基于距离协调度模型的资源型城市转型主导产业选择研究
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摘要
资源型城市经过一段时间的快速发展后开始出现颓势,为实现资源型城市的科学转型,本文以城市转型途径中的产业转型为研究对象,借助距离协调度模型对城市主导产业的选择进行了定量分析。首先,总结相关文献建立产业与经济协调发展评价体系并用层次分析法确定各指标权重;然后,根据建立的指标体系与距离协调度模型对产业发展子系统与经济发展子系统之间的系统协调度进行了计算;最后,以黄石市为例进行实证分析,分别对黄石市多个产业与经济发展之间的系统协调度进行了测算,根据结果分析总结并提出相关建议。
After a period of rapid development,resource-based cities begin to show signs of decline.In order to realize the scientific transformation of resource-based cities,this paper takes the industrial transformation in the urban transformation path as the research object,and quantitatively analyzes the choice of urban leading industries by means of the distance coordination model.Firstly,the authors summarize the relevant literature to establish an evaluation system for the coordinated development of industry and economy,and use the analytic hierarchy process to determine the weight of each indicator.Then,according to the established index system and distance coordination model,the system coordination degree between the industrial development subsystem and the economic development subsystem is calculated.Finally,taking Huangshi city as an example for empirical analysis,the system coordination degree between several industries and economic development in Huangshi city is measured,and the results are analyzed and summarized.
After a period of rapid development,resource-based cities begin to show signs of decline.In order to realize the scientific transformation of resource-based cities,this paper takes the industrial transformation in the urban transformation path as the research object,and quantitatively analyzes the choice of urban leading industries by means of the distance coordination model.Firstly,the authors summarize the relevant literature to establish an evaluation system for the coordinated development of industry and economy,and use the analytic hierarchy process to determine the weight of each indicator.Then,according to the established index system and distance coordination model,the system coordination degree between the industrial development subsystem and the economic development subsystem is calculated.Finally,taking Huangshi city as an example for empirical analysis,the system coordination degree between several industries and economic development in Huangshi city is measured,and the results are analyzed and summarized.
引文
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[2] HOTELLING.The economics of exhaustible resources[J].Journal of Political Economy,1931(9):234-245.
[3] LUCAS R A.Mine town,Mill town,Ray town,life in Canadian communities of single industry toronto[M].Toronto University of Toronto Press,1971:223-247.
[4]赵奎涛，于春英，王默妍，等．资源型城市产业转型策略探讨：以盘锦市为例[J]．中国矿业，2011,20(4):9-10,19.ZHAO Kuitao,YU Chunying,WANG Moyan,et al.Study on the strategy of industry transformation of resource-based city:a case study about Panjin city[J].China Mining Magazine,2011,20(4):9-10,19.
[5]商允忠，王华清．资源型城市转型效率评价研究：以山西省为例[J]．资源与产业，2012,14(1):12-17.SHANG Yunzhong,WANG Huaqing.A case study on Shanxi province:evaluation of transformation efficiency in resourcesbased cities[J].Resources and Industries,2012,14(1):12-17.
[6]杜春丽，胡晓．资源枯竭型城市转型主导产业选择研究[J]．科技管理研究，2013(8):40-43.DU Chunli,HU Xiao.Study on leading industries selection in the industry transformation of the resource-exhausted city[J].Science and Technology Management Research,2013(8):40-43.
[7]雷怀英．基于DEA的交通运输与经济发展的协调性评价[J]．统计与信息坛，2007(1):50-53.LEI Huaiying.Assessing the harmonious development between transportation and economy by approach of DEA[J].Statistics and Information Tribune,2007(1):50-53.
[8]徐巍，黄民生．福建省交通运输与经济发展关系的定量分析[J]．福建师范大学学报：哲学社会科学版，2007(6):115-119,125.XU Wei,HUANG Minsheng.Quantitative analysis of relationship between transportation and economic development in Fujian[J].Journal of Fujian Normal University:Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition,2007(6):115-119,125.
[9]王岳平．产业结构对交通运输业发展影响的定量分析[J]．管理世界，2004(6):65-72.WANG Yueping.Quantitative analysis of the influence of industrial structure on the development of transportation industry[J].Management World,2004(6):65-72.
[10]曾珍香，段丹华，张培，等．基于主成分分析法的京津冀区域协调发展综合评价[J]．科技进步与对策，2008(9):44-49.ZENG Zhenxiang,DUAN Danhua,ZHANG Pei,et al.Comprehensive evaluation of Jing-Jin-Ji region coordinated development based on principal components analytical method[J].Science&Technology Progress and Policy,2008(9):44-49.
[11]张陆彪，刘书楷．生态经济效益协调发展的表征判断[J]．生态经济，1992(1):17-20,12.ZHANG Lubiao,LIU Shukai.Feature determination on the coordinative development of eco-economical benefits[J].Ecological Economy,1992(1):17-20,12.
[12]王金南，逯元堂，周劲松，等．基于GDP的中国资源环境基尼系数分析[J]．中国环境科学，2006(1):111-115.WANG Jinnan,LU Yuantang,ZHOU Jinsong,et al.Analysis of China resource-environment Gini coefficient based on GDP[J].China Environmental Science,2006(1):111-115.
[13]汤铃，李建平，余乐安，等．基于距离协调度模型的系统协调发展定量评价方法[J]．系统工程理论与实践，2010,30(4):594-602.TANG Ling,LI Jianping,YU Le'an,et al.Quantitative evaluation methodology for system coordination development based on distance coordination degree model[J].Systems Engineering,Theory and Practice,2010,30(4):594-602.