于地下集装箱运输系统的港口总体规划研究[J].水运工程,2010(1):38-42.(Wang Shu.Research of overall plan for harbor based on underground container transport system[J].Port and Waterway Engineering,2010(1):38-42.(in Chinese))
[16]范益群,俞明健,游克思.中国国家会展中心地下集装箱物流系统概念方案研究[J].交通与运输,2015(2):49-51.(Fan Yiqun,Yu Mingjian,You Kesi.Research on concept scheme of underground container logistics system of China national convention and exhibition center[J].Traffic and Transportation,2015(2):49-51.(in Chinese))
[17]张敏,杨超,杨珺.发达国家地下物流系统的比较与借鉴[J].物流技术,2005(3):81-84.(Zhang Min,Yang Chao,Yang Jun.On underground fright transport systems in developed countries[J].logistics technology,2005(3):81-84.(in Chinese))
[18]张明聚,钱七虎,唐劼.现代地下货物运输系统的研究与进展[J].北京工业大学学报,2005,31(6):580-584.(Zhang Mingju,Qian Qihu,Tang Jie.Current status and anticipated future use of modern underground freight transport system[J].Journal of Beijing University of Technology,2005,31(6):580-584.(in Chinese))
[19]Hughes A.Newsbreifs[J].Civil Engineering,2004,74(2):24-25.
[20]Wiegmans B W,Visser J,Konings R,et al.Review of underground logistic systems in the Netherlands:An expost evaluation of barriers,enablers and spin-offs[J].European Transport,2010(45):34-49.
[21]Arends G,Boer E D.Tunnelling of infrastructure:From non-considered to ill considered-lessons from the Netherlands[J].Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology,2001,16(3):225-234.