地下商业街火灾风险评价
详细信息    本馆镜像全文|  推荐本文 |  |   获取CNKI官网全文
摘要
随着我国经济建设的飞速发展和城市人口的不断增加,地下空间的开发正在进入一个飞速发展的新阶段。与此同时,地下空间的火灾危害性也在不断扩大。地下商业街作为一种地下建筑形式,在地下空间的开发利用中占有重要的地位。目前,对于地下商业街火灾风险的研究,多是基于处方式的评价或者采用软件模拟的形式,侧重于火灾单体评价,而对于地下商业街火灾事故发生过程中风险随时间变化,动态的火灾蔓延描述比较少。
     本文根据地下商业街结构及其火灾特点,分析其火灾风险的特性。并根据地下商业街的火灾风险特性,考虑物质质量损失率和耐火极限,结合FTA分析,构造单体火灾风险函数。利用数学中的传染病模型,构造动态的火灾蔓延微分方程组,对地下商业街的火灾风险进行评价。在此基础上深化模型,得到火灾风险相关性矩阵,可对地下商业街的消防设施进行合理布局,最后通过实例计算来进一步验证方法的可行性。本文对地下商业街的布局设计和今后开展该方向的深入研究可提供一定参考。
With the rapidly growth of the economic construction and the increasing of population size, the development of underground space is stepping into a new phase. Meanwhile, the fire risk in underground space is expanding. The underground commercial street, as a kind of underground architecture, plays an important role in the exploitation and utilization of underground space. The current study about fire risk of underground commercial street is mainly based on assessment complied with specification, or focus on the single fire risk assessment. But there is little description about fire risk in different time and dynamic fire growth in a fire accident of an underground commercial street.
     Based on the structure of underground commercial streets and properties of fires, this study analyzed the characteristics of fire risks. According to the fire risk characteristics of underground commercial streets, combined with FTA, a function model of single fire risk is convinced, with consideration of the rate of mass loss and fire resistant limitation. A dynamic fire spreading differential equation is listed from the concept of epidemic model in Mathematics. Thus, the fire risk of underground commercial streets can be assessed. On this basis, the fire risk matrix of relativity is created after the deepen of that model. Thus a reasonable layout of fire protection facilities of underground commercial streets can be achieved and the feasibility of this method is validated by computing practice. This paper can be a reference for the layout design of underground commercial streets and further studies in this field.
引文
[1]公安部消防局.中国火灾统计年鉴.北京:中国人民公安大学出版社.1997
    [2]公安部消防局.中国火灾统计年鉴.北京:警官教育出版社.1998
    [3]公安部消防局.中国火灾统计年鉴.北京:中国人民公安大学出版社.1999
    [4]公安部消防局.中国火灾统计年鉴.北京:中国人民公安大学出版社.2000
    [5]公安部消防局.中国火灾统计年鉴.北京:中国人事出版社.2001
    [6]公安部消防局.中国火灾统计年鉴.北京:警官教育出版社.2002
    [7]公安部消防局.中国火灾统计年鉴.北京:警官教育出版社.2003
    [8]王巍.浅议地下商场的火灾危险性及预防对策[J].消防科学与技术,2003,(4):338~340
    [9]岳海玲.基于遗传神经网络的地下商场火灾风险评价方法.硕士学位论文,2006.5:1-5
    [10]范维澄,孙金华,陆守香.火灾风险评估方法学[M].北:科学出版社,2004.6:15-17,258,265-279
    [11]褚冠全.基于火灾动力学与统计理论藕合的风险评估方法研究.博士学位论文,2007.4:3-6
    [12]王有为,建筑防火的新动向.Fire Science and Technology,January,2003,22(i):6~10
    [13]霍然,袁宏永.性能化建筑防火分析与设计.合肥:安徽科学技术出版社,2003.9.
    [14] T.M. Yau. Effect of Lining Thermal Inertia on Small-scale Compartment Fire[D]. Preston: Department of Built Envi2ronment of University of Central Lancashire,2001
    [15]毕少颖,王志刚,张银花.消防安全评价方法的分析.消防科学与技术.2002.1:15~17
    [16] Ramachandran, G. Probability based building design for fire safety, part 2.Fire Technology 1995, 31(4):355-368
    [17]王志刚,倪照鹏,王宗存,姜明理.设计火灾中火灾热释放速率曲线的确定[J].
    [18]孔军,邢莉燕.地下空间消防安全的模糊评价.消防技术与产品信息.2003.2:3~5
    [19] Yung D, Hadjisophocleous G V, Proulx G. Modelling concepts for the risk-cost assessment model FIRECAM. and its Application to a Canadian government office Building. Fire Safety Science-Proceedings of the Fifth International Symposium, 619-630, National Research Council Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, 1997
    [20]杨漫红.建筑火灾风险评价技术及应用.硕士学位论文,2001.5:3-4
    [21] Magnusson, S. E. Risk Assessment, proceedings of the Fifth International Symposium on Fire Safety Science,Ed.Hasemi,Y.,International Association of Fire Safety Science,Melboume,3-7 Marth,1997,PP.41-58
    [22] Frantzieh,H.Risk analysis and fire safety engineering.Fire Safety Joumal,1998,31:313一329.
    [23]Fire Safety engineering-Guidance on Fire Risk Assessment,ISO/PDTS 16732,International Organization for Standardization,Geneva,Switzerland,October 2003.
    [24] NFPA 204 Standard for Smoke and Heat Venting 2002 Edition.
    [25] BSDD240:1997,Fire safety Engineering in Buildings.
    [26] ISO TC92/SC4:ISO/WD 16733 Fire Safety Engineering-Selection of design fire scenarios and design fires.2003.01.06
    [27]伍爱友,肖国清,蔡康旭.基于模糊识别的建筑物火灾危险性评价方法.中国安全科学报,2004.5:72
    [28] NFPA 551,Evaluation of Fire Risk Assessment,National Fire ProtectionAssociation,Quincy,MA,2003.
    [29]公安部政治部.消防燃烧学[M].中国人民公安大学出版社.1996
    [30] ICC Performance Code for Buildings and Facilities,International Code Council, FallsChurch,VA,2003.
    [31]马知恩等.传染病动力学的数学建模与研究[M].科学出版社,2004
    [32]《现代数学手册》编纂委员会.随机数学卷[M].华中科技大学出版社,2000
    [33] Tillander, K. Utilization of statistics to assess fire risk prediction methods. VTT Publications, No.537,2004
    [34] NFPA 5000, Construction and Safety Code, National Fire Protection Association, Quincy,MA,2003.
    [35]戴锅生.传热学[M].北京:高等教育出版社.1998
    [36] NFPA 101, The Life Safety Code, National Fire Protection Association, Quincy,MA,2003.
    [37]代丽华,刘海江.城市地下工程内部火灾特点及防治措施.中国科技信息.2005.(20):91
    [38] GB5907-86
    [39] Frank R. Giordano, Maurice D. Weir, William P. Fox.A First Course in Mathematical Modeling, Third Edition [M]. Brooks/Cole, a division of Thomson Learning, 2003
    [40]《火灾科学与消防工程》香港城市大学建筑系火灾安全与灾害研究组,中国科学技术大学火灾科学国家重点实验室编[M].合肥:中国科学技术大学出版社,2007
    [41]姜学鹏,徐志胜.我国火灾损失的时间趋势分析及动态预测[J].消防科学与技术,2005.7:412-414
    [42]舒慧慧,陈琨.火灾隐患的经济学分析[J].消防技术与产品信息,2006.2:49-52
    [43] http://www.ustc.edu/zh_CN/article/77/42f76dcc/(中国科技大学重点实验室简介)
    [44]《消防技术规范汇编》(1999年版),北京:中国计划出版社,1999.4
    [45]公安部四川消防研究所.消防技术与产品信息,2004.3:54-55
    [46] Edward K. Budnick, Harold E. Nelson, David D. Evans.,“Simplified Fire Growth Calculations”, Fire Protection Handbook, 18 Edition, National Fire Protection Association, Batterymarch Park, Quincy, MA, 1997
    [47]李耀明,郝震.谈地下建筑火灾的特点及预防措施[J].武警学院学报,2003,12(6):27-28
    [48]黄锐,杨立中,方伟峰,范维澄.火灾烟气危害性研究及其进展[J].中国工程科学,2002,4(7): 80-85
    [49]刘铁民,钟茂华,王金安,朱国维,林鹏,何里.地下工程安全评价[M].北京:科学出版社,2005: 8-10
    [50]杨军.澳大利亚性能化防火规范的发展及其对我国的启示[J].消防技术与产品信息,2001, 1:5-7
    [51]田树军.地下商业空间中的环境设计研究[D].湖南:湖南大学,2006
    [52]刘文利,刘荪.建筑火灾安全疏散设计及评估方法[J].消防技术与产品信息, 2004.(4): 3-6
    [53]张景林,崔国璋.安全系统工程[M].北京:煤炭工业出版社,2002.7:1-2
    [54]吴穹,许开立.安全管理学[M].北京:煤炭工业出版社,2002.7:15-20
    [55]秦寿康.综合评价原理及应用[M].电子工业出版社,2003
    [56] GB50016-2006
    [57]胡永宏,货思敏.综合评价方法[M].北京:科学出版社,2000.