吐鲁番市城镇化与旅游业耦合协调度分析
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摘要
以丝绸之路经济带重要节点城市吐鲁番市为靶区,以2006-2015年吐鲁番市城镇化与旅游业的相关数据为基础,通过构建城镇化与旅游业两大系统的评价指标体系,运用熵值法计算各指标权重,基于协调耦合协调模型对2006-2015年吐鲁番市城镇化与旅游业的耦合关系进行综合分析.结果表明:(1) 2006-2015年,吐鲁番市城镇化与旅游业的综合评价指数呈上升趋势;(2)借鉴耦合模型,吐鲁番市城镇化与旅游业的耦合度在近十年一直处于拮抗阶段;(3)两大系统协调类型由中度失调转向濒临失调,协调程度为不协调.滞碍关系表征为:2006年旅游业滞后,2007年城镇化滞后,2008-2009年旅游业滞后,2010-2011年城镇化滞后,2012年后旅游业持续滞后.
Based on the relevant data during the 2006-2015 years and the coupling coordination model,Turpan,an important core city of the Silk Road Economic Belt,was chosen as the objective to analyze its coupling relationship between urbanization and tourism.We established the evaluation index system for urbanization and tourism and then applied entropy method to define weighting and evaluation.The results showed that:(1) In the ten years of 2006-2015,the comprehensive evaluation index for urbanization and tourism in Turpan took an upward trend.(2) The coupling degree, in the ten years,was at incompatible stage according the measurement using coupling coordination model.(3) The type of coordination between the two systems was already shifted from modest disorder to nearly mal-adjusted,the level of it belongs to disorder.Finally,the obstacles in the coordination relationship were characterized by:tourism lagged behind in 2006,urbanization lagged behind in 2007,tourism lagged behind in 2008-2009,urbanization lagged behind in 2010-2011,and tourism kept backward from 2012 to 2015.
Based on the relevant data during the 2006-2015 years and the coupling coordination model,Turpan,an important core city of the Silk Road Economic Belt,was chosen as the objective to analyze its coupling relationship between urbanization and tourism.We established the evaluation index system for urbanization and tourism and then applied entropy method to define weighting and evaluation.The results showed that:(1) In the ten years of 2006-2015,the comprehensive evaluation index for urbanization and tourism in Turpan took an upward trend.(2) The coupling degree, in the ten years,was at incompatible stage according the measurement using coupling coordination model.(3) The type of coordination between the two systems was already shifted from modest disorder to nearly mal-adjusted,the level of it belongs to disorder.Finally,the obstacles in the coordination relationship were characterized by:tourism lagged behind in 2006,urbanization lagged behind in 2007,tourism lagged behind in 2008-2009,urbanization lagged behind in 2010-2011,and tourism kept backward from 2012 to 2015.
引文
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[2] Mullins P.Tourism urbanization [J].International Journal of Urban & Regional Research,1991,15(3):326-342.
[3] Gladstone D L.Tourism Urbanization in the United States [J].Urban Affairs Review,1998,34(1):3-27.
[4] Ashworth G,Page S J.Urban tourism research:Recent progress and current paradoxes [J].Tourism Management,2011,32(1):1-15.
[5] 蔡建明.中国城市化发展动力及发展战略研究 [J].地理科学进展,1997,16(2):9-14.
[6] 黄震方,吴江,侯国林.关于旅游城市化问题的初步探讨 [J].长江流域资源与环境,2000,9(2):160-165.
[7] 陆林,葛敬炳.旅游城市化研究进展及启示 [J].地理研究,2006,25(4):741-750.
[8] 杨友宝,王荣成,曹洪华.东北老工业城市旅游业与城市化耦合演变关系研究 [J].人文地理,2016,31(1):140-146.
[9] 唐鸿,刘雨婧,麻学锋.旅游业与新型城镇化协调发展效应评价—以张家界为例 [J].经济地理,2017,37(2):216-223.
[10] Liu J,Nijkamp P,Lin D.Urban-rural imbalance and Tourism-Led Growth in China [J].Annals of Tourism Research,2017,64(5):24-36.
[11] 程广斌,申立敬.天山北坡城市群城市综合承载力评价 [J].中国沙漠,2015,35(5):1371-1375.
[12] 朱浩,谢友文,马红,等.吐鲁番地区暖季降水时空分布特征 [J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2017,11(2):14-20.
[13] 高乐华,张广海.城市化与旅游产业集群耦合发展机制研究—以山东省为例 [J].旅游研究,2011,03(4):59-66.
[14] 王欣,李悦铮.大连市旅游业与城市化协调发展关系评价研究—基于协调发展度模型 [J].科技信息,2014(3):119-121.
[15] 张春晖,马耀峰,吴晶,等.供需视角下西部入境旅游流与目的地耦合协调度及其时空分异研究 [J].经济地理,2013,33(10):174-181.
[16] 陈晓红,吴广斌,万鲁河.基于BP的城市化与生态环境耦合脆弱性与协调性动态模拟研究—以黑龙江省东部煤电化基地为例 [J].地理科学,2014,34(11):1337-1343.
[17] 高楠,马耀峰,李天顺,等.基于耦合模型的旅游产业与城市化协调发展研究—以西安市为例 [J].旅游学刊,2013,28(1):62-68.
[18] 吕添贵,吴次芳,李洪义,等.人口城镇化与土地城镇化协调性测度及优化—以南昌市为例 [J].地理科学,2016,36(2):239-246.
[19] 廖重斌.环境与经济协调发展的定量评判及其分类体系 [J].热带地理,1999,19(2):171-177.
[20] 马燕,何伦志.新疆旅游规模差异及位序体系变化研究 [J].内蒙古师范大学学报:自然科学汉文版,2017,46(1):121-127.
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