博乐市城市化与大气污染之间关系研究
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摘要
以博乐市为研究区域,选取2005～2016年博乐市11项城市化指数以及3项大气环境污染指数,并获取城市化发展综合指数以及大气污染物水平综合指数。计算过程中,把城市化发展指数作为自变量,SO_2、NO_2、PM_(10)污染物指数、大气污染物综合指数单独作为因变量,解析城市化发展综合水平与大气污染综合指数的关系,并分别对其进行二、三次回归模型的深入分析。结果表明:博乐市2005～2016年城市化发展指数与大气污染物综合指数出现"N型"库兹涅斯(ECK)曲线关系。由于研究周期不长,因而可能只得出真正的ECK曲线的一部分,博乐市城市化发展综合水平与大气污染物综合水平之间的演变规律有待进一步深化探索。
Taking Bole as the research area,11 urbanization indices and 3 air pollution indices of Bole from 2005 to 2016 were selected to obtain the comprehensive index of urbanization development and the air pollutant level.In the process of calculation,the urbanization development index was employed as an independent variable,and the SO_2,NO_2,PM_(10) pollutant indexes and air pollutant comprehensive indexes were used as a dependent variable.The relationship between the comprehensive level of urbanization development and air pollution was studied,and the second and third regression models were analyzed respectively.The results showed that,from 2005 to 2016,the relationship between urbanization development index and air pollutant comprehensive index of Bole appeared "N type" Kuznets(ECK)curve.Due to the lack of a long research cycle,it was possible to only get a part of the true ECK curve.The evolution law between the comprehensive level of Bole urbanization development and the comprehensive level of air pollutants needs to be further explored.
Taking Bole as the research area,11 urbanization indices and 3 air pollution indices of Bole from 2005 to 2016 were selected to obtain the comprehensive index of urbanization development and the air pollutant level.In the process of calculation,the urbanization development index was employed as an independent variable,and the SO_2,NO_2,PM_(10) pollutant indexes and air pollutant comprehensive indexes were used as a dependent variable.The relationship between the comprehensive level of urbanization development and air pollution was studied,and the second and third regression models were analyzed respectively.The results showed that,from 2005 to 2016,the relationship between urbanization development index and air pollutant comprehensive index of Bole appeared "N type" Kuznets(ECK)curve.Due to the lack of a long research cycle,it was possible to only get a part of the true ECK curve.The evolution law between the comprehensive level of Bole urbanization development and the comprehensive level of air pollutants needs to be further explored.
引文
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[20]李庆,肖振雷,李海凤,等.微细粉尘在静电除尘器中的运动状态分析[J].环境工程,2011,29(2):73-77.
[21]郝文阁,裴莹莹,侯亚平,等.ESP电场粉尘非稳态收集过程数值仿真[J].东北大学学报(自然科学版),2008,29(8):1179-1182.
[22]胡晓晴,朱春凤.CFB锅炉炉内二氧化硫(SO2)排放控制[J].城市建设理论研究(电子版),2015(16):3748.
[23]塔西买买提·阿布拉.博乐市空气质量变化趋势分析[J].干旱环境监测,2006,20(4):231-233.
[24]CALDERON-GARCIDUEAS L,RODRIGUEZ-ALCARAZ A,GARCIA R,et al.Nasal inflammatory responses in children exposed to a polluted urban atmosphere[J].Journal of Toxicology & Environmental Health,1995,45(4):427-437.
[25]龚坚艰,辛红云.博乐市空气质量下降原因及对策[J].绿色科技,2016(16):51-53.
[26]孙国金.机动车排放PM2.5和NOx的特征与减排对策[D].杭州:浙江大学,2013.
[27]祁卫敏,卜东杰.代替小吨位燃煤锅炉几种方式[J].时代报告(学术版),2015(11):215-215.
[28]张鹏.基于低碳经济视角的内蒙古能源结构调整研究[D].呼和浩特:内蒙古大学,2012.
[29]王国祖.城市综合体餐饮业燃气工程中几点问题的浅见[J].工程技术:全文版,2016(10):108.
[30]刘宇,王晓立,韩浩章,等.城市绿地空气PM10浓度及其与环境因子的关系[J].南方农业学报,2015,46(8):1469-1473.
[2]CANAS ,FERRAO P,CONCEICAO P.A new environmental Kuznets curve? Relationship between direct material input and income per capita:evidence from industrialised countries[J].Ecological Economics,2003,46(2):217-229.
[3]GROSSMAN G M,KRUEGER A B.Economic Growth and the Environment[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1995,110(2):353-378.
[4]DAY K M,GRAFTON R Q.Growth and the Environment in Canada:An Empirical Analysis[J].Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/revue Canadienne Dagroeconomie,2010,51(2):197-216.
[5]冯刚,孜比布拉·司马义,何芯,等.乌鲁木齐城市化进程与大气污染关系研究[J].环境工程,2016,34(7):110-115.
[6]李红莉.十年经济发展对环境空气和地表水体质量的影响[D].济南:山东大学,2008.
[7]杨海生,周永章,王夕子.我国城市环境库兹涅茨曲线的空间计量检验[J].统计与决策,2008(10):43-46.
[8]杜江,刘渝.城市化与环境污染:中国省际面板数据的实证研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2008,17(6):825-825.
[9]黄一绥,黄玲芬.福建省城市化与工业污染的关系研究[J].生态环境学报,2009,18(4):1342-1345.
[10]杨丹辉,李红莉.地方经济增长与环境质量——以山东省域为例的库兹涅茨曲线分析[J].经济管理,2011(3):37-46.
[11]安瓦尔·买买提明,张小雷,杨德刚.阿图什市城市化过程的大气环境污染效应[J].干旱区地理,2012,35(2):274-280.
[12]黄棣芳.基于面板数据对工业化与城市化影响下经济增长与环境质量的实证分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011(s2):17-20.
[13]朱翠华,张晓峒.经济发展与环境关系的实证研究[J].生态经济,2012(3):48-53.
[14]杜雯翠,冯科.城市化会恶化空气质量吗?——来自新兴经济体国家的经验证据[J].经济社会体制比较,2013(5):91-99.
[15]李茜,宋金平,张建辉,等.中国城市化对环境空气质量影响的演化规律研究[J].环境科学学报,2013,33(9):2402-2411.
[16]高明,郭施宏,夏玲玲.福州市城市化进程与大气污染关系研究[J].环境污染与防治,2015,37(5):44-49.
[17]王盈晓,刘目兴,张永利,等.武汉市城市化进程与大气污染关系探究[J].环境保护科学,2016,42(1):77-82.
[18]崔秀萍.经济发展中城市化与大气污染曲线拟合相关性研究——以内蒙古呼和浩特市为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2017,31(11):44-49.
[19]薛志钢,刘妍,柴发合,等.城市空气污染指数改进方案及论证[J].环境科学研究,2011,24(2):125-132.
[20]李庆,肖振雷,李海凤,等.微细粉尘在静电除尘器中的运动状态分析[J].环境工程,2011,29(2):73-77.
[21]郝文阁,裴莹莹,侯亚平,等.ESP电场粉尘非稳态收集过程数值仿真[J].东北大学学报(自然科学版),2008,29(8):1179-1182.
[22]胡晓晴,朱春凤.CFB锅炉炉内二氧化硫(SO2)排放控制[J].城市建设理论研究(电子版),2015(16):3748.
[23]塔西买买提·阿布拉.博乐市空气质量变化趋势分析[J].干旱环境监测,2006,20(4):231-233.
[24]CALDERON-GARCIDUEAS L,RODRIGUEZ-ALCARAZ A,GARCIA R,et al.Nasal inflammatory responses in children exposed to a polluted urban atmosphere[J].Journal of Toxicology & Environmental Health,1995,45(4):427-437.
[25]龚坚艰,辛红云.博乐市空气质量下降原因及对策[J].绿色科技,2016(16):51-53.
[26]孙国金.机动车排放PM2.5和NOx的特征与减排对策[D].杭州:浙江大学,2013.
[27]祁卫敏,卜东杰.代替小吨位燃煤锅炉几种方式[J].时代报告(学术版),2015(11):215-215.
[28]张鹏.基于低碳经济视角的内蒙古能源结构调整研究[D].呼和浩特:内蒙古大学,2012.
[29]王国祖.城市综合体餐饮业燃气工程中几点问题的浅见[J].工程技术:全文版,2016(10):108.
[30]刘宇,王晓立,韩浩章,等.城市绿地空气PM10浓度及其与环境因子的关系[J].南方农业学报,2015,46(8):1469-1473.
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