以应急机制建管为导向的规模养殖疫情防治研究
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摘要
全球频发的应急事件凸显出当代社会对进一步推进应急管理的迫切需求。在深刻总结国内外历史经验、科学分析全球公共安全形势的基础上,中国共产党和政府审时度势,做出了全面深入加强中国应急管理工作的重大决策。其中,中国共产党十六届三中全会、四中全会、五中全会和六中全会相继提出要“建立健全分类管理、分级负责、条块结合、属地为主的应急管理体制；形成统一指挥、反应灵敏、协调有序、运转高效的应急管理机制”。中国共产党十七大报告中也对进一步建立健全应急管理机制提出了明确的要求。应急管理机制建设管理的重要性在许多重要会议、报告、文件和法规条律中,都得到了明确和强调。2002年后,受规模效益、养殖条件和政策导向等因素的激励,中国规模养殖量占地区畜禽总量的比例,已由1990年代末的15%左右发展到目前的25%左右,少数地区已达40%。2009年,在规模养殖中极具代表性的生猪规模养殖与农户散养的年出栏头数比例,发展为61.3%比38.7%。快速发展的规模养殖业,为养殖企业(农户)带来了比种植业更多更快的经济效益,但粗放式经营模式伴随而来的还有养殖疫病的大规模爆发。这类疫病的爆发规律由原来的周期性、季节性、阶段性、单一性发展成为随气候、温湿度变化而变化的无季节性和骤发性、疫病发作反复性、疫病交叉变异性。疫情规模由局部发展成区域,甚或侵及全球。这种发展趋势既严重损害了养殖企业(农户)的经济利益,也把食品安全问题挂在了公众的忧虑之中,而且通过市场供给的不良影响对我国市场经济的健康发展带来了不稳定因素。这一切都使得规模养殖疫情应急形势变得愈发严峻。
如何从实际出发,充分借鉴吸收国内外应急管理机制先进理念和技术,以及相关理论和方法,全面有效地分析出规模养殖疫情产生的原因和路径,针对当前规模养殖的实际重点问题,采取切实有效手段,从疫病爆发和蔓延的源头进行防范和治理,这是摆在我们面前一个亟待解决的重要问题。
本文以应急管理机制的基础工作建设管理为导向,采用应急管理理论、饱和流理论和混合遗传算法、系统动力学(System Dynamics,简称SD)反馈仿真理论和技术、以及企业社会责任理论,提出应急管理机制创新的五个薄弱环节,坚持“预防和治理相结合,预防为主”的疫情应急应对理念,落实到规模养殖疫情防治中消除食物链污染和环境污染这两个重要方向开展研究,并以江西银河杜仲绿色规模养殖区域为研究案例进行理论和实际相结合。
本文主要研究成果如下：
1.对规模养殖疫情应急管理机制的创新方向进行了研究。
从应急管理机制内涵和体系框架的新认识、发达国家应急管理机制的特点和成功举措、我国规模养殖疫情应急现况及应急建管矛盾、以及我国应急管理机制薄弱环节建设这四个方面,对规模养殖疫情应急管理机制进行了研究。
2.提出了求上下界网络中最小流的高效算法,在此基础上和原提出的求最大流算法相结合,提出了求紧急网络中最小饱和流的混合遗传算法。
在建立有上下界网络的最大流与最小流的一一对应关系的基础上,基于有上下界网络最大流最小截算法,给出了求有上下界网络的最小流的高效算法；基于最大流与最大饱和流的等价关系,给出了求紧急网络的最大饱和流的高效算法；基于稳态遗传算法作框架、有上下界网络的最小流算法做解码器,给出了求紧急网络的最小饱和流的混合遗传算法。该混合遗传算法,利用了最小饱和流问题的特殊网络结构,在编程实现、计算时间、计算所需内存、以及全局寻优能力等方面有好的性能,是求解最小饱和流问题的稳健有效方法。
3.利用最大流和最小饱和流混合遗传算法,从实际需求出发,对大规模沼液处理流程进行了三层目标轮换六级储存净化网络设计,为高效经济的解决大型沼气工程所形成的沼液二次污染问题提供了一种便利可行的方法。
利用已提出的最大流和最小饱和流网络算法,结合生态系统管理的理念,以江西银河杜仲绿色规模养殖基地二次污染问题为实证研究对象,对该基地沼气工程所产沼液的沼液分流、延迟过滤、自然流好氧、储存输送工艺流程,依据实际地理地形,进行了三层目标轮换六级储存的网络设计。这个网络流程设计在治理大规模沼液二次污染问题上,对工艺流程设计决策的科学合理作出了重要保障,有利于高效经济地实现大型沼气工程区域内沼液零污染最小排放量的核定,为更好地解决大中型规模养殖的沼液二次污染问题提供了一个新的分析方法。
4.提出了反馈调控参数入树逐步建模法,用此方法进行了SD动态反馈仿真分析,从定量角度对开发利用规模养殖液态生物质资源有利于污染防治和绿色食品原料供给进行了有效分析和论证。
以银河杜仲公司规模养殖所产的猪尿与冲栏水共同构成的液态生物质资源开发利用为研究对象,采用了反馈调控参数入树逐步建模法,通过把调控参数设置为常数,逐步建立了液态生物质资源开发利用系统中的7个流位变量(日均存栏数、年猪尿量、场猪尿年产沼气量、场猪尿沼气可发电量、年开发猪尿沼液中的所含的氮、磷、钾量)的流率基本入树模型,并逐一进行初步仿真；然后通过反馈调控参数函数模型,建立这7棵入树的反馈结构仿真模型,继而再进行综合仿真；根据仿真结果和反馈结构图,提出了3条相应的管理对策。
5.通过SD演化博弈分析框架,对有限理性条件下、人参与的环境污染防治系统进行了复杂系统主导结构、环境污染治理随机稳定状态和环境污染防治策略矩阵等的刻画和分析,并提出了实践环保责任的政策建议。
在辨析农业企业社会责任涵义、特点和存在的问题的基础上,以银河杜仲公司及所在区域为研究对象,从我国农业企业当前和今后较长时期内的一个主要社会责任----环境污染防治角度入手,通过SD演化博弈分析框架对以政府、农业企业和公众为主体的疫情防治环境保护系统进行了系统主导结构刻画分析,定义了环境污染治理的随机稳定状态,并对环境污染防治进行了策略矩阵分析,从而提出了以政府、农企和公众为主要责任主体共同实践环保责任的政策建议。
6.依托前述方法和研究结果,围绕规模养殖疫情预防治理的两个重要方向开展研究。
为了夯实应急管理机制工作的基础,着重化解当前规模养殖疫情困境,从两个重要方向开展研究：(1)消除环境污染。以开发猪尿与冲栏水共同构成的液态生物质资源,建立多级储存净化网络,促进多渠道资源开发。并结合银河杜仲公司这个实际案例,进行了杜仲猪用饲料种植生产饲养的SWOT分析、银河杜仲沼气发电成功案例分析、以及沼液多级延迟净化输送网络的实证分析和阐述。(2)消除食物链源头污染。开发本地特色资源种植生产无污染饲料,消除食物链源头污染。
The frequent occurrence of emergency event in the world highlights that the modern society needs the emergency management urgently. Based on the summary of historical experience and the scientific analysis of the public security situation, Chinese government makes a major policy decision of comprehensively strengthen emergency management. The suggestion of "establish and improve the classification management, levels of responsibility, compartmentalized integration of territoriality based emergency management system, the formation of a unified command, responsive, coordinated, orderly and efficient operation of emergency management mechanism" were proposed in the report of the party's sixteen session of third, fourth, Fifth Plenary Session of Chinese Central Committee. The specific demand of further improving emergency management mechanism has also been put forward in the Seventeenth Party Congress report. Furthermore, the importance of the construction of emergency management mechanism is explicit and stressed repeatedly in the government meetings, reports and related regulations and documents. After2002, affected by factors such as economies of scale, farming conditions and policy-orientation, the proportion of the scale farming enlarged from15%in the late1990s to25%now, a few areas has even reached40%. In2009, the ratio of pig's production in the scale farms and in small farms was developed to61.3%to38.7%. The rapid development of large-scale breeding industry brought more and faster economic benefits than planting to farming enterprises (farmers). However, the extensive breeding model is always accompanied with widespread outbreaks of livestock disease. The livestock epidemic disease is always variability of seasonal, sudden, repeated occurrence, and epidemics cross. The epidemic spreads to the total area, even invaded the entire world. This situation is not only seriously damaged the economic interests of the farming enterprise (farmers), but also make the public have to worry about the issue of food safety. For any more, it causes the uncertainty of the healthy development of China's market economy. All of this makes the outbreak of large-scale breeding emergency situation to become increasingly severe.
It is an important an urgent issue of how to proceed from reality, to fully draw on emergency management mechanisms, advanced concepts and technologies as well as the related theories and methods at home and abroad, the actual focus of the current large-scale breeding problems, take effective means, prevention and treatment, from the source of disease outbreaks and spread of this important issue before us an urgent situation, to take practical and effective means of prevention and governance and the source of the spread of outbreaks based on The actual focus of the current large-scale breeding situation.
Guided by the basic construction and management work of emergency management mechanism, using the emergency management theory, saturated flow theory and hybrid genetic algorithm, Feedback simulation technology of System Dynamics, and the theory of corporate social responsibility, five weak links of the emergency management mechanism is identified in this paper. The study is conducted by the means of a combination of theory and Practice with the case of Jiangxi Yinhe Eucommia green scale breeding region. We have designed a three goals rotation of six storage processes biogas slurry planting network system by the proposed hybrid genetic algorithm, to realize the goal of the zero pollution of anaerobic liquid within the breeding region and solve the problem of the second pollution of anaerobic liquid. We simulate the development of the biomass in bio-liquid with the SD rate variable fundamentals in-tree modeling approach. We characterize and analyze the game behavior of the government, agricultural enterprises and the public in the process of prevention and control of pollution with System dynamics and Evolutionary game analysis approach, and put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
The main conclusions of this dissertation are as follows:
1. Study on the innovation direction of large-scale breeding emergency management mechanism.
Based on new analysis and definition of the implication and systematic framework constitution of emergency management mechanism, and combined with the current practical condition of emergency management work in china, innovation analysis focused on five critical weak points, such as risk management and insurance mechanism, information management mechanism, information publication and public opinion intervention mechanism, interest appeal mechanism, supervisory evaluation and accountability mechanism, which must be set up and improved urgently during the construction process of emergency management mechanism.
2. Design an algorithm to find the minimum flow in the upper and lower bounds network, and give a hybrid genetic algorithm of finding the minimum saturated flow in the network of emergency.
In emergency network, the saturated flow is the feasible flow whose flow amount cannot be enhanced any more by only increasing flows along the forward direction, and the minimum saturated flow is the saturated flow with minimal flow amount among all the saturated flows. Minimum saturated flow problem (MSFP) is to find the minimum saturated flow and its corresponding minimal flow amount in emergency network, which is a NP-hard problem. In this paper, MSFP is formulated using a combinatorial optimization model. Based on steady-state genetic algorithm as framework, and minimum flow algorithm as decoder, a hybrid genetic algorithm named MSFP-HGA is proposed as a solution method of the model. Taking advantage of special network structure of MSFP, the MSFP-HGA algorithm has good performance in the sense of being implemented on computer, computational time, required memory for computation, and ability to search global optimum. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the MSFP-HGA algorithm is an efficient and robust method to solve MSFP.
3. Design a three goals rotation of six storage network for large-scale biogas slurry treatment process based on the maximum flow and minimum saturated flow mixed Genetic Algorithm, as well as the actual demands.
Secondary environmental pollution of scale breeding aroused by the rural biogas projects is the key issue in current rural environmental pollution management, which also contains the agriculture industrialization development and affects the Chinese characteristics agricultural modernization process. A case, which is a six storages network system divided into three layers has been studied on resolving secondary environmental pollution from YHDZ scale breeding ranch with algorithm of Maximum Flow and Minimum Saturated Flow and an efficient method is presented to find the minimum amount of outflow per day for biogas slurry without pollution in scale breeding.
4. Present a rate variable fundamental in-tree progressively modeling approach, and with which, we do a Simulation Analysis of Scale Pig Breeding Liquid Biomass Development to demonstrate that the development and utilization of liquid resources conducive to pollution prevention and green food raw material supply.
Pig manure is waste biomass resources; it is rich in organics and fertilizer ingredients such as Nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium. Scale pig breeding liquid aquaculture biomass resources are the waste biomasses mainly in pig urine. The manure and urine of pigs breeding in YHDZ are separated, and the manures are processed into organic fertilizer for sale. The development and utilization of the large quantity of liquid waste is an issue to be investigated. We study the issue of Scale Pig Breeding Liquid Biomass Development of YHDZ corp. via simulation analysis. Based on the record and five-year,10-year development plan of YHDZ, by using the rate variable fundamental in-tree progressively modeling approach, we develop a simulation model with seven in-trees.
5. Demonstrate Solutions close to the actual situation with the SD evolutionary game analysis framework.
Environmental protection is one of the important contents in corporate social responsibility of agricultural enterprises. On the base of the discerning of meaning, characters and problems of agricultural enterprises social responsibility, a main feedback frame model of YHDZ ecosystem environmental pollution has been set up with System Dynamics. In the portrayal of the environmental pollution causes, the root causes of environmental pollution has been found by the definition of stochastic stable state and analysis of policy matrix of environmental pollution control. Policy suggestions have been proposed from the point of agricultural enterprises, government and society in order to help agricultural enterprises to practice their social responsibility.
6. Study on the two important directions of the large-scale breeding epidemic prevention.
(1) To eliminate the environmental pollution. Develop pig urine red bar water constitute the liquid biomass resources to establish a multi-level storage purify Internet to promote the development of multi-channel resources. Combined with the actual case of Yinhe Eucommia corp., conduct a SWOT analysis of The Eucommia pig feed plant production feeding, conduct a case analysis of biogas generation, as well as the empirical Analysis of the biogas slurry multi-stage delay purify the empirical analysis of the transport network and elaborated.(2) To eliminate the contamination of the supply of the food chain. Develop unique local resources cultivation producing clean feed to eliminate food chain source pollution.
如何从实际出发,充分借鉴吸收国内外应急管理机制先进理念和技术,以及相关理论和方法,全面有效地分析出规模养殖疫情产生的原因和路径,针对当前规模养殖的实际重点问题,采取切实有效手段,从疫病爆发和蔓延的源头进行防范和治理,这是摆在我们面前一个亟待解决的重要问题。
本文以应急管理机制的基础工作建设管理为导向,采用应急管理理论、饱和流理论和混合遗传算法、系统动力学(System Dynamics,简称SD)反馈仿真理论和技术、以及企业社会责任理论,提出应急管理机制创新的五个薄弱环节,坚持“预防和治理相结合,预防为主”的疫情应急应对理念,落实到规模养殖疫情防治中消除食物链污染和环境污染这两个重要方向开展研究,并以江西银河杜仲绿色规模养殖区域为研究案例进行理论和实际相结合。
本文主要研究成果如下：
1.对规模养殖疫情应急管理机制的创新方向进行了研究。
从应急管理机制内涵和体系框架的新认识、发达国家应急管理机制的特点和成功举措、我国规模养殖疫情应急现况及应急建管矛盾、以及我国应急管理机制薄弱环节建设这四个方面,对规模养殖疫情应急管理机制进行了研究。
2.提出了求上下界网络中最小流的高效算法,在此基础上和原提出的求最大流算法相结合,提出了求紧急网络中最小饱和流的混合遗传算法。
在建立有上下界网络的最大流与最小流的一一对应关系的基础上,基于有上下界网络最大流最小截算法,给出了求有上下界网络的最小流的高效算法；基于最大流与最大饱和流的等价关系,给出了求紧急网络的最大饱和流的高效算法；基于稳态遗传算法作框架、有上下界网络的最小流算法做解码器,给出了求紧急网络的最小饱和流的混合遗传算法。该混合遗传算法,利用了最小饱和流问题的特殊网络结构,在编程实现、计算时间、计算所需内存、以及全局寻优能力等方面有好的性能,是求解最小饱和流问题的稳健有效方法。
3.利用最大流和最小饱和流混合遗传算法,从实际需求出发,对大规模沼液处理流程进行了三层目标轮换六级储存净化网络设计,为高效经济的解决大型沼气工程所形成的沼液二次污染问题提供了一种便利可行的方法。
利用已提出的最大流和最小饱和流网络算法,结合生态系统管理的理念,以江西银河杜仲绿色规模养殖基地二次污染问题为实证研究对象,对该基地沼气工程所产沼液的沼液分流、延迟过滤、自然流好氧、储存输送工艺流程,依据实际地理地形,进行了三层目标轮换六级储存的网络设计。这个网络流程设计在治理大规模沼液二次污染问题上,对工艺流程设计决策的科学合理作出了重要保障,有利于高效经济地实现大型沼气工程区域内沼液零污染最小排放量的核定,为更好地解决大中型规模养殖的沼液二次污染问题提供了一个新的分析方法。
4.提出了反馈调控参数入树逐步建模法,用此方法进行了SD动态反馈仿真分析,从定量角度对开发利用规模养殖液态生物质资源有利于污染防治和绿色食品原料供给进行了有效分析和论证。
以银河杜仲公司规模养殖所产的猪尿与冲栏水共同构成的液态生物质资源开发利用为研究对象,采用了反馈调控参数入树逐步建模法,通过把调控参数设置为常数,逐步建立了液态生物质资源开发利用系统中的7个流位变量(日均存栏数、年猪尿量、场猪尿年产沼气量、场猪尿沼气可发电量、年开发猪尿沼液中的所含的氮、磷、钾量)的流率基本入树模型,并逐一进行初步仿真；然后通过反馈调控参数函数模型,建立这7棵入树的反馈结构仿真模型,继而再进行综合仿真；根据仿真结果和反馈结构图,提出了3条相应的管理对策。
5.通过SD演化博弈分析框架,对有限理性条件下、人参与的环境污染防治系统进行了复杂系统主导结构、环境污染治理随机稳定状态和环境污染防治策略矩阵等的刻画和分析,并提出了实践环保责任的政策建议。
在辨析农业企业社会责任涵义、特点和存在的问题的基础上,以银河杜仲公司及所在区域为研究对象,从我国农业企业当前和今后较长时期内的一个主要社会责任----环境污染防治角度入手,通过SD演化博弈分析框架对以政府、农业企业和公众为主体的疫情防治环境保护系统进行了系统主导结构刻画分析,定义了环境污染治理的随机稳定状态,并对环境污染防治进行了策略矩阵分析,从而提出了以政府、农企和公众为主要责任主体共同实践环保责任的政策建议。
6.依托前述方法和研究结果,围绕规模养殖疫情预防治理的两个重要方向开展研究。
为了夯实应急管理机制工作的基础,着重化解当前规模养殖疫情困境,从两个重要方向开展研究：(1)消除环境污染。以开发猪尿与冲栏水共同构成的液态生物质资源,建立多级储存净化网络,促进多渠道资源开发。并结合银河杜仲公司这个实际案例,进行了杜仲猪用饲料种植生产饲养的SWOT分析、银河杜仲沼气发电成功案例分析、以及沼液多级延迟净化输送网络的实证分析和阐述。(2)消除食物链源头污染。开发本地特色资源种植生产无污染饲料,消除食物链源头污染。
The frequent occurrence of emergency event in the world highlights that the modern society needs the emergency management urgently. Based on the summary of historical experience and the scientific analysis of the public security situation, Chinese government makes a major policy decision of comprehensively strengthen emergency management. The suggestion of "establish and improve the classification management, levels of responsibility, compartmentalized integration of territoriality based emergency management system, the formation of a unified command, responsive, coordinated, orderly and efficient operation of emergency management mechanism" were proposed in the report of the party's sixteen session of third, fourth, Fifth Plenary Session of Chinese Central Committee. The specific demand of further improving emergency management mechanism has also been put forward in the Seventeenth Party Congress report. Furthermore, the importance of the construction of emergency management mechanism is explicit and stressed repeatedly in the government meetings, reports and related regulations and documents. After2002, affected by factors such as economies of scale, farming conditions and policy-orientation, the proportion of the scale farming enlarged from15%in the late1990s to25%now, a few areas has even reached40%. In2009, the ratio of pig's production in the scale farms and in small farms was developed to61.3%to38.7%. The rapid development of large-scale breeding industry brought more and faster economic benefits than planting to farming enterprises (farmers). However, the extensive breeding model is always accompanied with widespread outbreaks of livestock disease. The livestock epidemic disease is always variability of seasonal, sudden, repeated occurrence, and epidemics cross. The epidemic spreads to the total area, even invaded the entire world. This situation is not only seriously damaged the economic interests of the farming enterprise (farmers), but also make the public have to worry about the issue of food safety. For any more, it causes the uncertainty of the healthy development of China's market economy. All of this makes the outbreak of large-scale breeding emergency situation to become increasingly severe.
It is an important an urgent issue of how to proceed from reality, to fully draw on emergency management mechanisms, advanced concepts and technologies as well as the related theories and methods at home and abroad, the actual focus of the current large-scale breeding problems, take effective means, prevention and treatment, from the source of disease outbreaks and spread of this important issue before us an urgent situation, to take practical and effective means of prevention and governance and the source of the spread of outbreaks based on The actual focus of the current large-scale breeding situation.
Guided by the basic construction and management work of emergency management mechanism, using the emergency management theory, saturated flow theory and hybrid genetic algorithm, Feedback simulation technology of System Dynamics, and the theory of corporate social responsibility, five weak links of the emergency management mechanism is identified in this paper. The study is conducted by the means of a combination of theory and Practice with the case of Jiangxi Yinhe Eucommia green scale breeding region. We have designed a three goals rotation of six storage processes biogas slurry planting network system by the proposed hybrid genetic algorithm, to realize the goal of the zero pollution of anaerobic liquid within the breeding region and solve the problem of the second pollution of anaerobic liquid. We simulate the development of the biomass in bio-liquid with the SD rate variable fundamentals in-tree modeling approach. We characterize and analyze the game behavior of the government, agricultural enterprises and the public in the process of prevention and control of pollution with System dynamics and Evolutionary game analysis approach, and put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
The main conclusions of this dissertation are as follows:
1. Study on the innovation direction of large-scale breeding emergency management mechanism.
Based on new analysis and definition of the implication and systematic framework constitution of emergency management mechanism, and combined with the current practical condition of emergency management work in china, innovation analysis focused on five critical weak points, such as risk management and insurance mechanism, information management mechanism, information publication and public opinion intervention mechanism, interest appeal mechanism, supervisory evaluation and accountability mechanism, which must be set up and improved urgently during the construction process of emergency management mechanism.
2. Design an algorithm to find the minimum flow in the upper and lower bounds network, and give a hybrid genetic algorithm of finding the minimum saturated flow in the network of emergency.
In emergency network, the saturated flow is the feasible flow whose flow amount cannot be enhanced any more by only increasing flows along the forward direction, and the minimum saturated flow is the saturated flow with minimal flow amount among all the saturated flows. Minimum saturated flow problem (MSFP) is to find the minimum saturated flow and its corresponding minimal flow amount in emergency network, which is a NP-hard problem. In this paper, MSFP is formulated using a combinatorial optimization model. Based on steady-state genetic algorithm as framework, and minimum flow algorithm as decoder, a hybrid genetic algorithm named MSFP-HGA is proposed as a solution method of the model. Taking advantage of special network structure of MSFP, the MSFP-HGA algorithm has good performance in the sense of being implemented on computer, computational time, required memory for computation, and ability to search global optimum. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the MSFP-HGA algorithm is an efficient and robust method to solve MSFP.
3. Design a three goals rotation of six storage network for large-scale biogas slurry treatment process based on the maximum flow and minimum saturated flow mixed Genetic Algorithm, as well as the actual demands.
Secondary environmental pollution of scale breeding aroused by the rural biogas projects is the key issue in current rural environmental pollution management, which also contains the agriculture industrialization development and affects the Chinese characteristics agricultural modernization process. A case, which is a six storages network system divided into three layers has been studied on resolving secondary environmental pollution from YHDZ scale breeding ranch with algorithm of Maximum Flow and Minimum Saturated Flow and an efficient method is presented to find the minimum amount of outflow per day for biogas slurry without pollution in scale breeding.
4. Present a rate variable fundamental in-tree progressively modeling approach, and with which, we do a Simulation Analysis of Scale Pig Breeding Liquid Biomass Development to demonstrate that the development and utilization of liquid resources conducive to pollution prevention and green food raw material supply.
Pig manure is waste biomass resources; it is rich in organics and fertilizer ingredients such as Nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium. Scale pig breeding liquid aquaculture biomass resources are the waste biomasses mainly in pig urine. The manure and urine of pigs breeding in YHDZ are separated, and the manures are processed into organic fertilizer for sale. The development and utilization of the large quantity of liquid waste is an issue to be investigated. We study the issue of Scale Pig Breeding Liquid Biomass Development of YHDZ corp. via simulation analysis. Based on the record and five-year,10-year development plan of YHDZ, by using the rate variable fundamental in-tree progressively modeling approach, we develop a simulation model with seven in-trees.
5. Demonstrate Solutions close to the actual situation with the SD evolutionary game analysis framework.
Environmental protection is one of the important contents in corporate social responsibility of agricultural enterprises. On the base of the discerning of meaning, characters and problems of agricultural enterprises social responsibility, a main feedback frame model of YHDZ ecosystem environmental pollution has been set up with System Dynamics. In the portrayal of the environmental pollution causes, the root causes of environmental pollution has been found by the definition of stochastic stable state and analysis of policy matrix of environmental pollution control. Policy suggestions have been proposed from the point of agricultural enterprises, government and society in order to help agricultural enterprises to practice their social responsibility.
6. Study on the two important directions of the large-scale breeding epidemic prevention.
(1) To eliminate the environmental pollution. Develop pig urine red bar water constitute the liquid biomass resources to establish a multi-level storage purify Internet to promote the development of multi-channel resources. Combined with the actual case of Yinhe Eucommia corp., conduct a SWOT analysis of The Eucommia pig feed plant production feeding, conduct a case analysis of biogas generation, as well as the empirical Analysis of the biogas slurry multi-stage delay purify the empirical analysis of the transport network and elaborated.(2) To eliminate the contamination of the supply of the food chain. Develop unique local resources cultivation producing clean feed to eliminate food chain source pollution.
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