中国区域生态效率时空变化及其影响因素分析
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摘要
文章基于2004-2017年中国30个省(市、区)的面板数据,采用考虑非期望产出的超效率SBM模型测度中国省际区域生态效率,在分析区域生态效率空间格局演变特征的基础上,构建空间计量模型,探究区域生态效率变动的驱动因素。研究表明:中国省际生态效率整体呈先上升后下降的变动趋势,地区上整体呈现东部地区>中、西部地区>东北地区的空间分异特征;中国省际生态效率空间格局由"过渡型"向"两极分化型"演变,NICH指数结果显示江苏和宁夏是持续增长区,河南、云南、甘肃、新疆和黑龙江是持续降低区,其他地区波动较大;产业结构对区域生态效率呈正向影响,经济发展水平、技术水平、城镇化水平、对外开放度、环境规制对区域生态效率的影响存在空间差异。
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(cities and districts)in China from 2004 to 2017,this paper uses the super-efficiency SBM model considering the unexpected output to measure the regional ecological efficiency in China. Based on the analysis of the evolution characteristics of the spatial pattern of regional ecological efficiency,this paper constructs a spatial econometric model to explore the driving factors of regional ecological efficiency change.The results show that the interprovincial ecological efficiency of China shows a trend of first rising and then decreasing,and the spatial differentiation of the eastern region>the central and western region>the northeastern region as a whole;The spatial pattern of inter-provincial ecological efficiency in China has evolved from"transitional"to"polarization". The results of NICH index show that Jiangsu and Ningxia are areas of sustained growth,while Henan,Yunnan,Gansu,Xinjiang and Heilongjiang are areas of sustained decline,and other areas fluctuate greatly;Industrial structure has a positive impact on regional ecological efficiency. There are spatial differences in the impact of economic development level,technological level,urbanization level,openness and environmental regulation on regional ecological efficiency.
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(cities and districts)in China from 2004 to 2017,this paper uses the super-efficiency SBM model considering the unexpected output to measure the regional ecological efficiency in China. Based on the analysis of the evolution characteristics of the spatial pattern of regional ecological efficiency,this paper constructs a spatial econometric model to explore the driving factors of regional ecological efficiency change.The results show that the interprovincial ecological efficiency of China shows a trend of first rising and then decreasing,and the spatial differentiation of the eastern region>the central and western region>the northeastern region as a whole;The spatial pattern of inter-provincial ecological efficiency in China has evolved from"transitional"to"polarization". The results of NICH index show that Jiangsu and Ningxia are areas of sustained growth,while Henan,Yunnan,Gansu,Xinjiang and Heilongjiang are areas of sustained decline,and other areas fluctuate greatly;Industrial structure has a positive impact on regional ecological efficiency. There are spatial differences in the impact of economic development level,technological level,urbanization level,openness and environmental regulation on regional ecological efficiency.
引文
[1]成金华,孙琼,郭明晶,等.中国生态效率的区域差异及动态演化研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境，2014,24(1):47-54.
[2]陈丹,王然.我国资源环境承载力态势评估与政策建议[J].生态经济,2015,31(12):111-115.
[3]韩增林,吴爱玲,彭飞,等.基于非期望产出和门槛回归模型的环渤海地区生态效率[J].地理科学进展,2018,37(2):255-265.
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[14]ARABI B,MUNISAMY S,EMROUZNEJAD A,et al.Power industry restructuring and eco-efficiency changes:Anew slacks-based model in Malmquist-Luenberger index measurement[J].Energy Policy,2014,68(2):132-145.
[15]诸大建,朱远.生态效率与循环经济[J].复旦学报：社会科学版，2005(2):60-66.
[16]吕彬,杨建新.生态效率方法研究进展与应用[J].生态学报,2006,26(11):3898-3906.
[17]黄和平,胡晴,乔学忠.基于绿色GDP和生态足迹的江西省生态效率动态变化研究[J].生态学报，2018,38(15):1-12.
[18]任宇飞,方创琳.京津冀城市群县域尺度生态效率评价及空间格局分析[J].地理科学进展,2017,36(1):87-98.
[19]邓波,张学军,郭军华.基于三阶段DEA模型的区域生态效率研究[J].中国软科学,2011(1):92-99.
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[21]张子龙,王开泳,陈兴鹏.中国生态效率演变与环境规制的关系--基于SBM模型和省际面板数据估计[J].经济经纬,2015,32(3):126-131.
[22]毛建素,曾润,杜艳春,等.中国工业行业的生态效率[J].环境科学,2010,31(11):2788-2794.
[23]王宝义,张卫国.中国农业生态效率测度及时空差异研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(6):11-19.
[24]郑德凤,郝帅,孙才志,等.中国大陆生态效率时空演化分析及其趋势预测[J].地理研究,2018,37(5):1034-1046.
[25]侯孟阳,姚顺波.中国城市生态效率测定及其时空动态演变[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(3):13-21.
[26]潘丹,应瑞瑶.中国农业生态效率评价方法与实证--基于非期望产出的SBM模型分析[J].生态学报,2013,33(12):3837-3845.
[27]侯纯光,程钰,任建兰,等.中国创新能力时空格局演变及其影响因素[J].地理科学进展,2016,35(10):1206-1217.
[28]任胜钢,蒋婷婷,李晓磊,等.中国环境规制类型对区域生态效率影响的差异化机制研究[J].经济管理，2016,38(1):157-165.
[29]屈文波.中国区域生态效率的时空差异及驱动因素[J].华东经济管理,2018,32(3):59-66.
[30]ROSA E A,YORK R,DIETZ T.Tracking the anthropogenic drivers of ecological impacts[J].Ambio,2004,33(8):509-512.
[31]苑韶峰,杨丽霞,杨桂山,等.耕地非农化的社会经济驱动因素异质性研究--基于STIRPAT和GWR模型的实证分析[J].经济地理,2013,33(5):137-143.
[32]蔡洁,夏显力,李世平.新型城镇化视角下的区域生态效率研究--以山东省17地市面板数据为例[J].资源科学,2015,37(11):2271-2278.
[33]刘贺贺,杨青山,张郁.东北地区城镇化与生态环境的脱钩分析[J].地理科学,2016,36(12):1860-1869.
[2]陈丹,王然.我国资源环境承载力态势评估与政策建议[J].生态经济,2015,31(12):111-115.
[3]韩增林,吴爱玲,彭飞,等.基于非期望产出和门槛回归模型的环渤海地区生态效率[J].地理科学进展,2018,37(2):255-265.
[4]罗能生,李佳佳,罗富政.中国城镇化进程与区域生态效率关系的实证研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(11):53-60.
[5]SCHALTEGGER S,STURM A.?kologische Rationalit?t:Ansatzpunkte zur Ausgestaltung von?kologieorientierten Managementinstrumenten[J].Die Unternehmung,1990,44(4):273-290.
[6]杨斌.2000-2006年中国区域生态效率研究--基于DEA方法的实证分析[J].经济地理,2009,29(7):1197-1202.
[7]HELMINEN R R.Developing tangible measures for eco-efficiency:the case of the Finnish and Swedish pulp and paper industry[J].Business Strategy&the Environment,2000,9(3):196-210.
[8]HUPPES G,ISHIKAWA M.A Framework for Quantified Eco-efficiency Analysis[J].Journal of Industrial Ecology,2010,9(4):25-41.
[9]MICKWITZ P,MELANEN M,ROSENSTROM U,et al.Regional eco-efficiency indicators-a participatory approach[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2006,14(18):1603-1611.
[10]DYCKHOFF H,ALLEN K.Measuring ecological efficiency with data envelopment analysis(DEA)[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2001,132(2):312-325.
[11]TONE K.A slacks-based measure of super-efficiency in data envelopment analysis[J].European Journal of Operational Research,2002,143(1):32-41.
[12]HUANG J H,YANG X G,CHENG G,et al.A comprehensive eco-efficiency model and dynamics of regional eco-efficiency in China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2014,67(6):228-238.
[13]MA S J,HU S Y,CHEN D J,et al.A case study of a phosphorus chemical firm's application of resource efficiency and eco-efficiency in industrial metabolism under circular economy[J].Journal of Cleaner Production,2015,87:839-849.
[14]ARABI B,MUNISAMY S,EMROUZNEJAD A,et al.Power industry restructuring and eco-efficiency changes:Anew slacks-based model in Malmquist-Luenberger index measurement[J].Energy Policy,2014,68(2):132-145.
[15]诸大建,朱远.生态效率与循环经济[J].复旦学报：社会科学版，2005(2):60-66.
[16]吕彬,杨建新.生态效率方法研究进展与应用[J].生态学报,2006,26(11):3898-3906.
[17]黄和平,胡晴,乔学忠.基于绿色GDP和生态足迹的江西省生态效率动态变化研究[J].生态学报，2018,38(15):1-12.
[18]任宇飞,方创琳.京津冀城市群县域尺度生态效率评价及空间格局分析[J].地理科学进展,2017,36(1):87-98.
[19]邓波,张学军,郭军华.基于三阶段DEA模型的区域生态效率研究[J].中国软科学,2011(1):92-99.
[20]潘兴侠,何宜庆,胡晓峰.区域生态效率评价及其空间计量分析[J].长江流域资源与环境,2013,22(5):640-647.
[21]张子龙,王开泳,陈兴鹏.中国生态效率演变与环境规制的关系--基于SBM模型和省际面板数据估计[J].经济经纬,2015,32(3):126-131.
[22]毛建素,曾润,杜艳春,等.中国工业行业的生态效率[J].环境科学,2010,31(11):2788-2794.
[23]王宝义,张卫国.中国农业生态效率测度及时空差异研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2016,26(6):11-19.
[24]郑德凤,郝帅,孙才志,等.中国大陆生态效率时空演化分析及其趋势预测[J].地理研究,2018,37(5):1034-1046.
[25]侯孟阳,姚顺波.中国城市生态效率测定及其时空动态演变[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2018,28(3):13-21.
[26]潘丹,应瑞瑶.中国农业生态效率评价方法与实证--基于非期望产出的SBM模型分析[J].生态学报,2013,33(12):3837-3845.
[27]侯纯光,程钰,任建兰,等.中国创新能力时空格局演变及其影响因素[J].地理科学进展,2016,35(10):1206-1217.
[28]任胜钢,蒋婷婷,李晓磊,等.中国环境规制类型对区域生态效率影响的差异化机制研究[J].经济管理，2016,38(1):157-165.
[29]屈文波.中国区域生态效率的时空差异及驱动因素[J].华东经济管理,2018,32(3):59-66.
[30]ROSA E A,YORK R,DIETZ T.Tracking the anthropogenic drivers of ecological impacts[J].Ambio,2004,33(8):509-512.
[31]苑韶峰,杨丽霞,杨桂山,等.耕地非农化的社会经济驱动因素异质性研究--基于STIRPAT和GWR模型的实证分析[J].经济地理,2013,33(5):137-143.
[32]蔡洁,夏显力,李世平.新型城镇化视角下的区域生态效率研究--以山东省17地市面板数据为例[J].资源科学,2015,37(11):2271-2278.
[33]刘贺贺,杨青山,张郁.东北地区城镇化与生态环境的脱钩分析[J].地理科学,2016,36(12):1860-1869.