西北五省生态文明发展水平收敛性及影响因素
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摘要
基于DPSR模型,采用熵权TOPSIS、β收敛检验及面板数据回归,从"经济社会发展D-驱动力、生态胁迫压力P-压力、生态系统环境S-状态、环境保护R-回应"4个系统测度西北五省生态文明发展水平并进行收敛性检验和影响因素的分析,以期为西北五省生态文明建设的管理决策提供科学依据。结果表明:2000—2016年生态文明发展水平呈"先缓后急"波动攀升的趋势;生态文明发展水平及其驱动力、压力子系统均存在显著的绝对β、条件β收敛,状态、回应系统不存在绝对β收敛,但存在条件β收敛;人均居住消费、人均教育文化娱乐消费、人均食品消费对生态文明发展水平的影响有显著的正向作用,人均GDP、城市化率对生态文明发展水平的影响有显著的负向作用,城镇人均住房面积对生态文明发展水平的影响不显著。
Based on DPSR model,using entropy TOPSIS,Convergence Test and Panel Data Regression,the development level of ecological civilization in the five northwestern provinces was measured from the four system of D-driving force economic and social development,P-pressure ecological stress pressure,S-state ecosystem resource endowment,R-response ecological environment protection,and convergence test and analysis of influencing factors were conducted,in order to provide scientific basis for management decision-making of ecological civilization construction in the five northwestern provinces.It showed that from 2000 to 2016,the index of ecological civilization development level in five northwestern provinces maintained the volatility rose in trend of'first slow and then fast';there were significant absoluteβand conditionalβconvergence in the development level of ecological civilization and its driving force and pressure subsystem,there was no absoluteβconvergence in the state and response system,but there was conditionalβconvergence;per capita living consumption,per capita education and cultural entertainment consumption,per capita food consumption had a very significant positive effect on the development level of ecological civilization,per capita GDP and rate of urbanization had a significant negative effect on the development level of ecological civilization,the impact of urban per capita housing area on the development level of ecological civilization is not significant.
Based on DPSR model,using entropy TOPSIS,Convergence Test and Panel Data Regression,the development level of ecological civilization in the five northwestern provinces was measured from the four system of D-driving force economic and social development,P-pressure ecological stress pressure,S-state ecosystem resource endowment,R-response ecological environment protection,and convergence test and analysis of influencing factors were conducted,in order to provide scientific basis for management decision-making of ecological civilization construction in the five northwestern provinces.It showed that from 2000 to 2016,the index of ecological civilization development level in five northwestern provinces maintained the volatility rose in trend of'first slow and then fast';there were significant absoluteβand conditionalβconvergence in the development level of ecological civilization and its driving force and pressure subsystem,there was no absoluteβconvergence in the state and response system,but there was conditionalβconvergence;per capita living consumption,per capita education and cultural entertainment consumption,per capita food consumption had a very significant positive effect on the development level of ecological civilization,per capita GDP and rate of urbanization had a significant negative effect on the development level of ecological civilization,the impact of urban per capita housing area on the development level of ecological civilization is not significant.
引文
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[19] 宓泽锋,曾刚,周灿,等.长三角城市群生态文明建设问题及潜力研究:基于5大城市群的比较[J].长江流域资源与环境,2018,27(3):463-472.
[20] 张欢,成金华,陈军,等.中国省域生态文明建设差异分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(6):22-29.
[21] QIAN H B,XUE Y S,TIAN Y J.An overview of land resources rational use and assessment[J].China Land Science,2001,15(2):14-19.
[22] 汪慧玲,朱震.我国生态安全影响因素的实证研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(6):1-5.
[23] 陈燕丽,杨语晨,杜栋.基于云模型的省域生态环境绩效评价研究[J].软科学,2018,32(1):100-103,108.
[24] 石磊,张天柱.贵阳市循环经济发展度量的研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2005(5):67-70.
[25] STEPHEN M M,MUKTI P U.Total factor productivity and the convergence hypothesis[J].Journal of Macroeconomics,2002,24(2):.267-286.
[26] 彭国华.中国地区收入差距、全要素生产率及其收敛分析[J].经济研究,2005(9):19-29.
[2] 赵俊伟,尹昌斌,牛敏杰.中国农业生态文明发展水平的时空差异与变动趋势[J].财贸研究,2017,28(6):47-57.
[3] 马海良,丁元卿,王蕾.绿色水资源利用效率的测度和收敛性分析[J].自然资源学报,2017,32(3):406-417.
[4] 卢曦,许长新.长江经济带水资源利用的动态效率及绝对β收敛研究:基于三阶段DEA-Malmquist指数法[J].长江流域资源与环境,2017,26(9):1351-1358.
[5] 汪克亮,孟祥瑞,程云鹤.环境压力视角下区域生态效率测度及收敛性:以长江经济带为例[J].系统工程,2016,34(4):109-116.
[6] BROCK W A,TAYLOR M S.The green solow model[J].Journal of Economic Growth,2010,15(2):127-153.
[7] 李佳佳,罗能生.中国区域环境效率的收敛性、空间溢出及成因分析[J].软科学,2016,30(8):1-5.
[8] 王怡,茶洪旺.京津冀的环境效率及其收敛性分析[J].城市问题,2016(4):18-24.
[9] 黄和平,于秋阳.都市旅游生态文明指标体系的构建与应用:基于熵权修正AHP层次模型[J].华东经济管理,2014,28(9):71-77.
[10] 吴小节,杨书燕,汪秀琼.中国生态文明重心转移的特征及影响因素[J].城市问题,2016(5):27-34.
[11] 吴小节,谭晓霞,杨书燕,等.生态文明时空演变特征与影响因素:以广东省为例[J].华东经济管理,2017,31(11):36-43.
[12] 吴小节,彭韵妍,汪秀琼.中国生态文明发展状况的时空演变与驱动因素[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(8):1-9.
[13] 宓泽锋,曾刚,尚勇敏,等.中国省域生态文明建设评价方法及空间格局演变[J].经济地理,2016,36(4):15-21.
[14] 宓泽锋,曾刚,尚勇敏,等.长江经济带市域生态文明建设现状及发展潜力初探[J].长江流域资源与环境,2016,25(9):1438-1447.
[15] 柴琪宸,郭亚军,宫诚举,等.中国省域生态文明建设协调发展程度的综合评价[J].中国管理科学,2017,25(7):184-190.
[16] 汪秀琼,彭韵妍,吴小节,等.中国生态文明建设水平综合评价与空间分异[J].华东经济管理,2015,29(4):52-56,146.
[17] 李从欣,李国柱.省域生态文明建设综合评价研究[J].生态经济,2017,33(10):210-213.
[18] 成金华,彭昕杰,冯银.中国城市生态文明水平评价[J].中国地质大学学报(社会科学版),2018,18(2):102-113.
[19] 宓泽锋,曾刚,周灿,等.长三角城市群生态文明建设问题及潜力研究:基于5大城市群的比较[J].长江流域资源与环境,2018,27(3):463-472.
[20] 张欢,成金华,陈军,等.中国省域生态文明建设差异分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(6):22-29.
[21] QIAN H B,XUE Y S,TIAN Y J.An overview of land resources rational use and assessment[J].China Land Science,2001,15(2):14-19.
[22] 汪慧玲,朱震.我国生态安全影响因素的实证研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2016,30(6):1-5.
[23] 陈燕丽,杨语晨,杜栋.基于云模型的省域生态环境绩效评价研究[J].软科学,2018,32(1):100-103,108.
[24] 石磊,张天柱.贵阳市循环经济发展度量的研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2005(5):67-70.
[25] STEPHEN M M,MUKTI P U.Total factor productivity and the convergence hypothesis[J].Journal of Macroeconomics,2002,24(2):.267-286.
[26] 彭国华.中国地区收入差距、全要素生产率及其收敛分析[J].经济研究,2005(9):19-29.